The rebels beat

It is reported from Pennsylvania: it is possible that the military coup in Turkey was staged by power. Fethullah Gulen is inclined to this opinion - the same exile whose issuance is President Erdogan. The 75-year-old preacher, whom Ankara accuses of organizing a putsch, is returning the charge to his extensor.

However, he says nothing new.

The fact that the rebellion could be organized by the Turkish national leader is written today. In the genre of conspiracyology. Within the framework of express analysis, indicating the surprisingly bad preparation of the coup - despite the fact that the richest experience of such events has been accumulated in the country and military structures. Well, the Cui Bono question posed by Cicero? begs by itself. Equal to the answer to it. Erdogan, now engaged in the beating of military personnel, mass dismissal of judges, twisting of nuts throughout the country and foreign policy showdowns, the July uprising of the unfortunate Turkish "Decembrists" had to come in handy.

The army, the only guarantor of democracy in the state, is defeated once again. John Kerry has to irritably make excuses in discussions with an ally: they say, there was no official request for Gulen's extraction to Washington, and there was no evidence of his involvement in the failed coup. Ankara’s relationship with Washington worsened sharply, and even came to the point that the Turks for some time de -energized the military base of the Indjirlik, where American planes were based.

On the other hand, it finally became clear who and why in November last year shot down a Russian bomber. The mayor of Ankara is divided by an exclusive : the pilot of the Turkish fighter, it turns out, belonged to the supporters of Gulen, and later joined the conspirators who tried to shift the president. "Our attitude with Russia ruined these villains!" - The mayor claims, and it is even strange that he does not mention the Trotskyist-Bukharin geeks and frantic dogs, as well as Navalny with Khodorkovsky. However, the former and true best friend Vladimir Vladimirovich, shocked by the betrayal of Erdogan, that promises us different geopolitical miracles in the very near future.

In general, there were many grounds for counting Erdogan by the organizer of the conspiracy against himself, but there were objective reasons for an honest rebellion. Like his Russian double, the Turkish sultan quarreled with the whole world and in recent years has already been exhausted in the fight against Obama, Europe, German comedians, with Arabic states, with terror and Putin. Political isolation turned into a severe economic crisis, and society was cracking a course on Islamization within the country. The majority successfully succumbed to zombie, but the stronger was the despair and hatred that swept Turkey secular, disagreed, Europeanized.

Türkiye, which was beaten with a mortal battle in the square of Taxim in Istanbul, did not forget and did not forgive anything, and the army, albeit weakened by constant cleaning, these sentiments are also not alien. Türkiye without Erdogan, even rather than Russia without Putin, could somehow recover. Subtract, recover from imperial ambitions, abandon the policy of isolationism and clericalization. Still, the country has been in NATO for more than six decades, that is, integrated with the West - this is a huge time.

However, Türkiye is confused, hung with scrapers and mobilized to fight the cosmopolitan infection, turned out to be stronger, and as a result, military rebellion was suppressed. The people, no matter what it means, supported Erdogan. This is another version of events that does not coincide with the one that the preacher from Pennsylvania offers.

But true, perhaps in the middle. Türkiye Erdogan is a classic police state in which the whole society, all its layers, on top of the bottom, are stuffed with informers. Starting with the army, traditionally, according to the testaments of Ataturka, protruding on the side of civil society. This army is humiliated under the current leader, and there is no doubt that there are many dissatisfied in its ranks. That's why provoke them at the right time with the help of the seized Cossacks (how will it be in Turkish?) Probably not difficult, and we further observed the occurrence on the air.

Some of the army rebelled seriously, but the majority in the headquarters and barracks of rebels did not support and was not going to support how they hoped; The rebellion was controlled. From the side of the authorities, which now recoups the victory in full, and blackmail notes are heard in the angry speeches of Erdogan. He is clearly preparing for a sharp turn - both in domestic politics, where the mass repression campaign, and in the external one, has already been deployed. The West with his human rights ideology for him the enemy is determined, chosen, necessary. And Putin is now a friend: after all, he doesn’t care how much will be shot, out of Turkey, and will put opponents of the regime, real and imaginary. With Putin, the Sultan is comfortable.

Therefore, Ankara is increasingly coming closer to Moscow, and this phenomenon should be recognized as deeply meaningful and logical. These two are created for each other - Putin and Erdogan. It was painful to watch when they cursed.

Today, the game in the triangle of the West Curi-Thorce begins with a clean sheet-and many plots are immediately traced in it. There is bad news, but there is also good. Bad boils down to the fact that Erdogan was too carried away by blackmail technologies. Almost accusing the Americans that they were going to overthrow him with their hands by Fethullah Gulen, the Turkish president acts recklessly. It turns out that he directly declares war on America, at least cold, and this act is very risky. And if he does not calm down in the foreseeable time, then the White House will have to somehow solve this problem. Moreover, seriously, and not in the same way as it was decided by the pre -doomed Turkish Tukhachevsky and Stauffenbergs.

But these days, marked by the final seemingly reconciliation of Putin with Erdogan, another problem has already been solved. While they were measured by tomatoes and after, when philologists argued about whether the Turkish leader apologized correctly or incorrectly, the threat of a direct clash of Moscow with Ankara remained. Weak, but preserved, because the Turks were not going to pay for no compensation, to judge the guilty of shelling the Russian aircraft. Now, when it turned out that America was a common opponent, and the order to shoot down the Su-24 came from Pennsylvania, the danger of Russia's collision with NATO was passed because of Turkey. Because of them, Putin with Erdogan, due to their showdown, the Third World War will not begin. A trifle, but nice.