The radical increase in the retirement age in Russia has caused at least some protests, albeit weak ones. The simultaneous VAT increase of 2% went completely unnoticed.
If possible, I will explain to you what a VAT increase is. It’s very simple: exporting companies will not notice it: Gazprom, Rosneft, Ozero oil and gas cooperative — for them, not the poorest companies in the Russian Federation, headed by not the poorest managers, this increase will be painless, because VAT is reimbursed upon export.
Sometimes it is even reimbursed without export. Let me remind you that the same criminal group that killed Magnitsky in prison took about $750 million from the budget. And not all of them were stolen during the return of income tax. Just a part was stolen on a fake VAT refund.
As for consumers, all those who do not have the honor of belonging to the petrocrats and VAT refund craftsmen - that is, pensioners, nurses, doctors, teachers, taxi drivers, office plankton - for them, a VAT increase means an increase in prices by about 2%.
Why approximately? Because their salaries will not increase at the same time, and prices simply cannot rise by 2%. They will increase by about 1.5% - due to the fall in the margins of manufacturers already breathing their last.
Why the increase in VAT did not cause protests is quite understandable. In our country, even fake elections do not cause protest - against this background, what about some two percent VAT?
Why the protests against raising the retirement age were weak is also understandable. Regarding pensions, people in Russia are divided into two unequal groups: a minority and a majority. The minority is the elite, or at least the top. These are people who do not rely on the state and earn their own old age. What they never expected was taken away from them: why protest?
The majority are those who rely on the state. They were scammed - cruelly and even doubly: because they were scammed not only for those 15 thousand rubles that they expected to have after 55/60 years, but also for all those benefits (for housing and communal services, for travel, for medicines) that rely on a Russian pensioner and which now all these people will have to pay in full. Which, of course, with a shrinking job market, will turn these people into 58-year-old unemployed who can neither buy food nor pay their rent. But here's the trick: these people are among those who hope for the state. As they hoped for it, so shall it be, amen. Those who rely on the state will never vote against it.
The Kremlin got out of the situation in two ways. First, he forbade calling the increase in the retirement age an increase in the retirement age. Now this is called "improving the pension system." And secondly, he connected powerful propagandists like Posner, who began to tell how useful it is to work until old age.
To discuss all this in this case is as pointless as discussing your chances of winning poker with a sharpie, based on the theory of probability. This theory has nothing to do with playing with a card sharper - you will not lose because of the theory of probability.
In the same way, the increase in life expectancy, the fall in budget revenues, the aging of the population, etc., have little to do with raising the retirement age. But a simple question is relevant: where will the trillions that the treasury saves on those who will not live to see their pensions go?
The answer is trivial: they will be stolen.
There is no need to tell me about the defense budget, about the construction of the century, about gas and oil pipelines, about the next Olympics / championship ... It's all a mirage. It's all a phantom. There are no hypersonic missiles in Russia (although there are people sitting for selling their secret; the secret, apparently, lies in the fact that they do not exist). There are no mighty gas pipelines, stadiums "Cormorant-arena". It's all like in the movie "The Matrix" - external video sequence.
Reality is the giant palaces of the elite, which would make the Bourbons and Stuarts turn green with envy, yachts, Nastya Rybka, planes, bills. And everything else is just an excuse to master the money.
The Russian budget serves only two purposes: the first is to steal from it. The second is to pay with those who protect those who steal. In this sense, it is arranged in the same way as the state budget somewhere in Assyria in some 8th century. BC. And it was very simple. All the money collected from the population was spent on two items. A) on the palaces, feasts, decorations and concubines of the ruler. B) the troops that ensured the safety of concubines, palaces and feasts.
Under this system, things like pensions would be ridiculous. After all, the subject existed only for one thing: to provide palaces and feasts. If he didn't provide them, he should have died.
This is the “improvement of the pension system” in Russia. Its essence is simple. The less pensions you pay, the more you will have left for palaces.