On a false spare track

The exhaustion of the export-raw model of development and exhaustion of oil and gas reserves are named among the main risk factors for Russia. This is stated in the country's economic security strategy until 2030, which was approved by Vladimir Putin. The document is published on the official portal of legal information.

Among the main threats of economic security in the document are the "exhaustion of the export-raw model of economic development, a sharp decrease in the role of traditional factors for ensuring economic growth", as well as "the absence of Russian non-people among global leaders of the world economy."

The document also refers to the depletion of the reserves of combustible minerals in connection with the gradual exhaustion of existing deposits, and the fluctuations of the conjuncture of world commodity and financial markets.

Among the main threats of economic security, the authors of the document also call the lack of labor, an increase in the gap between the revenues of the rich and the poor and the economic sanctions imposed on the country, which the authors of the document characterize as "discriminatory measures".

In addition, the strategy notes that Russia needs to improve the mechanism of introduction of response measures if it itself is under sanctions from other states, as well as optimize the flows of labor migrants.

In January, at the Gaidar Forum, the head of the Council of the Center for Strategic Development, Alexei Kudrin, said that Russia in terms of economic growth is inferior even by the USSR times of stagnation . "We are now at a fairly historically low rate of economic growth, which are even lower than during the period of stagnation in the Soviet Union," Kudrin said. - We fell into a long strip of low pace, which are not associated only with a decrease in oil prices or sanctions. We must say that the main problems lie within our Russia, and the main ones are institutional and structural. "

According to Kudrin, Russia is late with reforms. “Decisive measures are not taken that would allow you to create and launch a new model of the economy. We are facing very serious challenges that objectively restrain our economic growth,” Kudrin said. “And those steps that our country, government, president should take. They are extraordinary. They are quite serious.”

Kudrin considers the main challenges, first of all, demographic problems, a lack of investment, including the problems of sanctions and distance from world financial markets, low productivity and quality of public administration. However, the main problem is the technological gap of Russia. She, according to the head of the CSR, poses a threat to the very sovereignty of the country.

“We faced the problem of Russia's technological lag behind the world. Moreover, this, in my opinion, is the most serious challenge that we are facing in the next 10-15 years,” Kudrin said. “This means compressing our economic potential and reducing the standard of living of citizens, because we will lose markets, will not participate in these new markets.”