
For a long time, Barack Obama, and with him the leadership of the Democratic Party were confident that Donald Trump would not be president under any circumstances. In mid -February, Obama spoke at the US summit - ASEAN that foreign leaders are "concerned about the rhetoric, which sounds during the republican primaries and republican debate", but Trump is by no means alone in their escapades - it is simply expressed in a "more interesting" way:
I am still sure that Mr. Trump will not become president. And the reason is that I believe in the Americans, that they believe that being the president is a serious job. This is not a current show and not a reality show .... The American people are reasonable enough to ultimately make a reasonable choice.
At the end of April, Obama joked at the annual press for the press, where the president was supposed to make humorous speech:
They say that Donald lacks experience in international affairs to be the president. But we will be objective: he has been communicating with the leaders of the world for years: Miss Sweden, Miss Argentina, Miss Azerbaijan ...
But on May 26 he was not up to jokes. On this day, Donald Trump, who remained the only Republican candidate, secured a party nomination ahead of schedule. The US President learned about this in Japan at the G7 summit. Meeting with reporters, he said that this news was a surprise to the leaders of the Seven:
They are not sure how seriously some of his statements should be perceived. He leads them into confusion, and for this there are reasons: many of his proposals demonstrate either ignorance in international affairs, or a cavalry fucker in the approach to them, or the desire to get to Twitter and news feed instead of pondering what is needed in order to ensure peace and security of America and global stability.
The American press immediately noted that this is a rare case when the current president criticizes one of the finalists of the race, being abroad and turning to the international audience. According to the unwritten rules of Washington ethics, a clear Moveton.
Unlike Obama, other world leaders who criticized Trump before, mostly keep silent, thinking about how not to spoil relations with the future president. The exception was British Prime Minister David Cameron, who called Trump to close the entrance to the United States to Muslims to “sowing, stupid and wrong.” Trump answered this: "It doesn’t care about me. It seems that we will not get a good relationship." And the newly elected mayor of London Sadyk Khan, who called Trump's ideas about Islam, ordered to convey that he would remember these words.
Today, the leaders are even more reasons for alarm: in recent surveys, Trump breathes in Hillary Clinton’s back of his head. The gap between them does not exceed the statistical error, and according to some polls, he has already overtaken the candidate of democrats, even in some of the "front -line" states, the electorate of which may be equal to vote for both the democrat and the Republican - it is for these states that the struggle is waged.
In the Hillary team, which began the campaign with a two -digit advantage over Trump, the mood close to panic reigns. Her advisers can not come up with any circuits - from the Teflon rival, all attacks bounce like from the wall, and public debate with him can turn into a complete disaster for Hillary.
He talked about the candidate bezel - I want to believe that with a bitter irony - President Obama is all at the same dinner:
Admire the confusion with invitations for this dinner. The guests needed to put a cross against a steak or fish. But instead, many of you wrote the name Paul Ryan. Guys, there is no such option. Steak or fish. You may not love either meat or fish, but you have such a choice.
(The speaker of the lower house Paul Ryan, who was considered a strong candidate, did not heed the calls and did not participate in the campaign.)
We can talk about the stubbornness of the leaders of the Republican Party, their revealing politicism, fully oblivious of the interests of the country. But the Democrats and the liberal press, who drove conservatives into the intellectual ghetto, turned the guilt for the situation, turned them into scarecrow and the subject of ridicule. In isolation, the brains peroxide how they peroxide with the ideologists of the CPSU, the party falls into dementia, and then, like a cork from the bottle, a militant anti -intellectual pops up from it and courageous, declaring itself a genius and Messiah. But the Democrats disrespect to the opponents came out sideways. Their party was unable to nominate no one except Clinton (Bernie Sanders is an unsystematic candidate, he nominated himself).
But the current political moment is extremely favorable for the Democrats. The demography of the country develops in their favor: the white Protestants in the United States are now a minority, unbelievers are the largest denomination of America today. In 2004, simultaneously with the presidential election, 11 states held referendums on the ban on same -sex marriages - and in all 11 they were prohibited by amendment to the Constitution. Since then, public opinion has changed dramatically, same -sex marriages are legalized throughout the country. The question of the right to abortion has lost its relevance - about this in the current campaign simply no one says. In these conditions, bring the party to the brink of defeat - this must be able to.
What to expect from President Trump in foreign policy? His views on the world is a mixture of dense incompetence and demagogy. Plus chronic incontinence of speech. Here are at random selected tirads only from one of its many television interviews.
In December last year, he called Brussels a "viper", a cluster of Islamic terrorists - and in March rejoiced when it turned out that he accidentally felt a sore spot:
I am the only one who predicted it. I said: Brussels is a viper, and New York Times ridiculed me, "how dared to call Brussels a viper," and now suddenly all this happened in Brussels. I understand what is happening in the world, much better than all these politicians, well, just in all respects better. And I have friends around the world. And now it suddenly shook. And the Internet on the Internet - Trump was one hundred percent of the rights of Brussels!
About NATO, on the maintenance of which the United States, according to Trump, is spent "hundreds of billions", and at the same time about Ukraine:
I think NATO is outdated. It appeared when the Soviet Union was, it was, of course, more than Russia now. I am not saying that Russia is not a threat, but we have other threats. We have a threat of terrorism. NATO does not discuss terrorism. NATO is not aimed at terrorism. NATO is not the same countries to fight terrorism. And then, we pay a completely disproportionate share for NATO, we pay the biggest, disproportionate to other countries. And look at Ukraine - we are the only ones who fight for Ukraine. I have never heard that other countries are at least mentioned, and we are fighting all the time, we talk about Ukraine all the time: get away from there, do that, do it. Ukraine is very far from us. How are these countries that are close to Ukraine, surround Ukraine - why do they do nothing, do not protest at least? I have never heard of anyone other than the United States. And I say: NATO is outdated. And it costs us too much, disproportionately expensive.
To the tricky issues of journalists, what he will specifically undertake to solve that other international problem, he replies that this is a military secret - why inform the enemy in advance, what do you intend to do? It is necessary to cheer him up with a surprise! To the question with whom he consults on international affairs, Trump answers as follows:
I speak with myself; This is, firstly, because I have a great mind and I say a lot of things. I know what I am doing and I listen to many people. At the right time, I will tell you who these people are, but my main consultant - I myself, I have a good instinct about this.
(However, the name of his adviser in Russia, Carter Page , is well known - this is a former consultant of Gazprom, a fan of Putin and a conspiracy -grafoman.)
The best idea of Trump's international reputation gives a list of foreign politicians and media persons supporting him. It includes Russian President Vladimir Putin and the former leader of the French National Front, Jean-Mari Le Pen, Honored Figiger of the Russian agitprop Dmitry Kiselev and the leader of Serbian nationalists, Voislav Shechel, State Duma Vice-Speaker Vladimir Zhirinovsky and the ideologist of the Russian World Alexander Dugin. The last admission to this collection was the organ of the North Korean ruling party Nodon Sinmun, which approvingly responded to Trump's plans to withdraw American troops from South Korea if Seoul does not pay more for their stay there.
He looks like a nasty parody of Elvis Presley, who was thawed half a century after pink cadillacs and blue suede shoes have sunk into past times. The reality show has become a reality.