
Political analyst and columnist Konstantin Gaaze published on Carnegie the second text from the series of the Essay Hybrid or Dictatorship series, in which he explores the nature of the coalition that supports Russian President Vladimir Putin today.
Haaze describes how the 2008 global crisis led to the national assembly of the Russian economy, which, in turn, made a possible war of 2014: “Content created for the needs of the fight against the crisis of the manual management of the economy became an important trump card in the fight against sanctions, the introduction of counter -sanctions and even the supply of Donbass, but this contour was originally designed for other needs.”
We give some theses of the text (partly they have already been mentioned by Haaze in a recent interview with Radio Liberty ):
In 2008, the Haaze writes, the oligarchs asked for support, oil and ruble were falling, they were nervous in the government, "in October, a social dimension opened: large companies began to threaten masses of layout."
Anti -crisis assistance sharply increased the presence of the state in the economy and, as it turned out, “changed the Russian economy and Russian society beyond recognition”: “Businessmen did not reduce salaries and arrange mass dismissals. In exchange, they received cheap credit resources from state -owned bills, state orders and for this money absorbed a business of competitors that did not have access to anti -brisis cake. rebel, demand improvement of working conditions or a change of ineffective owners, because the workers did not dismiss ”
Those who received anti -crisis help "formed the face of the new Putin majority." The mechanisms of the political representation have changed: "Russia has turned from the country of voting free citizens into a country of voting labor collectives", representatives of which are owners and management. "The authorities no longer hear the masses or classes: they hear those who asked for help in 2008 and 2009, received this help and, therefore, accepted the rules of the game."
Putin’s public support continues to Haaza, not only state employees, but also workers of the graceful enterprises formed. And this "resource that" suddenly inherited by the Kremlin "was used by the authorities in 2014. The legendary 86% "was born not only thanks to the Crimea, but also thanks to the money that Putin's government spent on the fight against the crisis."
As a result, a new elite was created. The Haaze gives research data, according to which, thanks to the crisis, from 2008 to 2015, the professional group “Leaders” increased most of all - by almost 2%. And this elite was very belligerent towards the West.
"A parade of large business loyalty, which the Kremlin enjoyed in the spring of 2014, would have been impossible if the entrepreneurs were owed to the West, not Putin and the largest state -owned banks. Giving oligarchs loans, Putin did not know that this money later guarantee him the loyalty of the richest Russians."
As a result, Gaaza writes, Putin almost accidentally called the golem to the life of the Golem: "The coalition of the vast majority made not of clay and Kabbalistic spells, but from electronic payments, volumes with budget paintings, resolutions ... This majority has no" its "nature: this is a project implemented in space, time and for money."
“There are different versions of how the story of the golem ends. According to some of them, the clay giant kills its creator. But there are others: having fulfilled the intended one, the golem crumbles to dust, returning to a natural state. One thing is clear. The radical social experiment arranged by Vladimir Putin will end sooner or later. The apparent Putin majority will break into several different social groups. The coalition of the war will cease to exist in order to give way ... to whom? ”, Writes Haaza.
Alexander Baunov notices, commenting on the text of Haaza:
"Once I wrote about how Putin, faced with the economic crisis of 2008, was disappointed in the economy as a merile of national and his own achievements and moved towards history, diplomacy, values and military policy. In fact, what is the point of doubleting the GDP or catching up with Portugal's well-founded income, if you do everything right, you give out debts, and then tighten your belt and then The poor Californians cease to pay at randomly the distributed mortgage, and all your achievements are resettled here.
Salam, Telegram! May 24, 2017
While Alisher Usmanov chose a thorny path of video blogger, the head of Chechnya went the other way. The jokes that Ramzan Kadyrov would have long been time to appear in the most fashionable social network in Russia (in the role of which the Telegram messenger acts) has been sounding for a long time. And, it seems, someone took them seriously.
Greetings to everyone I know and I don't know! Surgicality and objectivity! All good and good luck!
Press Secretary Kadyrov Alvi Karimov started his channel in Telegram the day before.
And there Ramzan Akhmatovich will tighten
It is unlikely that, however, someone expected that this would happen so quickly. This morning, the following record appeared on the head of Chechnya:
Until now, we communicate with Instagram, Vkontakte, Twitter, Facebook, Livejournal Mobli. Social networks are actively developing, new forms of communication appear. And I am interested in mastering a new one. I inform you that I took another step towards you. I started my channel in Telegram, in which I plan to share with you my thoughts, observations and everyday experience in a more informal form. Link to the channel - https://telegram.me/rkadyrov_95
And really:
Assalam Alaikum! Greetings to everyone! He just got a telegram channel, as fakes have already appeared. So don't get rid of, friends. I'm here and I'm real. Good day to everyone! Allahu Akbar!
This is the first record in Telegram Kadyrov . But the second:
We have beautiful weather in Chechnya. May. Rains. Stormy rivers became full -flowing. But after the rains the sun always appears! So, we are waiting for you to visit. You will not see the best mountains anywhere!
Telegram users, as they say, stocked up with popcorn in anticipation of the "more informal" records of Kadyrov. The famous "who did not understand, he will understand" in our times, obviously, already formality.
We are waiting for the telegram channels "Who do not understand, he will understand", "Nuker Kadyrov" and "Apoles here"?
Now the number of jokes about Kadyrov in telegrams will be traveled
Telegram Kadyrov is not a reason for unrest.
That's when Sechin will start his telegram channel ...
I would begin to worry in advance in advance.
Because some of you behaved badly.
In the same channel "Russian Future" is a survey about who will open the telegram channel with the next, leads Medvedev by a large margin.
Ramzan Kadyrov has already managed to subscribe to the stars of Telegram:
Ramzan Kadyrov signed up (signed?) On Kashin, Konenenko, Blagar, a manual and guard.
And what didn’t subscribe to me, brother?
Interestingly, Ramzan Kadyrov started his channel in Telegram on the recommendation of Sasha Spielberg or still on the advice of Nastya Kashevarova?
And it was necessary to coincide so much - today a law project on the deanonymization of messengers was introduced into the Duma. If Telegram does not reveal the data of his users (and he, obviously, will not - and not only because he is famous for just anonymous channels), according to the document, he can be blocked. However, now, after Kadyrov’s arrival, not everyone else is sure that the document will be accepted.
It will be interesting to look at the official who will now try to substantiate the correctness of the Telegraph blocking, realizing that perhaps at that moment, Ramzan Akhmadovich writes to the messenger about his "life experience in a more informal form." You could count on every ally, but such a reservation surpasses all expectations.