Erdogan found the extreme

The Turkish authorities accuse the preacher hiding in the United States of having become an ideologist of the failed putsch

Turkish President Recep Erdogan, having not yet had time to finally suppress the attempt of a coup , called on the United States to give his former ally living there, and now the worst enemy, religious and public figure Fethullah Gulen , whom he considers the ideologist of the failed rebellion. Ankara on Tuesday handed over to Washington "four compromising folders" to Gulen. “We never refused the Americans to issue terrorists that they were looking for. If I am your strategic partner, then do what I ask,” the Turkish president said. And in order to reinforce his words, he temporarily blocked the supply of electricity to the Air Force base of the Indjirlik, with which the rebellious Turkish pilots allegedly flew during the coup and on which American aviation participating in the air campaign against the Islamic State terrorist group in Syria was located. Erdogan and in the past demanded from the Americans to give him Gulen, but each time transferred his insistence through the press, without bringing them to an official request.

"The transformation of Turkey, which the Recep Erdogan dreamed about, was realized, but it is impossible to say that in the direction they want. The country is shaken by bomb explosions, and the government is not able to do anything to disrupt the planes of terrorists. The economic situation is catastrophically worsening: non -payment of consumer loans is increased, the tourist industry is suffered, the course of the National Currencies, and with it, is the opinion of the population, then in society that the Record Erdogan-Paranoic, whose illness entered the acute phase: in its main residence, the anti-aircraft missile system is filled with dissidents, newspapers and Internet sites are closed to the left and right. It is erected by the palaces, the corruption has also penetrated into the Supreme Leader’s family: his son Bilal, according to the fake Saudi diplomatic passport , fled from Italy, where he was about to arrange money for money, was supposedly thrown into the media. Gulena.

Among the Turkish military, pessimism reigns and the feeling that time is not on their side: they are afraid of continuing purges in their ranks. They see the gambling flirting of Erdogan with extremists in Syria, who just unfold against Turkey and arrange terrorist attacks in the country. The army’s command and the prospect of the fact that Erdogan is extremely disturbed by the sudden lights with the Kurds and the equally unpredictable relapses of armed confrontation with them will lead the country to the repetition of the civil war of a model of twenty -five years ago. This time it may happen that the Turkish Kurds, inspired by the successes of their counterparts in Iraq and Syria, will not stop fighting until they are given sovereignty, which means a offices from the country of almost all of its southeast.

The time has long passed when the United States and Europe applauded Erdogan for measures to limit the influence of the army, which from 1960 to 1997 several times overthrew the popularly elected rulers. If the military again deposit civil power in Turkey, then in Washington and in Brussels, of course, they formally scold the puffers, as at one time they blamed the allies in NATO, the same rebellious Turkish generals or the Greek “black colonel”, but they will not go further, especially if the generals, as in the previous times, will immediately unveil the road map to restore democracy, Public figures and journalists will be released from prisons and returned to the legal owners that they confiscated from their television and radio stations. Erdogan for today is not at all that the Egyptian Muhammad Mursi, who at the time of removal from his post had at least some Patina of legitimacy. Thus, the probability of a new military coup in Turkey is very significant. ”

It was such thoughts four months ago on the pages of Newsweek magazine that the frequent guest of Radio Liberty Michael Rubin expressed. In the minds of rulers prone to paranoia, those who predict coups, organize them. According to the type, Erdogan already told us that the string of conspiracy against him reaches for the ocean-if not to the analytics of the American Institute of American Enterprise, then to the recluse living in a picturesque place in the mountains of Pennsylvania in two hours riding from New York.

It does not seem that ideology was divorced by the past allies: Fethullah Gulen, who unimportant the benefit of the West for the development of the doctrine, preaching the synthesis of Islam and democracy, seems to have never noticed the absence of mention of people's mentions in the “education of religious generation” of the mention of democracy. The phrase uttered by Gulen the other day in an interview with the British Gardian is also amazing: "As long as Türkiye has embarked on the path of democracy, it is impossible to turn off it." From which it seems to be that Türkiye under Erdogan did not turn off the democratic path and that she was not actually experiencing a creeping coup d'etat without any assistance in the military. Today, Michael Rubin shares with radio freedom with new considerations:

- Both of them, Erdogan and Gulen, wanted to eliminate the influence of the military on state institutions. Officers naked on the secular worldview of the founder of modern Turkey Kemal Ataturk. Both of them introduced their people with originally sympathies in all power structures. They quarreled, in my opinion, due to the fact that Erdogan psychologically cannot endure people next to them who at least diverge with him. If you do not support him one hundred percent, then you do not support him at all, and you are transferred to the camp of sworn enemies. The enmity began with the clash of their business empire, which has grown into the plum into the print of any compromising evidence made secret audio recordings, denouncing both of the involvement of both in corruption; At the next stage, the president began to squeeze from the judicial investigative bodies of the faithful Gulen people who started cases to his partners, including in football circles, took away his largest bank from his opponent and closed educational institutions that the Hyemiz General movement (Service) administered. In the last two years, it has come to the point that there has not been a single political or economic problem in Turkey, the existence of which Erdogan would not blame Gulen.

