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You should always distinguish any event and reaction to it, the consequences of the reaction.
The reaction of the Russian authorities to the explosion in St. Petersburg was hysteria on television channels, the horn of this very power. And the order for the conduct of the so -called anti -terrorism rallies in the regions, to the peak of anti -corruption shares. As reported: "Especially in those places where the shares were held on March 26."
If the explosions of houses in Moscow on Dubrovka and Volgodonsk, the murder of Litvinenko, Nemtsov and Voronenkov definitely needs Putin, then not everything is so obvious with the metro terrorist attack.
At first glance, the attack is not in the interests of the Russian government. Since it undermines a certain stability, the foundations of the current status quo. But there is but.
Exactly the same picture was with the Nord-Ost, Beslan. It seems that they did not need Putin, but those very terrorist attacks contributed, gave an impetus to the establishment of authoritarianism in Russia, the regime of sole rule. They really helped in the twisting of the nuts. After Beslan, the governor’s elections were canceled, an appointment system was introduced. Then they allowed the governors to choose back, but these elections are not much different from appointments. In general, after the attacks, Mr. Putin’s power acquired truly immense size, his dictatorship was actually established in the country.
The last attack is perhaps the most politicized in its consequences of all previous ones. I don’t remember that they had previously accused their own opposition, their fellow citizens, fighting peaceful methods. This is the top of cynicism. Then they really said that the contractor is a Russian citizen, originally from Kyrgyzstan, but Uzbek by nationality. But suspicion of the opposition has already been thrown, this affects the minds of people. The writer Prokhanov divorced on the TV channels to the point that without any reason announced that this opposition blew people in the subway. He is not aware that not a single normal person, in his right mind and solid memory, will believe in it. But if you methodically drive the same thought into the heads, it will remain at the level of the subconscious.
All the time they inspire that ISIS (*) in Syria, the anti -Russian forces in Ukraine and the opposition in Russia are the links of one chain that they are coordinated from one center, from the Washington regional committee. And the other speaker continued the line, dividing the whole world into two parts. The first part in his opinion is the "bright" forces, led by Russia, which is led by who you know who. And the second part is the "dark" forces that are coordinated from Washington. This "dark" forces and by hook or by crook crap Russia, they created destructive organizations, like ISIS (*), Ukraine, Russian opposition. And they control them, thinly pulling the threads. In general, a complete set of conspiracy and delirium.
Why such a reaction? Putin began preparations for the election presidential campaign. His mode is internally very weak. He is afraid that he will not be able to be nominated for a new term. The existence of any, not even very strong opposition, in his understanding poses a threat to him. His rating does not guarantee him, because it is a linden, bloated like a soap bubble and can burst at any time. Moreover, the explosion reduces support indicators. Putin has no support in society.
To maintain power, he needs confrontation. This is the technology of holding power. It is necessary to create the image of the enemy, scare the society with this enemy, having previously demonized this enemy, endowing the most sinister features. Especially if you attach the opposition to the Islamists who kill people. Then the people will easily vote for power, taking it for the smaller of evils. If there is no enemy, then the people will ask unpleasant questions to the government, turn away from it. Then the authorities are the end.
And the main enemy in the near future, at least until the end of the presidential campaign was announced by the Russian opposition. It is possible that the rest, America, West, Ukraine will temporarily go to enemies of the second category. Or maybe not. You cannot exclude an attempt to attack the Ukrainian direction to declare victory and raise the rating. I would like to hope that the neighboring fraternal people will be able to avoid a new round of aggression.
The tougher the confrontation, the easier it is for the authorities to justify the mobilization of resources for self -preservation. The worse the situation, the more supporters of the hard hand. In case of further deterioration, an extreme version may arise: anyone who votes against Putin to equate terrorism to accomplices. Until that we have not reached.
Putin began his ascent to power with terrorist attacks. It is possible that they will end with their political career. The history of a century ago testifies to if the Bolsheviks had not acted as emergency methods, they would hardly have held power. It is possible that the current government will resort to them in case of emergency. The ruling regime is now weaker than five years ago.
An explosion has just occurred in Rostov-on-Don. The scale is insignificant, but suspiciously close to Ukraine. A favorable occasion for attacks on a neighboring country from the pro -Kremlinsky.
* The material is mentioned in the organization ISIS, whose activity is prohibited in the Russian Federation