Alexander Golts: "According to the scenarios of the Cold War"

“Do not believe high -reason experts, both domestic and foreign, who love to talk about the complexity of forecasts against Russia. In fact, there is nothing easier. You take the worst scenario of all possible - and please, it is quite quickly realized,” writes the chef of the “daily journal” .

"Two weeks ago, I wrote that the breakdown of the Russian-American armistice in Syria threatens a direct military clash of Russian and the US forces in this country. Today, such a development of events looks more than likely. Representatives of the diplomatic and defense departments of the two main nuclear states are exchanged with dental comments. From Washington, they warn that the continuation of Russian participation in the attack on Aleppo It threatens that our country will begin to receive its troops in bags of corpses, and even the fact that terrorist attacks can be taken to our cities. The regret states: the Russians puffed it (I want to add that this is not the first time). "

"Washington assures that the main goal of the agreement with Russia about the truce was to prevent a humanitarian catastrophe in Aleppo, which would storm the so -called government forces, including the detachments of the Iranian and Afghan" volunteers ", the forces of the Iranian" Hizballlah "and the bloodless units of the Syrian army. The shelling of heavy artillery and powerful powerful artillery and powerful The blows of Russian aviation are now threatening to turn Aleppo into a semblance of Grozny in 2005.

The only way to reduce the number of victims the West considers the introduction of a useless zone over Syria. The resolution developed on this score France will be presented in the UN Security Council in the near future. However, there is practically no chance of taking it. In this situation, the likelihood that the United States may try to stop the forces of Assad through airstrikes. Despite the fact that Russia provides them with air support. Here are the prerequisites for a military clash. "

A year ago, Russia entered the war in Syria, proving that its goal is to destroy terrorists from the Islamic State ( Daish , the organization is prohibited in Russia. - Note Newsru.com ). The unnamed (and the main, in my opinion) goal was to exit the international isolation caused by the annexation of Crimea and the "secret war" in the Donbass. At the same time, Moscow, who sent its air group to Syria, created a situation where the Americans had no choice but to join the dialogue with Russia. And Obama reluctantly met with Putin twice. It seems that this can be considered the main success of the Russian operation. "

“One way or another, as a result of Russian intervention, the situation has acquired a classic form of“ war ”(Proxy War) of the Cold War era. We have seen all this repeatedly: in Vietnam, Afghanistan, Nicaragua. Moscow and Washington, they are arming“ their ”customers, who wage a merciless war with each other. When the situation becomes critical, military advisers pushing stupidly The natives themselves click on the gun sights and sit at the helm of combat aircraft. "

"Thus, our foreign policy clearly acquires the forms of the Cold War. The same that a quarter of a century ago has finished the Soviet Union ...".