America digests the results of the second "Super Tuesday". On March 15, primaries were held in five states - Illinois, Florida, Ohio, Missouri and North Carolina. The winners are Donald Trump in the Republican camp and Hillary Clinton in the Democratic camp.
Billionaire Trump won four out of five states - Illinois, Florida, Missouri and North Carolina. In just one night, he doubled his lead over closest competitor Ted Cruz. And another of his competitors - Marco Rubio - completely dropped out of the election race. Moreover, Trump took all 99 votes of party delegates from him in his home state of Florida.
Cruz still had a theoretical chance to win the race. But Trump feels much more confident.
To become a presidential candidate, Trump needs to enlist the support of 1,237 delegates (that is, a majority) at the Republican Party Convention, which will be held in July in Cleveland, Ohio.
The Democratic nominee needs to get 2,383 delegate votes out of 4,764. But if the Democratic Party is ready in principle to accept Hillary as leader, then there is a split in the Republican camp.
Mitt Romney, former governor of Massachusetts and Republican nominee in the 2012 election, said that Trump is a liar and a fraud. However, Trump is unlikely to be stopped by such attacks.
The possibility of choosing Mitt Romney at the convention as a compromise candidate is also being considered. But this, frankly, is unlikely.
To become a presidential candidate, Trump needs to enlist the support of 1,237 delegates (that is, a majority) at the Republican Party Convention, which will be held in July in Cleveland, Ohio. Now he has 458 in his "assets", he is closer to the coveted figure than his competitors - Ted Cruz (359 delegates), Marco Rubio (151) and John Keisich (54).
The Democratic nominee needs 2,383 delegate votes out of 4,764. Hillary Clinton already supports 1,221, including 461 superdelegates (they can vote at their discretion), Bernie Sanders has 571 and 25, respectively. But if the Democratic Party is, in principle, ready to accept Hillary as leader, then there is a split in the Republican camp.
Mitt Romney, former governor of Massachusetts and Republican nominee in the 2012 election, said that Trump is a liar and a fraud. However, Trump is unlikely to be stopped by such attacks. According to experts, even if Rubio wins his native Florida in the upcoming primaries, and Keysich wins Ohio, Trump will have 555 delegates, while Cruz has 431, Rubio has 315 and Keysic has 116. Another option is possible: Rubio and Keysich retire from the race and express support for Cruz, their representatives will vote for the Texas senator at the party convention in Clivend, and then Cruz can get a majority of votes. But again, this is just a theory.
The possibility of choosing Mitt Romney at the convention as a compromise candidate is also being considered. But this, frankly, is unlikely.
So whatever one may say, Trump is the most likely Republican nominee in November's election. And so many in America are gripped by a sense of impending disaster.
New York tycoon Trump is supported by the masses of the "Bible Belt" - the southern and southeastern states. At one of the rallies in support of his candidacy, the magnate declared that he “adores poorly educated people,” the crowd applauded in response.
Trump is a collection of nationalist clichés delivered with the pomp of a reality show host. It is a demand for personal allegiance by raising the right hand at rallies, which is reminiscent of the dark pages of European history. These are calls to introduce criminal liability for journalists for “insulting” the president.
Kitchen conversations of conservative American inhabitants with a slight movement of Trump's hand can be embodied in the strategy of the strongest nation in the world. The fragile balance, maintained day by day by the efforts of hundreds and thousands of diplomats, is in danger of being destroyed in an instant.
It was Trump who proposed temporarily banning Muslims from entering the United States, with the exception of US Army soldiers and American athletes practicing Islam who are abroad, who will be allowed to return to their homeland. It was he who called for a 45 percent tax on trade with China, scolded Japan, and promised not only to build a wall on the border with Mexico, but also to make Mexico pay for the project. (In response, Vincente Fox, the former president of Mexico, expressed his attitude towards Trump and his project using profanity.)
Abroad, as a rule, do not comment on American elections. Now it's different. The leaders of Britain, Mexico, France and Canada have already publicly criticized Trump's ideas and slogans. Arab diplomats complain that Trump's anti-Muslim rhetoric is being used by the Islamic State* to recruit new terrorists.
Perhaps the only exception on this list is the leadership of Russia. Putin clearly likes that Trump in his speeches suggests leaving Russia alone and letting it control what it chooses, primarily Ukraine and Syria. Well, for the current Russian government, Trump is indeed an ideal candidate: neither Hillary with her diplomatic past and criticism of Russia's foreign policy, nor Cruz with his constitutionalism and refugee father from Castrov's Cuba burn with love for the Russian leadership...
In short, Donald Trump is the biggest test of American politics since the racist George Wallace and the populist Hugh Long.
One thing is reassuring: if Trump becomes the candidate of the Republican Party, the victory of Hillary Clinton (or any other moderate Democratic candidate) will be guaranteed - the votes of moderate Republicans and independent voters are guaranteed to go to the Democrats. But before that, you still have to live.
* "Islamic State" is a terrorist organization banned in the Russian Federation.
** George Wallace, former governor of Alabama, ran for the Democratic presidential nomination in 1968, 1972, and 1976. Wallace was assassinated.
*** Hugh Long, governor of Louisiana, assassinated in 1935 while trying to run for president.
Kitchen conversations of conservative American inhabitants with a slight movement of Trump's hand can be embodied in the strategy of the strongest nation in the world