Hope as a threat

Do not read "Grani.ru!" The irritated reaction of the anonymous Kremlin source is humanly understandable, but still issues remain unclear for those who follow this wise advice. Putin was really going to present Savchenko’s gift, spectacularly freeing it on March 8, but demonstrators near the Russian embassy in Kyiv prevented it? The pilot is really pardoned in April, in the first days of this month? In general, what did the most silent of the Russian ambassadors meant, when and if, on the basis of confidentiality, he discussed the future fate of the sentenced? He shared his secret knowledge or lied and reassured? Will they call him now or secretly praise it?

There is a common point of view, and the author of these lines is inclined to it. More precisely, he has no doubt that Nadezhda Savchenko for the Kremlin is a hostage that they try to sell as profitably as possible there. The Russian authorities solve this problem in the same package with others in negotiations with both America and Europe. Like, if you do not meet us, then the hostage will go to the camp and it will hurt you. We know what kind of Europeans and Americans you have sensitive hearts. Not to mention Ukrainians who are so worried about their citizens.

However, you can look at the situation differently. Through the eyes of politicians, not human rights activists. With a fair amount of pragmatism and even cynicism.

Then it suddenly turns out that the business of Savchenko, if you leave aside her personal tragedy and the suffering of those who are rooting for her, close and distant, turn out to be a real misfortune for Russia. And we are talking not only about morality and jurisprudence. We are talking about a political disaster.

It is known that the enormous figures of losses are statistics, and one person, especially a woman captured by bandits and convicted by their gangster court, is a disgrace for the state, which in front of the eyes of the whole world tortures the hostage. This is a television picture, which millions of people look at with amazement, anger, longing, and hate. This is an eternal line in news feeds.

Poroshenko with the "Savchenko list". The ambassadors of the G7 countries, the European Commission, Federica Mogherini - all urge the President of the Russian Federation to release the Politzeck. Steinmeier in Moscow talks about a "humane decision." Kerry in Moscow has one of the questions at a meeting with Lavrov and Putin - a fate of a prisoner of war, which was declared a criminal.

As a result, every day that Nadezhda Savchenko is running behind bars, turns for Russia, among other things, by a propaganda nightmare. Moreover, literally everything will disgrace, not excluding the resignation of the Ombudsman Ella Pamfilov, who, finally, for some reason decided to kick lawyers . And if we assume that Russia has fierce, irreconcilable enemies who dream of its death, today they are on their street a holiday. And the longer the prisoner will sit, the more the damned Russophobes will rejoice.

Meanwhile, Kerry, Steinmeier, and Mogherini, not being Russophobes, remain primarily politicians. Therefore, in negotiations with their Russian partners, they hardly suffer. They are unlikely to agree with Putin, who, for example, is ready to come to terms with the sanctions for Crimea and release Savchenko in exchange for the Western refusal of sectoral sanctions and Buta in addition. Most likely they have a different negotiating position, much more convincing.

You, you see, to you, vladimir vladimirovich, it is unprofitable to hold Savchenko, and although it is difficult for us to watch how you mock her, but we will darken. You won’t take us on the show, Mr. Foreign Minister. If with her, God forbid, something will happen, then do not seek, we will criticize you then, it will not seem enough. We will arrange a deeply personal geopolitical disaster. The largest in the 21st century.

Putin can perceive this kind of arguments with his inherent composure. However, not everyone has so strong nerves in his environment, a hot heart, a frostbitten head. Take the same Zurabov, who is constantly cooked in the Kiev boiler and skin has been feeling the fastened love of the fraternal people for centuries. Or take another source, from the diplomatic circles, which was not so categorical in comparison with the Kremlin, saying that in this situation, "it is impossible to exclude any development of events."

So, maybe this is not a completely meaningless lesson - to read the "line". Although it would be better, of course, not to read, from sin. However, in a free country, everyone is free to choose food for the mind: he bypassed the blocking like this or a kind of - and you draw a large spoon, amazed at the skill of the author or the mediocrity and the vagus of his slanderous fabrications. There are different opinions, and that's good. Democracy.

Praise pluralism is apparently observed in relation to the authorities to the case of Nadezhda Savchenko. But in this case, it is very important to understand whether Russian politicians and diplomats will be able to completely unravel the insidious plans of overseas and European partners, and it is intelligibly state Putin. It is even more important whether Vladimir Vladimirovich wishes, after listening to reports, to destroy these plans. That is, in a short time, free Savchenko.

There is no dispute, the president has a difficult choice. On the one hand, how it is: suddenly release the hostage, which I wanted to sell at the highest price, and you have to give the enthusiasm. However, you won’t do what to shame partners, enemies, enemies, Russophobes. In order not to get into their ranks.