Ayatolle will still be

The fact that current events in Iran are tectonic in nature without exaggeration and are able to radically affect the whole situation in the world, set trends for decades ahead, felt everything. Including those guardians who are trying to prove that nothing serious in Iran is happening, the regime is stable and nothing threatens him. They hear, they hear the "underground thunder", and he is afraid of them.

A possible fall in the Ayatoll regime will obviously be a crushing blow throughout the foreign policy structure, carefully lined up by the Kremlin. So, on the domestic political stability of the Putin regime. And because in this case you will have to drop it from Syria with a shame, throwing their military bases on the go. And this in itself is a severe psychological trauma for the notorious "Putin majority." And because the Kremlin propaganda brought the abundantly flavored conspiracy the meternikhovsky “protective legitimism” to such a point of insanity that this is the most “Putin majority” of any revolutionary overthrow of any cannibalist regime at any point in the globe will perceive as the shameful failure of the Kremlin. And because Khomeinist Iran really acts as the only significant, innocent ally of the Putin Kremlin in the anti -Western, anti -liberal international coalition.

But the influence of Iranian events on world processes is not reduced to this. In the end, Iran is a really great country with great history and great culture. He became the birthplace of one of the greatest religions of the world - Zoroastrianism. He gave rise to monstrous despots and grandiose folk revolutionary movements.

To understand and evaluate the current events in Iran, it is worthwhile to look closely at the events of forty years ago. In the events of the Islamic Revolution Khomeini. Yes, this revolution led to tragic results. Yes, it was she who gave rise to that disgusting obscurantist regime that exists to this day. Nevertheless, the Islamic Revolution in Iran is one of the most grandiose events of the second half of the 20th century. It gives huge material for understanding the laws of political processes. For answers to the key questions of our time, because of which the opposing ideological and political camps endlessly break the spears.

It seems to the guards that they can breathe a sigh of relief: a wave of protests in Iran seemed to be a decline. Meanwhile, the victory of the Islamic revolution in 1979 preceded a whole year of mass protests, which either calmed down or rose with renewed vigor. According to official figures, up to 65 thousand participants in street protests were killed during this year by the Shakhm army and the police. And this did not stop the revolution.

The Islamic Revolution has a lot in common with the Russian revolution. It in the same way shows as a truly folk, democratic and, seemingly, the victorious revolution can itself degenerate into the most black, obscurantist reaction. And give rise to a totalitarian repressive regime, much more terrible than overthrown by the revolution. From 1981 to 1983, Khomeini’s regime destroyed over 400 thousand people accused of "anti -state and anti -Islamic activities." The scale of terror is quite comparable to the Stalinist.

And just as in Russia, in Iran, a wave of wild archaic raised by the revolution was a response to the costs of "authoritarian underignment." Because the famous Shakhinshah "White Revolution" is not only 11.5 % of the annual growth of industrial products for 1969-1972. This is not only an increase in the volume of GNP per capita from 100 to 1,500 dollars for 1963-1978. This is not only a free eight -year education and even the distribution of free milk to schoolchildren. This is also half the Iranian children who have not attended schools at all. This is also 30 percent inflation and millions of unemployment in 1976. Hundreds of thousands of patriarchal peasants, thrown out by the "invisible hand of the market" into city slums. Shallouses made of corrugated iron, rags and poverty, neither greens, nor even waste ditches in the southern part of Tehran against the backdrop of luxury and the "European lifestyle" of its northern quarters.

And for the dissatisfied - the torture dungeons of the Shah Savak Shah, which contained hundreds of thousands of people at the same time. Up to 30 thousand opponents of the regime were tortured or killed in them. Here is the flip side of the "great reforms" of the last in the history of the bearer of the title of the "king of kings", who imagined that he could forcibly make a dark, backward, unconscious people.

The tragic story of Iran is a screaming evidence that the so -called "authoritarian modernization" already in the 20th century was a vicious, dead end through development. All its successes are superficial, fragile and reversible. She can end in archaic at any time at any time.

And yet, despite all its piercing tragedy, Iran’s story allows you to look at the future with optimism. She is a formidable warning about the historical doom of the regimes based on the suppression of personality. Any authoritarianism - at least "progressor", although traditionalist - is violence over human nature. And this nature will sooner or later rebel against the regime that strangles life itself. The history of Iran shows that people can rise for freedom. Yes, obscurantists can win the victory of the people. But the fact that only the "advanced minority" can speak for the emancipation of personality is a lie. The people of Iran rose against the shoulder affairs of the modernizers from Savak. It will rise against medieval autall.