Translated material
In anticipation of large transplants
The Kremlin and the White House are preparing for serious permutations in power structures after March 18. About the most discussed scenarios of resignations and scenes - in the material of The New Times
Photo: M.Progorodsamara.ru
Expected in the spring, after the end of the elections and the mandatory government resignation in such cases and the prime minister’s approval, the permutation will affect almost all the blocks: from the press services to the security forces. This is evidenced by NT interlocutors, close to the presidential administration, the government and the leadership of the State Duma. President Vladimir Putin himself did not declare any final decisions to the officials, so NT sources draw conclusions on the basis of the received signals and the general situation. According to them, some officials have clearly made many mistakes recently, others themselves want to change their jobs, and the fate of the third depends on their current bosses.
Grouped
Two of the nine deputy prime ministers-Dmitry Rogozin and Vitaly Mutko-managed to scandal so much in recent times that NT interlocutors consider them a almost inevitable loss of posts in the government, which is traditionally updated in May, after the presidential election.
complex Dmitry Rogozin photo:
Commons.wikimedia.org
First of all, we are talking about the curator of the military-industrial complex of Dmitry Rogozin . When, at the end of last year, the governor of the Voronezh region, Alexei Gordeev, was transferred to the presidential envoy in the Central Federal District, Rogozin was seriously looked after Gordeev in Voronezh, the interlocutor in the Kremlin says. Of course, the transfer from the deputy prime minister to the heads of the region (if it is not Moscow and St. Petersburg) is a strong decrease and even humiliation, the interlocutor, close to the Kremlin, notes. The translation did not take place in the end, but this indicates the poor prospects of Rogozin, the NT source indicates.
Rogozin repeatedly publicly fell into unpleasant situations. First of all, due to numerous problems with Roscosmos, whose missiles are constantly falling . For a long time, the deputy prime minister managed to write off problems on the heritage of the nineties. The interlocutor NT, surrounded by Rogozin, said that several years ago he promised his associates that he would soon be able to rebuild the system and would not be problems. However, as a result, the difficulties only grew, especially after the unsuccessful launch of the Soyuz-2.1B launch vehicle at the end of November. The position of federal channels that tried to shut up the situation for a long time in the country's leadership was considered how dangerous in the country's leadership. So, on the day of the fall , “Channel One” gave a very short message in 18-hour news about “not entirely successful launch”, while not calling the incident. In the flagship for the channel, the 21-hour program “Time” about the rocket was not said at all a word.
Rogozin seriously looked at Gordeev’s place in Voronezh, says the interlocutor in the Kremlin. Of course, a transfer from the deputy prime minister to the leaders of an ordinary region is a strong decrease and even humiliation
The audience of federal channels learned about the fall of the rocket only a week later - December 4. On television, they showed how Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev publicly reported Rogozin, noting that "all the bosses cheerfully managed to report that the launch was produced in accordance with standard indicators and that everything is fine." “This is generally unacceptable,” Medvedev said, adding that Russia cannot bear financial costs, and demanding to find those responsible. This does not add the prospects for the post of curator of the military -industrial complex, one of the interlocutors of NT notes. At the same time, according to him, Rogozin will not be left without a new position.
Photo: Commons.wikimedia.org
Another problematic deputy prime minister is the curator of sports Vitaly Mutko , who was repeatedly called responsible for the doping scandal and Russia's lack of removal to the Olympics in South Korea. His surname also appeared in connection with the permutations in the regions: the media read Mutko to the post of presidential envoy to the Central Federal District, which ultimately went to Gordeev. Mutko remained Deputy Prime Minister, but lost his post of head of the Russian Football Union, which is also not the best signal.
Of the ministers, the head of the Ministry of Culture Vladimir Medinsky and the head of the Ministry of Transport, Maxim Sokolov , most often entered the Center for Public Scandals. For many months, the scandal lasted around the dissertation of the Minister of Culture, the Expert Council of the Higher Attestation Commission advanced for its cancellation. The interlocutor in the Kremlin says that some officials of the presidential administration believed that it was necessary to enable the Higher Attestation Commission to cancel the dissertation, but in the end a different decision was made, and Medinsky remained with the degree. Nevertheless, his chances of staying the Minister of Culture in the new government are low, the interlocutor in the White House apparatus claims.
