Victims of war

The wreckage of the Tu-154 aircraft of the aircraft of the Tu-154 aircraft broken down in the Black Sea near the Black Sea. The devices of ships participating in the search operation also may have been spotted at the bottom of the fuselage of the victim of the airliner. Among the most likely causes of the disaster, officials are still called technical malfunction or piloting error. Nevertheless, experts surveyed by Radio Liberty believe that the version of the attack is to exclude early and, in any case, people who died in the disaster should be considered the next victims of the Russian military operation in Syria.

The Federal Security Service of Russia (FSB) did not find signs of sabotage or a terrorist act on board the Tu-154 of the Ministry of Defense, which was divided on Sunday, Interfax reports . The department also said that the aircraft did not transport military goods or pyrotechnic products. As the main versions, it is considered the ingress of foreign objects, the failure of engines due to poor-quality fuel, piloting error and the technical malfunction of the aircraft. It is reported that the fragments were found at a depth of 25 meters and that some of them were already raised to the surface.

Interfax reports that the devices of one of the ships involved in the search operation were spotted an object one and a half kilometers from the shore, resembling the outlines of the aircraft fuselage. According to RIA Novosti sources, some bodies were found dressed in life vests. The Russian Ministry of Defense refutes this information .

Search for the dead in Sochi

The operation to search for the aircraft and the remains of passengers continues the second day. Emergency services, military, police and representatives of the Sochi administration participate in it. Abkhazia connected to the search - it was reported that part of the fragments could take the flow to its territorial waters. December 26 is announced in Russia in the day of mourning. In a number of cities, promotions were held in memory of the dead.

The Tu-154 plane of the Russian Ministry of Defense, heading to Syria, collapsed into the Black Sea near Sochi on the morning of December 25. All 92 people on board are declared dead. Among them is the main composition of the Aleksandrov song and dance ensemble, journalists, military personnel and head of the Fair Assistance Foundation Elizabeth Glinka. The main versions of the causes of the disaster are the pilot error and the technical malfunction. The version of the attack is considered, but not as a priority.

Choir of Alexandrov

About why the Russian authorities hastened to reject the version of the attack, says Vadim Lukashevich aviation expert:

- At the moment, the investigations, when the primary evidence and information are taking place, no version cannot be ruled out, no matter how unlikely it seemed - up to a direct hit on the meteorite plane. And only then, as the facts appear, examinations, evidence can be cut off unlikely versions and focus on the main ones. Therefore, in itself, a sharp denial of the version of the terrorist attack is in this case Moveton. This may indicate that the investigation has already initially went on the objective path.

- Why did the Russian government immediately deny the version of the attack?

The attack is the worst version tied to Syria

- Because this is the most bad version for us, which has great political consequences. Moreover, this will be one hundred percent to Syrian events. If, for example, this is a terrorist attack, then this is actually the third “account” after the murder of the ambassador that we are presented for Syria and Aleppo. The first was the A-321 with our tourists, blown up over Sinai. And if we consider all cases, then a very bad trend is obtained. Then the plane flew out of Sharm El Sheikh, this is an airport with a rather holey security system. Until the last, we did not recognize what happened by the terrorist attack, although this was already clear to everyone. All the main governments, basic intelligence, have already announced this. The Americans confirmed that the outbreak was noticeable from the satellite. Already the Egyptians understood this, having removed the directors of the airport, starting cleaning among security services.

We already understood this de facto, because we urgently exported 80 thousand tourists from there. But to officially admit that this is a terrorist attack, we decided only after two weeks. And at the same time, in the early days we could not find the president, he just disappeared somewhere. Then the bomb was placed on the territory of someone else's airport. Our ambassador was shot in Turkey, killed a Turkish security officer having weapons, at that moment the security system was not ours either. And if we assume that the crash of the aircraft in Sochi is a terrorist attack, then the situation is radically changing. This is a military side, he flew out of the military airfield, refuel in Sochi - these are from modern Russian airports with the best security system, taking into account the fact that both the Caucasus and the Olympics were held there. If this is a terrorist attack, it is no longer an ordinary one: just some kind of suicide bomb or a lone fanatic would not be able to prepare him.

