Liquidation for escalation

He always believed in the Stalinist falcons from the "MGB DPR". These guys are not only capable of in a few hours to get confessions that the SBU is behind the murder of US President John Kennedy, but if necessary, they are not afraid to announce the whole world about such a brilliant disclosure of the “crime of the century”.

But this is for those who are sure that the Titanic in 1912 was killed by an agent of world Zionism Iceberg. It is obvious to me that Pan-Ataman Zakharchenko was liquidated by Russian special services. I do not share the optimism of those who believe that this liquidation can have a positive impact on the development of the situation around the Donbass. Like, they will put at the head of the DPR of a person who is more acceptable for Kyiv, more sane, less inclined to “expand consciousness”, and then announce the annexation of Ukraine to the Donetsk People’s Republic.

With all his extravagant statements about the annexation of Ukraine, which was deceased by a man quite controlled (as they say in well -known circles, "compromise"). And if his Kremlin curators instructed him to nominate a certain “peaceful plan” with blue helmets acceptable for Kyiv, he would have done it a long time ago. However, the rhetoric of the statements of Volodin-Zakharova-Putin, and the arrogant excitement by the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation of the next criminal case on international terrorism in the territory of another state suggest that there were no plans in the Kremlin as there was no.

The liquidation of Zakharchenko is a provocation that gives an occasion to launch a completely different plan - “dropping the Minsk shackles”, which has long gravitating the Kremlin, and not only the Kremlin. The script with the official recognition of Moscow “Independence” of the DPR-LNR on the model of South Ossetia and Abkhazia (with the relevant “Treaty” on the temporary stay of Russian troops on their territory) was always behind the Kremlin. He was invisibly present at all negotiations as an unspoken threat and lever of pressure. It seems that the Kremlin decided to take out this scenario from the bosom.

The implementation of this scenario, even if Ukraine does not respond to it openly invading its territory to Russian interventionists (to which it will have every right to), even if the United States and the UK do not provide it with direct military assistance (which they still obliges the Budapest memorandum), will cause at least a sharp tightening of sanctions. Disconnecting from SWIFT, freezing contracts concluded. And he resumes considerable achievements of the Kremlin in the declension of European elites to an increasingly frankly "Munich" policy.

But there is a factor pushing the Kremlin to neglect even such costs. This is the domestic political situation in the Russian Federation. For the first time after the annexation of Crimea in the country, the prospect of spontaneous folding from below, even a very situational, but real protest coalition, uniting the democratic part of the opposition of the liberal and numerous pseudo -dollar, “patriotic” opposition.

In 2014, any possibility of the existence of such a protest front was destroyed by aggression against Ukraine. "Patriots" (and in fact great -power chauvinists) supported this aggression. Prospid liberals opposed resolutely against. They were on different sides of the line of a very real front. They were divided by blood. Participation in joint actions for any reason has become psychologically impossible for them.

However, the predatory, vile and insulting pension reform forces both liberals and “patriots” at least temporarily push aside their disagreements on the “land” (Ukrainian) issue. In any case, in conditions of relative lull on the fronts of Donbass. And we already see a liberal asset, ready to pump up the number of Zyuganov protest rallies, spitting even on a filthy face of a mustachioed ghoul, the portraits of which continues to wave a certain part of the Communist Party of the Communist Party. Just as the faction of the Zyuganov and shaped fraction in the State Duma was pumped with their votes in 2011.

This is the worst nightmare of Putin's clique. This is the beginning of the collapse of the "Crimean" Putin majority. And the Kremlin is ready for any exacerbation of the international situation to prevent such a development of events.