
Europe at a crossroads. In June, elections to the parliaments of France and Great Britain are coming, in early autumn - elections in Germany. Moscow, of course, does not sleep and really wants everything to happen in the scenario in the West. There is little scandal with the election of the President of the United States to the Kremlin, now we must now add oil to the fire in Europe. The conclusions from the story with the aunt Le Pen are made, and the Russian departments will now act more carefully. This, however, will help Moscow, since she has nothing to offer either Europe or the United States. Russian gas and oil are no longer necessary as it was at the beginning of the 21st century, in addition, Europe has removed the lessons of the energy blackmail of Moscow and builds an independent energy policy. Today, the Kremlin remains only an unenviable role to demonstrate to the whole world a dummy of democracy, which she once called "sovereign." But this is the same nonsense as the "democracy" of the dictatorship of the proletariat of the Stalin period.
The ghosts of the past began to fill our lives. A little more - and in Russia a new “iron curtain” will fall, after the West expands the “Magnitsky list” and the names of all deputies of the State Duma and the Council of Federations who voted for the annexation of Crimea will fall into this list. The State Duma will find a reason for citizens of Russia to stay at home, and not ride "in Europe." Such is the inexorable law of boomerang, arriving every time at the most unexpected time. Those who have nostalgia through the Soviet past can breathe a sigh of relief soon: here it happened! But instead of the Politburo of the CPSU, we received the KVZ Politburo, corrupt thieves in law. The opposition in Russia, meanwhile, is marginal and is not able to influence anything. In the Brezhnev times, few dissenters were planted for "anti -Soviet propaganda", and now this procedure is simplified - they began to simply shoot.
The course of history is inexorable: revolutions come to those countries where there is no evolution
Sooner or later, the number goes into a quality that will play poor service to those who hope for a successful outcome of the shameless robbery of their country. The slaves meekly silent until Spartak came. The French sent to the guillotine of King Louis XVI. In December 1989, after the Open Revolutionary Court, a couple of Chaushescu was shot. In February 2014, the President of Ukraine Yanukovych, who had hidden from popular anger in Russia, miraculously escaped reprisals. This does not mean, however, that something similar should necessarily happen in Moscow, from where in general there is nowhere to run. The course of history is inexorable: revolutions come to those countries where there is no evolution. Before Russia is a choice between the bloody revolution and the bloodless collapse of the state. This will not happen because someone wishes such a drama, but because the Russian government ignores the laws of political development.
Destructive processes launched by the Kremlin in the United States turn into an unpredictable way for Russia itself. The Americans will not forgive Putin (like anyone else) in their internal affairs. In the United States, the law and the Constitution are reigning. The result can be foreseen today: a new Cold War is not far off. The United States will also follow Europe, which has no choice: either London, Paris, Berlin support their American partner, or risk losing dignity and the American market. The rates are so high that for the sake of dividends from Russian oligarchs and their corruption schemes, Europe will not be cooperation with Moscow. For the Kremlin, dashing times are coming, Russian business will be closed to access to the financial institutions of the West. The economy of Russia, and so barely standing on the feet, will finally lose support. The Russian Guard will not save from the economic blockade neither Putin, nor the Kremlin, nor power.
Power in Russia lives today in some parallel world. She either poorly taught the history of civilization, or does not think about tomorrow. Another problem may arise: if the new government of Russia, or the authorities of the states formed in its place, will arrest the oligarchs’s accounts abroad as capital from a criminal origin, then we will witness the shock of the foundations. You will say that this cannot happen? But even in 1990 in the Soviet Union, no one could assume how the restructuring would end. Perestroika ended with such a surprise for the whole world that the West is not able to adequately perceive what happened so far.
German Obukhov is the founder and coordinator of the International Antiputine Coalition "Stop Fascism in Russia!"
Opinions expressed under the section may not reflect the point of view of the editorial office