- If you develop the version of the attack - is it more likely a rocket that has entered the plane, or an explosion on board?

The pilots did not manage to convey anything, the plane simply disappeared

- The rocket is theoretically possible. But even in this case, the pilots would still have time to once react. The rocket would fly into the tail of the plane and cut down one engine, well, two. But still, the pilots would have had some time. Here, at least, as we know from the public information space, the pilots did not manage to convey anything at all. The plane just disappeared. So, there was such an impact when the pilots for some reason either could not, or did not have time to react, even pressing the emergency button. And this tells us that there was something completely extraordinary on board.

- Experts are now looking forward to deciphering black boxes. You say that the Russian government is very unprofitable about the terrorist attack. The authorities will thoroughly hide this. Is it possible to falsify information from the "black boxes", not convey it to the public?

Here you can just hang the stamp "Secret"

- Of course, possible. But to falsify "black boxes" is not necessary. Why? After all, this ensemble, which flew, plus high -ranking generals, military personnel - all military servants. Here you just do not need to falsify anything. Here you can simply hang the stamp "secret", and that’s it! A very limited circle of persons will know the real reason. And for us, the Ministry of Defense will conduct another briefing. We know how they spend them. If you recall a briefing on the Boeing Malaysian Boeing July 24, 2014, so there was not a single word of truth at all. And they after a year or a half after the next briefing recognized this. At first they claimed that the Su-25 aircraft was nearby. Then they said that it was not. They lie on the move how they breathe! Therefore, it is very easy to hide the truth here, ”says Vadim Lukashevich.

About the reasons for the crash of the Tu-154 is discussed by a test pilot, Honored pilot of Russia Vadim Bazykin :

They understood that an emergency was happening

- You need to find at least just a speech informant, study negotiations inside the cab, then everything will be clear. Still, in this aircraft at least five people are in the same cabin, from their negotiations everything will become clear. They already knew everything, since they began to turn around. But so far there are more questions than answers. Why did the chassis bounced? This means they released the chassis. So they were preparing to land. So, they understood that some kind of emergency was happening!

As for the aircraft, this machine corresponds to the goals and objectives of such flights. This aircraft did not fly 15-16 hours a day, it executed flights three times a week, it had a raid of 7 thousand hours. This is a new car, in fact, although it is 33 years old. Age in aviation does not mean anything. After the overhaul, it is completely nicknamed, tapped. Tu-154-good cars with perfect aerodynamics. Yes, this is the third generation, it differs from the modern fourth in that the pilots control these aircraft, and the computer controls with new aircraft, and the pilot already controls the computer, and even then by 20 percent. Therefore, the human factor is almost excluded there. But on old cars, the third generation, it cannot be excluded. Perhaps the catastrophe is a consequence of several overlapping errors.

- How believable is the version of the attack?

We cannot take a step without a thought of a terrorist attack, unfortunately

- We live in such a situation that in any case it is believable. We cannot take a step without a thought of a terrorist attack, unfortunately. It must be considered necessarily. Specially trained people should investigate this.

-In general, Russian pilots have some instructions-how to behave if you suddenly suspected that a terrorist attack is being prepared on board?

- There are general instructions. Previously, they were united for all airlines, now each airline has its own instructions. It says that you need to take all measures for a safe flight. We must return, we must agree to all proposals. All aggressive actions in flight are prohibited unambiguously. The main goal is the safety of passengers, ”said the pilot Vadim Bazykin.

Roman Gusarov, editor-in-chief of the Avia.ru publication, believes that it is too early to talk about the causes of the accident, but recalls that most incidents and disasters associated with the Tu-154 occurred due to pilots' mistakes:

Tu-154 proved his right to exist

-The Tu-154 plane has a long and glorious story. He first took off in 1968 and since then became, in fact, our flagship or the main wings of Soviet civil aviation. Over the years of its operation, all possible technical issues, problems and shortcomings have been eliminated. And, as experts say, its design is so “licked” that no unknown moments of its operation already exist. Therefore, this aircraft has been operated quite reliably and is still operated. This is precisely what the aircraft proved its right to exist. If the aircraft has any serious design flaws, technical disabilities, then such a plane quickly leaves the arena. Successful designs fly for decades.