Erdogan psychologically cannot endure people next to him who at least disperse with him

At the gates of the Gulen’s summer cottage in Pennsylvania, small groups of Erdogan supporters are demonstrations. "This is potentially the second Usama bin Laden, why does America support him?" - The manifestants chant. The owner of the residence categorically denies any connections with the rebels at home. According to him, "I completely drank from our puffers in the past and declare that an attempt to violent change of power is equivalent to undermining the unity of the people and betrayal." Erdogan believes in his innocence or not, it is not so important politically, Michael Rubin continues:

- To the question of the sane Gulen involvement in the coup. Erdogan had just arrested two generals, supposedly the main inspirers of the conspiracy: one of them is his brother for the ruling party of justice and development and the leading officer of the General Staff Mehmet Distili, the second - the former commander of the Air Force and, as stated, the leader of the rebels Akyn Oztyurk. The latter, I guarantee that Gulen’s associate is not like a guide, but the first, if it is logical, should belong more to the president’s camp. So, offhand, the organizers of the coup have nothing to do with Gulen. Which, however, did not prevent Erdogan from taking advantage of the case, no matter what he really thought about the role of Gulen, and to diverge with the offender, having produced mass detention of his supporters throughout the country. According to my information, the special services amounted to several lists of persons to be arrested from the most priority to opponents of the second and third stage; Whether they received a sanction to act from Erdogan himself, or showed the initiative, is not known.

Be that as it may, in Turkey there is now such a wave of repression, which, I think, will make even Vladimir Putin to cringe. And this, in my opinion, is only the beginning. Given the mood of the Islamists, terror can now spread to prominent representatives of religious minorities. So, the news recently came that Jamil Jandash was killed at his home - Deputy Prefect of the Istanbul district Schicley, a prominent oppositionist and a member of the Jewish community of Turkey.

- Fethullah Gulen himself, as the main media in the United States inform us, was not seen either in anti -Semitism or in antipathy to other nations?

- Officially, Gulen preaches the dialogue of civilizations, peaceful coexistence, and religion. The deepening of contacts between the various branches of Islam and the connections of Islam with the "people of Scripture", as Muslims call followers of the other two monotheistic religions, Judaism and Christianity. I personally met with Gulen and heard such speeches from him. However, people who know him well, say that this is a double -bottomed person, that he has a hidden agenda. The video filled fifteen years ago circulates, by the way, Gulen swears and is afraid that she is fake, in which he completely frankly sets out his views on how the Islamists should gradually, step by step, be introduced into the institutions of power and capture the entire state from the inside. While Erdogan and Gulen remained allies, the future president made the same assurances in the fake of the record.

- The Obama administration immediately condemned the coup attempt and completely supported Erdogan. And she called on Turkish citizens to do the same.

Obama, unfortunately, hurried hard

- To condemn the military interference in politics is a purely reflex reaction of Western democracies. It seems to me that it was a hasty step. It is one thing to brand a putsch, another is to call the Turks to unity with the government before this government proved that it will deal with what happened on the basis of the law, without resorting to excessive repressions and without opposing public freedom. Erdogan, I am sure, will now declare that Washington supports everything he does, although this is not at all. Obama, unfortunately, hurried strongly.

- 1979, the US Presidential Administration Jimmy Carter, wanting to propitiate a new revolutionary power in Iran, pressed the many -year -old and faithful ally of Washington Shah Mohammed Rela Pahlavi , who found a refuge in America, and although she did not return him to Tehran, forced a broken and sick person to move to Panama. Fethullah Gulen has a residence permit in the United States, he did not have Pahlavi; Shah was sixty, Gulen seventy -five years old, he is also very sick, and therefore, in order to be next to advanced medicine (he needs dialysis of the kidneys), since 1999 he has been living in the United States. In the political situation of 1979 and 2016, it is not difficult to find certain parallels. Are, in your opinion, the parallels in the personal fate of the exiles are possible?

- The term of the Board of the Obama administration is coming to an end, so it is not difficult for her to stretch the matter for a couple of months and simply bequeath his successor. However, everything can happen. After all, Kerry did not respond to Erdogan’s demand for extradition to the instantaneous “for nothing”. I just want to remind you that the precedent is not at all comforting: a compromise decision on the shah of the Iranians did not satisfy, but only a passionate desire to blackmail America was even more in exciting and fueled, ”recalls Michael Rubin .

American political scientist Edward Luttvak , the author of the classic treatise entitled "Council: Practical Guide", wrote after the failure of the Turkish coup that the conspirators made two gross mistakes: they did not arrest Erdogan and did not blocked the combat units of the gendarmerie located near the nodal points subject to seizure, whose command they could not be inclined to your side, neither convince to remain neutral. How did the army, which has such a rich experience of state coups behind him, allowed such egregious miscalculations? Fethullah Gulen uttered the following phrase in this connection: nothing converges, the coup was false, Erdogan himself arranged it to get a preposition to get rid of political rivals.

- Conspirology is the destiny of those who know and do not understand anything, but Gulen is a very knowledgeable person?

- This conspiracy theory will be executed for a very long time. What will give us the opportunity to return to the conversation that has begun today.

Can Türkiye play an effective role in the war against extremists in Syria if its armed forces are bloodless? What will happen to foreign investments in Turkey in the situation of immeasurably growing political risks? Events in Turkey expose another important transnational problem: in the age of globalization and the “great resettlement of peoples” many countries, in addition to the metropolis, have an extensive diaspora, connected spiritually with the homeland and affecting the policy of the country of residence, Michael Rubin recalls:

- About three million Turks settled in Germany, and after the failure of the coup, many thousands followed the call of Erdogan and went to demonstrations as a sign of solidarity with the government. There are enough Turkish president in Germany and opponents. German politicians from the right and left camps are concerned that Erdogan positions himself as the patron of Turks around the world, calls for them not to assimilate and tolerates Turkey’s internal problems to Germany through them. The relations of the German authorities with the Turkish community are very difficult, and now they can vilify even more.