The same interlocutor says about Sokolov. Last year, Putin announced him incomplete official accordance due to the scandal around the delays in the flights of the VIM-Avia company. After such events, it is difficult to stay at the post for a long time, one of the interlocutors of NT predicts. According to him, Sokolov himself asked for another job for a long time, in particular, he hoped to become the governor of St. Petersburg. However, last year he declared his subordinates that the question of his transfer to the Northern capital was removed. In general, Sokolov’s prospects are vague - in the transport industry he did not become a recognized leader, in case of serious problems, he goes to the assistant to the president (and the former minister of transport) Igor Levitin, and not to Sokolov, says a source in the leadership of one of the industry companies.
Non -public difficulties
If you ask officials which of the heads of departments will definitely not enter the new government, many call the Minister of Affairs of the Far East Alexander Galushka , although his name did not appear in resonant stories. He has very serious disagreements with his immediate boss, Deputy Prime Minister Yuri Trutnev. “Trutnev believes that Galushka was imposed on him, and he will try to get rid of him with all his might,” says Trutnev's acquaintance.
Alexander Galushka
Photo: Commons.wikimedia.org
Galushka - a native of the All -Russian Popular Front, who became a minister at a time when the ONF was in Favor, and his creator, the current speaker of the State Duma Vyacheslav Volodin, oversaw domestic policy. With the departure of Volodin from AP, ONF lost his resource, and Galushka lost his support. “Probably Trutnev uses this to get rid of him,” says the interlocutor NT. Two more sources close to the Kremlin are talking about the difficulties of Galushka. One of them claims that he had some problems on the line of interaction with special services.
With the departure of Volodin in 2016 to the State Duma, the front lost significance, and Galushka lost his support. "Probably Trutnev uses this to get rid of it"
Photo: Wikimedia.org
The head of the Ministry of Emergencies, Vladimir Puchkov, also did not avoid problems: after the departure of Sergei Shoigu, he failed to competently build the work of his department and become an authority for his own subordinates, the interlocutor in the government claims. Another interlocutor NT talks about Puchkov’s problems with subordinates: a year ago, the Ministry of Emergencies themselves distributed rumors about the departure of the minister, this says about the mess in the department, he notes. According to the interlocutor, the minister has very little chance of staying in his post.
Finally, the Minister of Open Government Mikhail Abyzov has significant difficulties. It is still not clear to many what exactly he is doing, it is ironic to the interlocutor close to the Kremlin. However, information about the possible liquidation of an open government has repeatedly appeared in the media, but in the end this did not happen. Abyzov is close to Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, so his future depends on the prospects of the prime minister, adds the interlocutor NT.
On their own
Photo: © President.rf
The first Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov , the source, says the longest from the president, the source says: Shuvalov in the civil service for more than 20 years (since 1997), of which he has been holding his current post for 10 years. He wants to leave for a long time, the interlocutor claims. According to him, some time ago, Shuvalov asked Putin to appoint him the head of the Web, but he could not get a post.
The presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov would also like to change the work, three of his friends say. According to them, Peskov is tired of being a “speaking head”, and he would like to deal with international problems. A year ago, the issue of the possible appointment of Peskov as an assistant to the president on foreign policy instead of 70-year-old Yuri Ushakov, who is time to retire.
The Minister of Justice Alexander Konovalov has long lost interest in work, says the interlocutor in the government. A few years ago, he periodically stopped going to service, and there were rumors in the White House about possible resignation
Dmitry Peskov photo: kremlin.ru
There is also an option for the appointment of Peskov by the Minister of Foreign Affairs, but serious interlocutors are skeptical of this: Peskov , with the exception of his past connections with intelligence, does not have the weight that is required to work with career diplomats. In addition, since the appointment of the Minister in 2004, Sergei Lavrov remains one of the most popular members of the government, another interlocutor of NT says: now Lavrov seems indispensable.
