
The leaders of the “Islamic state” prohibited in Russia sacredly believe that in the near future the current Middle East war will reach the climax - the victorious battle of the caliphate warriors with the Western forces near the city of Dabik in Northern Syria. This battle, according to predictions in the hadiths, will be the first of a series of events that will lead to the end of the world - the declared goal of the existence of IG.
Now the ideologists of the IG must triumph. Chaos, which is an indispensable forerunner of Dabik, grows and worships. The former alliances collapse, new players who often hate each other, people who live thousands of kilometers from the war zone, Western humanistic and anti -war values go to the war.
The course of events is increasingly accelerating, and somewhere near the end of the rapid rhythm, you can already foresee the ominous “boom!”, Breaking the melody.
The situation in the world has become so complicated that she has several options for a sad finale. First of all, this, in fact, is Dabik and the prophecy associated with it, which receives more and more chances of implementation.
In order to attract foreign ground troops to Syria, the “Islamic state” must repeat the American experience of al-Qaeda 2001. With the help of a wave of terror, cause anger and thirst for revenge in Western countries. The governments of these countries will simply be forced to respond to the public request "to destroy the reptile in her lair." Events in Paris and Brussels have already given the West an impulse in the right IS direction.
The EU spoke about the “war”, France began to form an anti -Islamist coalition, in Germany they announced the possibility of military cooperation with the Syrian army to confront the IS, the British parliament is going to consider the law on militants. The United States and Türkiye are trying to come up with a system of reliable border protection with IG. However, this is not enough for the ideologists of the caliphate. They need a full -fledged invasion of Western ground forces. If in the near future the corresponding decision will not be made, terrorist attacks in European and, possibly, American cities will resume with renewed vigor. The terrorists, by the way, have already announced explosions in British shopping centers for Christmas. The implementation of this and other threats will certainly lead to an increase in warlike moods in Europe in general and the UK - in particular. In any case, attempts to conduct terrorist attacks in the West will continue until the troops enter Syrian land.
The chaos, which is the forerunner of Dabik, grows and worships. Western humanistic and anti -war values go cracks.
Many mistakenly believe that such a policy for the “Islamic state” is suicidal: they say that the ultramodern Western armies with the help of drones, satellites and laser bombs will spread a handful of partisans on donkeys in two accounts. In reality, this is not so: firstly, well-armed militants-tens of thousands, and secondly, they have been preparing for a very long time and carefully for the meeting of the "infidels" in Dabik. There will be no easy battle there. Thirdly (and this is the most important thing), the fact of the beginning of such a battle will become a clear and obvious sign for hundreds of millions of Muslims around the world: the ancient prophecy comes true. This is the same sacred caliphate of the end of the time !
The only well -predicted consequence of such a development of events will be a sea of money and volunteers for IG. For a deeply believing person, participation in the long -predicted last battle of people is a fantastic honor, the best chance to get directly into paradise. Such capabilities are not scattered. The beginning of the battle for Dabik is able to catastrophically destabilize the existing Islamic states, which in the IG consider illegitimate and simply satanic. This danger for fundamentalist countries like Saudi Arabia and Pakistan is especially great. Who will observe human laws in the context of the obvious approximation of the Day and the last war of the caliphate with the "infidels"?
This situation is fraught with the bad consequences not only in the sense of the stability of the Saudi and Pakistani regimes, but also from the point of view of oil supply and the safety of nuclear weapons, respectively. In both cases, the world will threaten if not a real apocalypse, then something very similar to it. This scenario is very probable, taking into account the nature of the Saudi and Pakistani regimes, which themselves are very unstable. In Islamabad, military coups and political murders are a completely common thing. An elderly sick and decrepit king reigns in Riyade, and two Muhammads rule the young and reckless son and nephew of the monarch, against whom the conspiracy ripens .
Another potentially dangerous plot is a quick escalation of the confrontation of Russia and Turkey. Two populist presidents who adore to demonstrate what they consider by the power of will, determination and fundamental, entered the frontal clash. Both consider Syria a zone of their influence and are not going to retreat. The last stage of the escalation of this conflict is the problems created by Turkey for Russian ships and ships going through Bosphorus and Dardanella.
A few days earlier, Dmitry Peskov, a spokesman for Vladimir Putin, called the overlapping of the straits to the “apocalyptic script”, obviously, bearing in mind that this option is possible only in the event of a direct Russo-Turkish war.
In the event of a military conflict, Russia has only one means to balance the balance of power with Turkey - tactical nuclear weapons. Here, even ancient prophecies will not be needed - the self -destruction of mankind will occur without the intervention of higher forces.
