Translated material
If it does not die Karimov
The mysterious fate of Islam Karimov, who either died or is in a coma after a stroke, or is not shown to the public for other reasons, pushes the public to the ungrateful genre of forecasts (especially apocalyptic).
I think about the dear Facebook, that now it shakes well, fasten your belts, we enter the turbulence zone.
And the most alarming is that the next next in line is the khan of neighboring endless steppes. And this is what will begin there when he goes to drink koumiss into heavenly camps is known only to the eternal blue sky.
And I really want to make mistakes, but I’m afraid that the problems that we have and have because of galloping non -brothers will seem to be a childish babble in comparison with this ...
But Mitya Aleshkovsky chewed the most violent discussion, making it only one tweet.
Now, if Putin would have died today. Who would come to power tomorrow? I think about it and becomes scary.
- Mitya Aleshkovsky (@Aleshru) August 29, 2016
Fierce correspondence followed. We are simply not able to reproduce it - we will give only a few quotes.
@nesteliza_ @ssmirnov @aleshru Changes are necessary, no one argues. I'm just afraid for those who do not survive possible radical events
- Vorobyeva (@vorobievaya) August 29, 2016
I am for Aleshkovsky, of course
- Ilya (31+) (@vasyunin) August 29, 2016
@Aleshru @vorobievay under Putin already blood (Dagestan), a bunch of innocent planted. Without it there is a hope that there will be no blood
- Smirnov (@ssmirnov) August 29, 2016
The threat to the country and stability is not in the death of the dictator, but in the life of the dictator https://t.co/sbogevs8n8
- Leonid Volkov (@leonidvolkov) August 30, 2016
@Aleshru @ssmirnov @vadim_dergachev - Yes! God forbid this fox will die, which devours our offspring, because it will be even worse! - The hens clucked
- Schuvalova dog (@Avtoxton) August 29, 2016
@Aleshru @ssmirnov @vadim_dergachev - there will be hell! - The sheep blew - let's give to eat the wolf of another of ours. And then if you die?!
- Schuvalova dog (@Avtoxton) August 29, 2016
I am sure that the conditional great -grandfather of Mitya Aleshkovsky (I wonder who he was in 1937?) Wrote denunciations of my great -grandfather, shot in a large terror.
- Russian tutor (@vadim_dergachev) August 29, 2016
If Putin dies, millions will die. Give Putin the Kremlin pill.
- Russian tutor (@vadim_dergachev) August 30, 2016
Mitya even summed up the conversation with such a tweet.
In general, it would be worth writing a post and disassembleing yesterday’s dispute, but I feel so sick of rudeness and arrogance of the m monsters, that I will probably refrain
- Mitya Aleshkovsky (@Aleshru) August 30, 2016
However, Alexey Navalny prompted him to return to the topic:
Nothing new, it is just amazing how eternal this discussion is.
In someone’s memoirs, he read how the people experienced the death of Stalin. Everyone was in shock and expected war. It is not clear with whom, but she must happen: after all, he died, and it was on him that everything was holding on. And there were such conversations on the streets: for Stalin, the people were ready to die .. And now what? For Malenkov, what about to die? No, the people will not die for Malenkov.
And then the week passed, and do not die either for Malenkov, or for Khrushchev, or at all. The other has passed. The sun shines. Water flows from the tap. There is no war.
The years have passed, and we have the same thing: the Nazis will come to power and there will be innocent sacrifices.
Yesterday I dared to write on Twitter that I was “scared to think”, what would happen to Russia tomorrow, if not Karimov, but Putin had died yesterday.
Dear and respected liberal friends instantly ran up and began to throw me with shit, claiming that I became a missile, because I was "afraid." Some, like Vadim Dergachev, began to say that it was necessary to beat me with a bat on the head, and that my great -grandfather at Stalin wrote denunciations, and from this I grew up - a supporter of Putin and his politics.
Of course, I am not a supporter of Putin, and even more so his politicians. But the very fact that people reached a brutality so incredibly scared me. And this additionally inspires the fear for what will happen to Russia when Putin leaves when these brutal “Vadim Dergachevs” will count on something in power, but the worst, of course, is not in this.