NT interlocutors in the Kremlin do not exclude that Peskov’s departure after the election will not be limited to and the entire information block of the Presidential Administration will be replaced, including the first deputy head of the AP Aleksei Gromov , who overshadows information policy. He has been working with Putin since the beginning of his presidency (Gromov was the first press secretary of the president). As a confirmation of this version, some interlocutors talk about the imminent resignation of Margarita Simonyan close to Gromov from the post of editor -in -chief of Russia Today. However, other interlocutors note that Gromov is now densely engaged in the work of Putin’s election headquarters and it is his employees that will oversee elections coverage.
Alexander Konovalov photo:
Commons.wikimedia.org
The Minister of Justice Alexander Konovalov has long lost interest in work, the interlocutor says in the White House. A few years ago, he periodically stopped going to the service, and rumors about possible resigned in the White House even then, says NT source. It has long been not noticeable and public activity of the minister. Now the potential successor is already ready in his place - this is the former head of the Kremlin anti -corruption department Oleg Blory, recently appointed the first deputy minister of justice. It is possible that the translation of the bad from the Kremlin to the Ministry of Justice is connected precisely with the plans of the country's leadership to make it Minister, the interlocutor says. However, he adds, we must not forget that Konovalov, like Abyzov, is close to Prime Minister Medvedev, and if he remains the head of government, he will influence the fate of his protege.
Kremlin, security forces and television channels
Most NT interlocutors in the White House are convinced that Dmitry Medvedev will retain his post , but just in case other options are being discussed, for example, that the government will be headed by the head of the Kremlin administration Anton Vaino , says an interlocutor close to the Kremlin. According to him, such a cardinal scenario will lead to larger shifts than they would be, remained at Medvedev at the head of the government. In particular, such a decision will open the way to the first deputy Vaino Sergey Kiriyenko to stand at the head of the presidential administration - and the ambitions of the former head of the government, who burned on default in 1998, is the same, his acquaintances say. At the same time, Medvedev’s departure means the end of his stay in the White House for members of his team. First of all, we are talking about the supervisory fuel and energy complex of the Deputy Prime Minister Arkady Dvorkovich and the influential press secretary of Medvedev- Natalia Timakova .
After the elections, there will be rearrangements in the power block. The media have repeatedly reported the possible resignation of the chairman of the Investigative Committee Alexander Bastrykin , and the fate of the committee itself was not clear. The fate of the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs Vladimir Kolokoltsev , Secretary of the Security Council of Nikolai Patrushev and the director of the FSB Alexander Bortnikov is also in question. However, Putin completely trusts the last two, and we can only talk about their transfer to other positions, says the interlocutor NT, close to the Kremlin.
From left to right - Secretary of the Council of People's Commissars, Nikolai Patrushev, head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs Vladimir Kolokoltsev, FSB director Alexander Bortnikov, chairman of the Investigative Committee Alexander Bastrykin photo: Kremlin.ru
Konstantin Ernst
Photo: Politros.com
VGTRK Oleg Dobrodeev
Photo: kremlin.ru
After the elections, the heads of the largest state media - Channel One and VGTRK can also be replaced. Konstantin Ernst and Oleg Dobrodeev for a long time conflict among themselves and received signals that if they do not make peace, then both will lose their posts, the head of another state media says. They healed and reconciled, but the question of whom to continue to occupy posts at the head of the two main television channels was never removed from the agenda.
There will be many reasons for rotation: loss of an influential patron, own ambitions, public scandals, which will affect the ratings of the president himself, and, finally, age
There will be many reasons for rotation: loss of an influential patron, own ambitions, public scandals that will affect the ratings of the president himself, and, finally, the age will summarize one of the interlocutors. According to him, the last factor in the fourth period of Putin will be one of the most important for participants in the personnel crap: the aging leader is especially interested in showing that he surrounds himself from generation of 40–50-year-olds.