Translated material
Pilot project
The image of fried rooster is one of the most popular in modern political journalism.
About him, a non-alternative alpha male in a chicken coop, has to constantly think, describing what is happening. About his large crest and a cleared beak. Two years nearly, since the world began to slide gradually to a big war, the fried rooster now and then steamed metaphorically in the embroider, obscuring the sky.
The other day, he again appeared to us in the guise of a Russian bomber, and this event, inspiring anxiety, is no longer surprising. For the conflict between Russia and other countries, the enumeration of which would take up too much space develops according to its understandable laws. It was clear that the Turks would not get off with tomatoes, which the president of the Russian Federation told all of us with marginal sincerity, and now he keeps his word. One aircraft, another walked after him in a foreign sky, the Turks called the Russian ambassador, Konashenkov denied, the Pentagon confirmed, an orange level of anxiety was announced in Ankara-and while I write these lines, I can not get rid of the feeling that after an hour or two this will be out of place and it will be necessary to describe some other reality.
Or not. So much has already been written. The image of fried rooster has long been disclosed.
Nevertheless, individual nuances of the generally understandable plot are still intriguing, and I want to figure it out until it’s too late. So, it is clear that Putin will never forgive Erdogan, who “hit in the back” and was not a friend, but a traitor to be merciless to be merciless. It is more difficult to comprehend why Vladimir Vladimirovich initially appreciated his Turkish colleague so highly. Perhaps it was generally wiring, and defenseless Russian bombers were flying along the Turkish-Syrian border and bombed the Turkmen unknown to us to get under fire once. For that, now they fly. And the plan is to hold all of humanity by the throat and to incline enemies to the idea of concluding peace with Russia - in exchange for the relieving sectoral sanctions and the resumption of fruitful dialogue within the framework of the "eight".
And if tomorrow the Turks commit the next war crime, eliminating the next proposed target, then the game will worsen to the limit and the decision will have to be made literally on a falling flag. For the alternative to the world will be the Russian war with Turkey, that is, the clash of the Russian Federation with NATO, and Putin, perhaps, believes that in this case it will be more comfortable to renew discussions about sanctions. Like any rat that drove into a corner and themselves and those who drove her there.
This is all the more similar to the truth that the deterrence strategy, chosen by the West in relations with the Kremlin, proves its effectiveness. Both economic and political terms. The country, partially cut off from Western loans, is rapidly poor. As for personal showdowns, the methodology of isolation of Putin and to break all the masks from him successfully acts here. In this sense, the mention of his name as a possible customer of the murder of Litvinenko, and the White House visa on the film, denouncing Putin -corruption, are quite sensitive blows. Indicating that Realpolitik is deposited and now they will now handle it as if some Gaddafi or Milosevich. As if not afraid of war. But how much is the calculation in this very serious game, and how much bluff is hard to say.
In general, it seems that the resumption of flights over Turkey is the answer of Vladimir Vladimirovich to the slanderers and the Pasquilians. Such a harsh answer, hands itch. However, it is possible that he is still not ready to bring the case to the disaster now and is striking distracting. And to beat really, in full accordance with his unique style, gathers in another place.
Two nearly a year ago, the National Leader took up Crimea, after Donbass, then there was Syria, and if we assume that he had not yet lost contact with reality, it should be expected that Russia, contrary to our most terrible forebodings, is not going to fight against NATO. On the contrary, the recent reincarnation of the hero Girkin in the “Committee of January 25” may indicate that Putin again remembered Ukraine. It is known that the true ascetics of Novorossiya in the Kremlin are disliked and sometimes even punished so that they do not get confused underfoot. And today they were suddenly pulled out of Naftalin, shaking off dust, and presented to the city and peace. That is, it looks like they were resurrected by themselves, without asking permission from the authorities, but it is not easy to believe. Somehow they were risen too on time.
This scenario is good for Putin by the fact that for Ukraine, unlike Turkey, NATO will most likely not be interested. The world will shudder, the mercury on the thermometer of the Cold War will crawl to the freezing point, but the TV will work and the total militaristic psychosis will force the Russians for some time to forget about the ruble and energy prices. Having taken this position, that is, having advanced, for example, from Donbass to Mariupol and a little further, Putin will also be able to grab the world by the throat and begin to express his conditions. Of course, unacceptable, but others in the last two in the Kremlin are not offered.
The image of fried rooster is one of the most popular in modern political journalism, and he dictates his inconsolable stories, others somehow do not even come to mind. With rare exceptions, such as the current dead end situation will not change over the next years - until the end of the Putin era. Against the backdrop of all others, this scenario seems to be the most optimistic, but long, viscous, non -failure these years still need to be lived. Somehow to endure, squeezing his teeth and trying not to think about a fried rooster, about his changeable tactical goals and about the goal of the most important, strategic, constituting the meaning of life. Slum and smack, and there at least do not dawn.