By the way, few know about this, but the famous Boeing 747 Jumbo aircraft, two-story, is only a year younger than the Tu-154. And this plane is still flying, moreover, it is modernized and produced in series. Another thing is that the Tu-154 aircraft is not seriously produced, since the aerodynamic scheme of this aircraft does not allow us to further satisfy modern ecology requirements, for emissions of harmful substances into the atmosphere, in noise on the ground, and efficiency. Therefore, the production of this aircraft was completed, but not because he was so many years old. If these above issues could be resolved, then he would continue to modernize and be in serial production.

-And what is the history of the Aquarius of the Tu-154?

Most accidents are a human factor

-In the history of the Tu-154 there were enough accidents and disasters. Of course, it is necessary to consider not just their number, but the number of disasters in terms of the total raid of this aircraft. If the plane does not fly, then, of course, disasters do not occur with it. Conversely, the more aircraft in operation, the more intensively they fly, the more likely the occurrence of a particular incident, case, accident or disaster. If you look at the retrospective of the previous 15 years, then we will see that all the disasters that took place with this aircraft were in no way associated with its technical condition or with the design of the aircraft. Almost always it was a human factor - an error in operation, an error in piloting, a mistake in decision -making, said Air Expert Roman Gusarov.

About why the Russian government does not want to consider a version of a terrorist attack on an airplane flying to Syria, and about the further consequences of Russian participation in this military conflict, Radio Liberty said politician Leonid Gozman :

If this is a terrorist attack, then another 100 people are added to the existing victims of the war

- Why do they refuse the version of the attack? It is clear why, because then these are the victims of the war. Once the Supreme Commander said that "these are absolutely wonderful teachings." When we entered Syria, it was said that there could not be victims there by definition, because we would bomb from some great height. And the Islamic State terrorist group ( prohibited in Russia. - RS ) has no relevant missiles. And that it will be a "absolutely safe walk." I remember the first report from our military base there, as a charming, very pretty young brewing girl, she said that she was preparing pancake pilots. All this was very touching and cute. And I thought - what will happen if the bandits capture this base? Because, no matter how you relate to our power, the Islamic State group, of course, bandits - so if they capture this base, what will happen to this girl? But they said that there would be no victims. If this is a terrorist attack, then the existing victims of the war, and there are already 300 of them, if you count the plane over the Sinai, almost 100 people are added. Naturally, they do not want it. Therefore, they will fight back from this version.

- And you have an answer to the question - why is this war to Vladimir Putin?

He wants to remain in history as a person who headed the anti -American front

- I think that he has been in power for so long that he solved a lot of problems. He solved his personal problems. He established a life system in the country as he considers correct. I don’t like it, but he likes it, in all likelihood, etc. After such a long stay in power, his main task becomes in history. It seems to me that he wants to remain in history as a person who headed the anti-American world front, who was a great geopolitical figure, and the collector of the Russian lands, and the builder of the Russian world, and Russia again became a great world power, and he is something like Peter or Catherine. I think he sees himself in this series. This is completely terrible, of course. Perhaps Syria was chosen to conduct a small victorious war, for uniting the population. Please note that the "injection of Crimea" has long ceased to act. When Crimea was attached to the Russian Federation, the vast majority of the population of Russia had a holiday on this subject. Now people still consider the accession of Crimea right, this has not gone anywhere, but joy has gone, gave way to embittage, a sense of isolation, hatred for everyone.

- And what can be the consequences of Russia's participation in the war in Syria?

- In addition to explosions and deaths? The fact is that the war in Syria spurred the arms race much more serious than the capture of Crimea. Syria is already completely different. One of the reasons for the collapse of the Soviet Union was that he could not withstand the arms race.

We again got into the arms race

Now we are again drawn into it. In this sense, the option of the country's collapse is not just some kind of crazy horror story, but, it seems to me, one of the real options for the development of events. Of course, the war in Syria is pushing for decay. In addition, there are a lot of other consequences. Since if the government loses its position, then its natural reaction to this is the strengthening of repression, ”says Leonid Gozman .