Will the era of change begin in 2017?

Perhaps the expectation will drag on

Not in chorus. But - loudly. Experts promise protests. Their core will be the middle class. After all, he is “the most active in the political sense,” says Professor MGIMO Valery Solovy. And his "enough to become a nutritious ground change."

The professor does not believe in the "bloody revolution." But he believes that “the political situation ... will radically change over the next two years. And, it seems ... It was in the 17th year. " And for success, "we must think in advance about what you will do if the people suddenly go to the square." After all, power "changes ... only as a result of pressure."

But who is ready to “press” in Russia in Russia? Which today is the only center of power. And he knows about it. And also that “when the enemy begins to understand that those whom he presses is not going to retreat ... He thinks,” says Lieutenant General Leonid Reshetnikov, the recent director of the Russian Institute for Strategic Research (RISI). There will be no “bloody revolution”, but also surrender too.

But the audience loves such forecasts. They do not let her get bored. Reflect dreams. “Liberals” - about classical democracy and return to Europe. "Retrogrades" - about the Help Office of himself and the stranger.

The former conduct single pickets. The second - on the marchs of the NOD they make noise: “The Motherland is in danger!”, “State Department, hands off Kievan Rus!”, “You give the authority to the head of state to clean the traitors in power!”, Obviously, “liberals” in the Council of People's Commissars.

This is an avant -garde. Following - the legion of experts of the Council of People's Commissars and deputies of the State Duma.

In the desire for changes, they see assistance to “foreign government agencies and international organizations that implement geopolitical interests in the line of anti -Russian policy”, as the coordinator of the CSTO analytical association Igor Panarin. Professor Andrei Manoilo is already heading “Information Wars and“ Color Revolutions ”in the modern world” - the scum is pursing to Kramol. The deputy head of the Institute of Strategic Research and Forecasts Nikita Danyuk secretly evaluates the “protest potential” at “more than 40 Moscow and dozens of regional universities”, revealing “destructive propaganda”.

The prosecutor checks: is Alexei Matilda’s film correctly true - “Anti -Russian provocation in the field of culture”, as the “Tsarist Cross” movement believes? Or - the fuse of the Civil War, what is the coordinator of the Public Committee for the Protection of the Traditional and Constitutional Rights of Citizens in the State Duma Nikolai Mishustin. And “the reaction of people,” says the deputy Poklonskaya, “a bell, that something is wrong ...”

And people react. “Russian officers” block the exhibition “without embarrassment”, the nameless “social activists” are in the “direct look”.

Who are they? A network of structures, hostile changes.

They - both those who are “with Lenin in the head”, and those who “with the king are in their heads” will be happy to help the National Guard with the number of 340 thousand fighters created to “ensure public security” and “public order protection” from the people in the square.

The philosopher Alexander Pyatigorsk believed: in Russia there is no "resources of the negative energy necessary for the totalitarian project." Warm? Ildar Dadin announces torture; "Militias" remain in the Donbass; 84.6% of youth allow the death penalty, and 49% of citizens want to return it; 54% consider the positive role of Stalin; 66% are waiting for a “hard hand”.

Here is such energy, according to specialists of the Higher School of Economics and NSU. N.I. Lobachevsky, FOM, Levada Center and VTsIOM, reigns in society. And power, as a center of power, captures its inviolability. And although her success is not total, disagreed - a minority: up to 30% of citizens. And although it is creative and active, little speaks of his thirst for change.

Perhaps, another center of power with strategy and resources could accumulate and direct it - the subject of change. But where is he?

Yes, the middle class (and not only) is demoralized, frightened and annoyed by the results of the elections, the fall of income, restrictions, persecution of disagreements, groans of propaganda, indistinguishability of prospects. But these are emotions. And the protest is an action. And turning one into another is a big, difficult job. Question: Who makes it? The answer to it, perhaps, would add conviction forecasts.