Andrey Piontkovsky: Stone on the neck

On the amusing "presidential election" on March 18, 2018, the issue of power in Russia will not be resolved on March 18, 2018. Because this issue is resolved today. And not one hundred million voters, but about a hundred members of the expanded Politburo of the Russian Kleptocracy. The surname "Putin" is certainly included in the short list of authoritative business officials. But for the first time in the 17 years of his reign, the current president faces this environment with certain problems.

In the "elite" there was a doubt about Putin's ability to effectively fulfill in the next 6 years the most important interface function for the brigade in her relationship with the ever -hated and eternally beloved West. The failure of neoimpersal adventures, for which Putin took on personal responsibility, became the largest foreign policy defeat of the regime and undermined his economic "scrapers", extremely exacerbating relations with Western partners that control the country's funds bordered abroad.

There was an existential threat to the most expensive for Russian rulers, not just assets in the West, but all their lifestyle in the West (education of children, medicine, relaxation, well -being of wives, concubines, a long happy life, replacement of organs, political and biological immortality, finally), which can provide billions made in Russia. All this is questioned by one person who ruined the business mutually beneficial relations of the “elite” with the West with his adventurous plays.

In Paris, French President Emmanuel Macron mocked our whole , putting him in place and showing how the Western leaders will now talk to the Kremlin. Putin was miserable and confused from surprise. It was noticeable how he passed psychophysically, which only increased the growing anxiety of his environment.

On July 7, the lifetime president took place in Hamburg , perhaps the most important casting in his life. Not in front of the G20 , of course, but before his Rublevo audience. If his long -deposited first meeting with Donald Trump went according to the Parisian script, then the environment would have decided, perhaps, on decisive measures. Putin desperately needed a “victory”, it was important for him to show that he was still oh-th: a couple of Trump himself solves world problems. And Trump did not let his friend Vladimir. He presented Putin's first “victory” in Washington, where the cabinet members discussed the format of the upcoming arrow - a full -format bilateral negotiations or an unexpected meeting in the corridor of the toilet. Most ministers were inclined to the idea of the corridor. Trump insisted on 45-minute negotiations with the participation of foreign ministers.

The meeting lasted more than two hours. Trump discovered her with a timid confession that to get acquainted with Rulia Global Putin is a great honor for him, a modest provincial real estate agent. Apparently, the creation of a joint commission to combat cyber terrorism with the alleged organizer of hacker attacks on the United States was even the creation of the estate for Trump. At the end of the “Big Two” summit, Trump called his results “amazing”.

On that day, crazy foreign policy talk shows on the state channels of Russian television went around the clock, enthusiastically resolved all the physiological details of the triumph. Putin and Trump are listening to us. Listen to us. Moscow - Potomak. The peoples go together. The propagandist Soloviev put up the photoshop "Watches by Putin." The propagandist Simonyan promised to drive with an American flag in a car in a garden ring. The Americans deserved it again. Putin, obviously, felt that he had had a proper impression on the comrade -in -laws who had doubted. Directly from Hamburg, he rushed to the Valaam Monastery, to attach to the relics helped with priests , which in the language of his PRarters usually means: the Orthodox leader made a fateful decision.

Trump was not an asset of Putin, but a stone on Putin's neck

But this triumph of Putin's will lasted only a few days. Returning to Washington, Trump was faced with fierce criticism of his behavior and with new accusations of cooperation with the Kremlin during the election campaign. "Why, why does Trump love Russia so much?" - So the unprecedentedly tough column in the Washington Post Farid Zakariya entitled his unprecedentedly hard column . Its ending reflects the mood in the American capital, which does not portend Trump nothing good: “Perhaps there is a simple explanation for everything that happened. Maybe Trump is simply delighted by Putin as a leader. Maybe Trump shares the vision of the world of his senior adviser Stephen Bannon, according to which Russia is not an ideological opponent, but an ally, a white Christian, opposing Muslims. But, but, but, but, but, but, but, but, but, but, but, a white Christian. Perhaps there is another explanation of admiration for Russia and its leader.

In the meantime, Müller solves this “ Puzzle Stirlitz”, the speaker of the House of Representatives of the US Congress, Paul Ryan announced that the bill on tough sanctions against the Kremlin, adopted by the Senate with a ratio of votes 97: 2, will be put on the vote of the lower house without any changes. On amendments, the Trump administration insisted in vain. Now this document will most likely fall on the table to the president in its original form, and the refusal to sign it will mean political suicide for him.

The domestic political victory, which Putin, for some reasons had not yet been established by Muller, decided to give Trump, turned out to be Pirrova. In the Kremlin heads, a simple consideration can not fit in any way: the President of the United States is not a plow of a criminal community; Even having achieved one way or another of his loyalty, it will not be possible to steer from Moscow an American political system. On the contrary, every step of Trump towards Putin causes a sharp reaction in Washington, which transforms into absolutely specific legislative acts.

Trump was not an asset of Putin, but a stone on Putin's neck. And Putin is a stone on the neck of Trump. This is the true result of the large -scale operation "Trumpnash". And the resulting, seemingly expanded Politburo concluded - the boss still copes - was again in question. In this sense, the article in Washington Post is very indicative about what measures against Putin Russia were discussed in the Obama administration after the Kremlin’s participation in the American election campaign became clear. None of them, except for the confiscation of two cottages, were implemented, but the list is very curious. He hits the most sensitive acupuncture points of the Russian "elite". The list includes, in particular, the publication and freezing of all accounts of the Kremlin Kleptocracy, starting with Putin, and visa prohibitions. These are questions of the nearest agenda of Russian-American relations.

In a retrospect, it is clear what a huge mistake the Kremlin made, making a bet on Trump. Clinton’s presidency actually did not threaten anything Kremlin: today's furious anti -Putin position of the Democrats is due to the domestic political conjuncture. This position is not so much anti -Putin as antitrim. Democrats feel that Putin is the most vulnerable place in the current president of the United States, and mercilessly beat there. And Clinton would have come to power, most likely, some new "restart" would take place. Well, now all the bridges between the "Putin" and the American establishment are burned.

Andrey Piontkovsky - political expert

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