Attractive maneuver

At first, the story with the Ambassador-Specanist Babich, who was sent to Kiev exactly so that the Ukrainians reject it. Then the attempt on Plotnitsky, opened in the fresh traces of the head of the LPR. The blown up exposed Obama, Poroshenko and their Lugansk, as well as Russian accomplices. I remembered the maneuvers of heavy equipment in Armyansk and Dzhankoy. The situation was glowing systematically, and it would be even strange if, after all these events, the FSB did not find saboteurs in the Crimea and they did not give conference. It would be illogical.

The reaction of officials in Moscow and the Crimea and the famous political scientist Markov is clear. Putin states that the authorities in Kiev "moved to the practice of terror", and actually stops negotiations "in the Norman format" - and what otherwise could be expected from Putin? The Crimean chief of Aksenov proposes to "hang saboteurs like a raven" - and in this call, given the personality of the speaker, no expert will see the slightest stretch. A living legend of Russian political science is the CIA conspiracy with Hillary and Poroshenko in order to UNASECTION Poor Trump - well, how else could Professor Markov be responding to the capture of terrorists?

Another thing is incomprehensible: why is it all, and what will happen next?

The discussions are worthy of three versions. Vladimir Vladimirovich is planning a new war. Vladimir Vladimirovich wrapps up military hysteria in order to solve the accumulated external and domestic political problems. Vladimir Vladimirovich, tearing the rest of the Russians in the Crimea, seeks to lure them to Turkey. To the joy of the former enemy Erdogan, now repented and representing a huge geopolitical value.

It would be better not to talk about the war at all, so as not to get in to eat. However, objectivity should be recognized for the sake of it that this plot itself does not seem completely incredible. We still deal with Putin, who has developed difficult and deeply personal relations with the so-called reality. And if the patriotic choir in his head imperiously dictates to him the need to return to his native harbor everything that lies poorly abroad of our country, then he does so. Let us recall at least about the Crimea, where they have just tied impudent Ukrainian citizens.

As for the war with terror as a means of expansion, this scheme has long been rolled up, even within the boundaries of the Russian Federation. Let us recall at least the houses and villains blown up in Moscow, whom he promised to wet everywhere where he would find. Then they were found in Chechnya, now road signs seem to clearly indicate Kiev, and as part of an urgently convened Security Council of the Russian Federation on the "scenario of anti -terrorism security measures" is said quite clearly. However, these special events, according to the official press release, will be held on the territory of Russia, and here we will probably put an end, not wanting to delve into the topic. I would like to believe that there will be no big war.

The plot associated with the raking of intra -Russian and diplomatic rubble is no longer so depressed, and even more believable. In the fall, the elections to the Duma, which will not be so easy to drive the people and even more so, make it vote for the party, led by a pretty, but too, or something, a simple-minded prime minister. In this sense, the total mobilization of the electorate is useful in the face of Bandera’s brutal hordes of Bandera saboteurs controlled from Washington. There is no money, Medvedev said correctly, but we, who clicked on television screens, today we will further explain why teachers and pensioners do not have enough of them. That's why there is not enough that almost all the means that Shuvalov did not waste with his dogs are spent on the Chekists who are fighting with the Americans in Dzhankoy. It seems that the people will believe these explanations and will provide a turnout in September. Especially in the Crimea.

Foreign policy calculations are another matter - here it is hardly possible to unconditionally count on success. For the strategy for the hesitation of Western partners has not yet been just justified and is unlikely to justify itself in the future. After all, a lot has already been said and done, starting with conversations about the radioactive ash and ending with a civil war in the Donbass with a relatively smooth transition to bombing in Syria. That is why the latest blackmail technologies, losing the taste of novelty, may not have the proper effect on America and Europe. That is, no one will cancel the sanctions, and their possible tightening is just excluded. For example, after the publication of the MH17 report promised in the fall, in which information about terrorists from the DPR will gain completeness and accuracy of the judicial sentence. Well, not every problem is completely solved, and if Western politicians cannot be scared, then the Russian authorities are pleased with its citizens. By the way, it was always easier for her to negotiate with them than with foreigners, for that they and their own.

However, the most optimistic, to some extent even life-affirming, the third version seems. As for Putin, tourists and Erdogan. In the yard Augustus, the holiday season is gradually moving to an end, and friends literally just completely reconciled. How to prove a friendly location? They will talk in Syria for a long time, and there are grounds to assume that they will never agree. About tomatoes honest Medvedev already said everything, reassuring domestic manufacturers: they say, the enemy will not pass, the niche is busy, keep here, good mood and health to you. The construction business and the Antalya remains. And how to convince the Russians to go to where there were terrorist attacks the day before yesterday, yesterday is a putty and it is not known what will happen tomorrow?

And so. First, tanks in Armyansk and Dzhankoy, disconnected Internet, shooting, infantry accumulations, military helicopters and drones. Then saboteurs, whose advertising is made in the Kremlin and on the guestelekanals. And although the head of Rosturism himself Oleg Safonov, who conducts a vacation in the Crimea, claims that the safety of vacationers is “ensured at the highest level”, the gullible in general Russians will most likely not believe him. They will believe Putin and go to Erdogan, whom Vladimir Vladimirovich will also check. Being an enemy, he stepped up for the Crimean Tatars, but what will he say now? So far, he is silent and probably passes the exam.

So what will happen in the end? Local war with good prospects for global expansion? Successful mobilization of the masses within Russia with inevitable further isolation? Or will the conflict with saboteurs gradually resolve by itself, but many compatriots will be happy in Turkey? However, the third version quite gets along with the second, but the first does not get along with any. It is basically incompatible with life, and this is still quite disturbing, despite all our reluctance to develop this topic and natural optimism. The trouble is that, on the principle of incompatibility with life, a policy of the Kremlin leadership is based, as internal, in particular external and fresh news about Putin and terrorists - another confirmation of this. Their stream does not run out of the seventeenth year, and we are already drowning in this vast accusation.