The actions of Ankara, however, indicate that Recep Tayyip Erdogan does not see anything particularly dangerous in the overlap of straits, considering this a completely adequate response to the sanctions introduced by Moscow against Turkish citizens and companies. Simply put, the “apocalyptic scenario” has already begun to be carried out, even without the direct participation of the “Islamic state”. So far, of course, there is no question of the war, but there are no prospects for dialogue and the discharge of the situation. The parties exchange aggressive statements, strengthen the military presence in the Eastern Mediterranean. Under these conditions, the repetition of the incident with a shot down aircraft (in one form or another) becomes only a matter of time: the nerves of everyone are inflated to the limit.
The problem here is that in the event of a military conflict, Russia has only one means to balance the balance of power with Turkey in this region - tactical nuclear weapons. Since the option of military defeat in Moscow is not considered in principle, the chances of its use are now significantly higher than at any time since the end of the Cold War. The rabid anti -Turkish hysteria, now discouraged in many Russian state media, only hits warlike moods, forcing to think about what it was impossible to think about earlier.
Even a limited nuclear blow to the country of NATO is already a completely gloomy prospect, fraught with a full -scale apocalypse for the entire planet. Here, even ancient prophecies will not be needed - the self -destruction of mankind will occur without the intervention of higher forces. In order to eliminate this danger, both Putin and Erdogan must cross through his own pride, meet and, if possible, calmly discuss possible exits from the situation. So far, however, this does not happen: the Russian side puts an apology and compensation for the confused plane and the deceased pilot. Türkiye responds to this with a categorical refusal. The escalation continues.
Another conflict, not yet so acute, but potentially even more dangerous, is now developing in the distant South China Sea (YUKM). The water area of this sea with a set of small archipelagoes, small atolls and individual islands until recently was a sluggish dispute area between a number of states of the region. The situation has changed significantly relatively recently, when China seriously decided to supplant all competitors from there. Along the perimeter of the sea, with an area of approximately equal to India (or 120 Crimean peninsulas, if you like), the PRC authorities began to create a chain of artificial, in fact, islands equipped with the latest military equipment.
To implement this task, they simply break entire reefs, pouring new islands from the material obtained, strengthen them with concrete and reinforcement, build harbor, airfields, barracks, radar stations, fuel warehouses and so on.
Thanks to this activity, the whole sea will soon be in the ring of Chinese military bases, after which Beijing will be able to not only declare the water area as it is now, but also force to obey those who have another opinion on this issue. Nobody can stop stopping China with its almost limitless resources. No serious doubts that the construction will be completed now.
The problem is that the transformation of the YUKM into the internal Chinese sea completely contradicts the fundamental position of the American foreign policy doctrine - freedom of shipping. The threat of this particular freedom by German submarines led to the US entry into the First World War, it became the main reason for American participation in the second. Now the situation is much more serious: YUKM is not just one of the seas - about a third of the volume of world marine trade passes through it (more than through the Suez and Panama channels combined) in an amount exceeding five trillions of dollars. Washington simply cannot give to such an important marine artery under the full control of the only country that can become an opponent of the United States in the 21st century. This would be the destruction of the foundations of the foundations of all his foreign policy.
The transformation of the South Chinese Sea into the internal Chinese contradicts the American foreign policy doctrine-freedom of shipping. The threat of this particular freedom led to the US entry into the First World War.
China, in turn, states that the belonging of the islands even theoretically cannot be the subject of a dispute. From the point of view of Beijing, they are the same Chinese as Shanghai or Guangzhou. The US objections that the islands are artificial, and therefore, as oil platforms, for example, cannot be a sovereign territory, the leadership of the PRC completely ignores.
Such a radical divergence of positions does not leave any opportunity for a compromise. China continues to build islands and military infrastructure on them with a shock pace, and the United States continues to ignore Chinese demands to respect its sovereignty. This happens not only in the form of diplomatic statements: American military aircraft and ships regularly pass and fly within the 12-mile zone around artificial islands, which the Chinese consider “their own as Shanghai”. So far, the People’s Liberation Army of China is just not fully built by the built islands, so only formidable warnings fly to American pilots and sailors. But when the islands receive modern means of anti-air and anti-ship defense, Russian-Turkish history with an airplane can be repeated on a much large scale.
Since they do not intend to retreat neither Beijing nor Washington, such an incident will surely lead to escalation and very serious development: both countries have nuclear weapons and the most powerful armies in the world.
The last and probably the most characteristic signal that the world rolls into the abyss is the championship of billionaire Donald Trump in the American presidential race among the Republicans. If this person comes to power in the United States, the planet is almost certainly provided with one or another version of Armageddon.