The political system is now built in such a way that there is no option, in my opinion, an option of “soft” transition of power at all. Well, true, Putin leaves, Chechnya instantly leaves him, the entire Caucasus instantly leaves for it, the war begins. This is one of the options. Or Putin leaves, and instead of him, some of his guard stands up. Protests, cleaning, repression and so on begin. There is no diversity of political parties, nor formed political alternatives to the regime, nothing.
That is, everything is now built so terribly that in the event of a collapse of the system, everything will fall apart in general.
And it is from this that I get scared. It is scary that even more people will die than perish now, because processes like those that happened in Donetsk and Lugansk will begin. It is scary that the weakest, most unprotected will die.
But human life, judging by the same, does not care about any of my dear and respected liberal friends, they are ready for rebellion and revolution with any number of victims, just to throw power, and this is also scary.
"If not Putin, then who."
"Putin is the main liberal."
"Better horror endlessly than a terrible end."
Well, what is the darkness, and
All night, the progressive intelligentsia discussed the death of Islam Karimov on Twitter. Of course, through the prism of Putin: these people have everything through Putin, even you can’t calmly go to the refrigerator. The intelligentsia came to logical conclusions: if suddenly Putin dies, then the Nazis will come to power. So well, nafig all these force majeure, instability and unplanned transfer of power.
Oh, you are my Zainki.
There is such a joke about the boy Mitya Aleshkovsky, whose path to the house lay through Biryulyovo. And so he left the metro, at midnight, it’s scary to go; He sees - an uncle, an ordinary such a simple Russian man of about 45, strong, with a cross on his chest. He approaches him and says: uncle, let's go together. Well, they go, go, the man asks: why are you, Mitenka, yourself did not go? But the fact is, the boy answers that I am very afraid of Russian fascists. "Why be afraid of us?" - Uncle is surprised.
Or maybe there is no such joke. This is not the point.
And the bottom line is that there is no stronger and more reliable support to the regime than all these people with pleasant good faces. Very well imagined who else will endure them in Russia after Putin’s departure.
Properly representing, I must say.
But we don’t have to be afraid.
Pavel Pryanikov on his new site offers two options for the future:
Against the backdrop of a coma (or death) of the President of Uzbekistan Karimov, conversations among the network intelligentsia again went: what will happen after Putin. There are two forks.
The first: an introductory transfer of power to system liberals (in European terminology - right -wing conservatives), where the “children of Arbat” and “Chekists” are mixed, the third is already the publication of Andropov and its convergence. According to the law, acting Medvedev becomes the president before the elections, then the usual current mechanisms of managed elections will be included. As a result, the same Latin America as today, but with slightly less cruelty.
The second fork (almost fantastic)-in a transitional chaos (pieces fall off the country, gangs are scolding in dark corners, a crisis of cities, etc.) undergo democratic elections at first in some kind of constituent meeting. There, like a hundred years ago, red-brown (then the Socialist-Revolutionaries, now the Rqual of the Communist Party, some other left-wing radical groups, nationalists and radical groups of their wing-in the ratio of about 40% +5-7% +15% +3-5, i.e. a total of about 2/3 of the parliament). And then there is no way to look at - where the curve will take out.
PS Where does the election numbers come from? Many times I already wrote about the research of the Institute of Sociology of the Russian Academy of Sciences, which show that Russia is a country of left-winging with a small admixture of moderate nationalism, these views are characteristic of 60-65% of the country's population.
I don't understand only one. If the Russian fascist people, for example, will go to overthrow Putin, and the liberals at that moment will cling to the Putin’s boot with a cry “Father, you are our European one, do not destroy!”, Then who should be lustful then?
But who!
The next Duma, on the initiative of Yarovoy, will be accepted by the law on the ban on the discussion of the post-Putin Russia based on yesterday's thread Smirnov-Aleshkovsky
- Stanislav the Wise (@stmydry) August 30, 2016
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Ivan Belyaev
Social Networks Editor Radio Liberty