Ilya Milstein: Before and after the bombing

From the first day of his stay in the White House, Donald Trump solves a number of problems, at first glance insoluble. This is a “weak Obama”, with whom the new president is uniting day and night, trying to correct all his so -called mistakes - equal in the policy of external and internal. These are constant scandals associated with hackers and other Russian agents of influence outside the circle and surrounded by the American president. This is a "false press." This is a record low rating, according to the results of the confrontation with the "weak Obama", scandals and a false press.

With one missile blow to the Syrian Air Force base, Shayrat Trump tried to solve all these problems.

The former president, as everyone remembers, held a red line in front of Assad’s nose, he crossed it, using chemical weapons - and Obama gave himself to persuade Putin, and there was no impact of retaliation. And Trump did not draw any lines, he simply took and hit. At the same time, Tomagavka flew into those who almost the president was ready to declare the Russian agent. Well, in Russia, he also shied away, amazing our gullible parliamentarians, who were applauded by Trump's victory yesterday. The question is, what should they do today: to uncorn the champagne bottle or to uncorn the venom of the bubble?

Another question is also causing some interest: what will happen next? Previously, except for the low -social Kim Jong -un, the President of Russia posed a real threat to humanity almost alone. One of his favorite television shows threw radioactive ash from the TV. Vladimir Vladimirovich himself, professing his own beloved television show, told how he was ready to combine nuclear weapons for the sake of Crimea. Shortly before the US elections, Putin signed a decree "On suspension ... the actions of an agreement between the Government of the Russian Federation and the Government of the United States of America ... on the disposal of plutonium", as if offering a new topic for election discussions. Hinting that with Hillary Clinton, the possible successor of Obama, he is going to strictly conflict, but with the future friend Donald Trump, they have a chance to agree.

Now, in the person of Donald’s friend, he finally found a worthy agreement on a partner. In the sense of worthy that together they can literally turn the mountains, which individual experts warned humanity long before Trump's victory. And the contractual in the sense that they speak the same language.

Punishing Bashara Assad, the US president primarily wants to end chaos in the policy of his country in the simplest way

Putin knows why Trump hit Syria: he solved his problems. Trump knows that Putin is unpleasant for his actions, but hopes that the partner will understand him. In the end, Vladimir Vladimirovich created these problems and continues to create, aimed at not only Trump’s victory, but also chaos in America, paralyzing the activities of all branches of power. Punishing Bashar al -Assad, the US president primarily wants to end this chaos in the simplest way. By designating the enemy and calling for a nation, including the hated establishment, to rally in the face of an external threat and stop thinking about all nonsense like impeachment. And this, of course, is not about the Syrian dictator with its irresistible craving for chemical weapons, but about the enemy real. About Vladimir Putin, with whom Trump had not yet been able to meet, meet, talk. Maybe it will not succeed.

However, the most likely scenario of the nearest future global disaster does not portend. An example here is the situation after the destruction of the Russian bomber in the Turkish-Syrian sky, when the Kremlin was enough not to check the effectiveness of the fifth article of the NATO Charter for the strength. That is, in the relationship between Moscow and Washington, another record low temperature will be recorded, but American tomatoes for lack of them in Russia will not crush a bulldozer, and the workers of our special propaganda and the deputy corps are disappointed in Trump, which, imagine, will be a puppet in the hands of the Russophious Generals Pentagon and the CIA. We still hear from, I assure you.

A less likely scenario involves a full -fledged crisis like Karibsky, about which Vladimir Vladimirovich warned the participants of the Arctic - Territory of Dialogue a week ago. There is an assumption that Putin’s plan consists in imitating Nikita Khrushchev, to bring the world to the edge, and there finally express their readiness for dialogue, simultaneously solving the accumulated personal problems. Now this is impossible, since no one is going to recognize him with the property of Crimea, to give him Ukraine and generally share with him the spheres of influence on the Yalta-Potsdam model. The threat of the total extermination of mankind in the fire of the third world can also make Trump more flexible. However, if the plan is just that, then there is a weak link in it, this friend Donald, who, in coolness and cruelty to Vladimir Vladimirovich, is hardly yielding.

And this is the third script that I do not want to think about at all. The version of the future, which is either at all, or it is described by the plots of films with gloomy names like "Notes of a dead person." Moreover, such plots, with all their unimaginability, unfortunately, cannot be completely excluded. And how to exclude them and not think about them when serious people have such problems. At first glance, insoluble.

Trump pleases the battles of local significance with Obama and launders his reputation in the eyes of the "false press". There is nothing to say about Putin: he is fighting alone against all. It was hard for them, these people, and it would even be necessary to regret both of them, but for some reason, at the thought of them, about the presidents of Russia and the USA, other feelings arise. So strong that you can’t express words admitted to use.

Ilya Milstein - journalist

Opinions expressed under the heading "Law" may not reflect the point of view of the editorial office