
With some effort of imagination, the confrontation of the people with the authorities in the authoritarian country can be represented as the battle of the two armies. Relatively few, but well -organized, motivated and armed to the teeth of the army of guards - and a frustrated, confused, unarmed huge people. However, the word "The battle here should be used only metaphorically. For people who go to protest rallies are fundamentally defenseless, which is best seen in those pictures where the police crowd beat a person lying on the ground.
Nevertheless, the acute conflict of the people with the authorities in an authoritarian state is almost everyday phenomenon. Much more frequent than in democratic countries. It’s just that the forces are unequal, which is why citizens are relatively rarely allowed to go out at demonstrations. This is every time the risk and feat in an authoritarian country is to use your integral constitutional right to freedom of assembly and processions. Experience shows that according to the results of the demonstrations, risky can sit on an administrative or even in a criminal, and Vincent's ascetics will be preventively.
In addition, there is a gradation of protest sentiments, and not every, albeit obvious abuse of power, causes the population to get involved in a discussion with it. On the contrary, other lawlessness, in particular the foreign policy of, are perceived with a bang, provoking a surge of patriotic feelings. So then it is inconvenient to rebel against the authorities who have borrowed businesses that delivered you, the people, so much pleasure. It’s awkward to rebel when yesterday I rejoiced, thanked and praised.
As a result, there is a situation that in the scientific world is customary to denote as a paradoxical one. On the one hand, almost nine out of ten Russians today oppose the so -called pension reform and more than half of the respondents, without fear of wiretaps, report to sociologists that they are ready to go to the square. On the other hand, it barely reaches a specific event , not so many potentially robbed pensioners and sympathizers replenish the ranks of the disagreements. But sociology is a pretty accurate science, and if you believe the numbers, then yesterday half the country should have been protested.
Meanwhile, you can believe the numbers. However, it is necessary to believe the experience accumulated over almost two decades of life in Putin's Russia. The numbers indicate that people who are not afraid to share their seditious thoughts with a foreign agent Levada are brought to the maximum degree of irritation. Actions - that is, inaction - the vast majority of Russians indicate that they evaluate the situation on the battlefield very soberly.
It’s unless the shkolota does not quite understand where and when he lives, and so he rebels, not knowing fears. The vast majority of citizens of the Russian Federation, which is not without reason, is called Pokrymsky, feels the time and place of its stay with skin. Easily guessing that if Vladimir Vladimirovich himself took over a heavy burden of personal responsibility and asked them not to resist the inevitable, then, then, resistance is useless. If he so affectionately, right with a tear in his voice persuaded them, then we must come to terms. Then, perhaps, you should not go out to the permitted rallies, there is nothing to argue about the unrealistic and there is nothing to argue.
He will not forgive that he was not heard and did not respect his request. Well, how I did not forgive the Ukrainians. And if the neighbor's brothers did not stand on ceremony, then he would not regret his own, covered by reformist excitement.
The protest movement against pension robbery could be crowned with success in the presence of a powerful left party -where does it come from in an authoritarian country? Therefore, there is only the Communist Party, led by Zyuganov, the purpose of which is now to somehow help the Kremlin to wrap the referendum. There is no doubt, the party will cope with this task. Promotions against the leadership that have gone in to wars could lead to a government resignation if there are strong trade unions - but where did they come from in an authoritarian country? Sorry, Schmakov does not exist in nature, but what is there, serves when they order Putin’s confidant and implicitly fulfill other instructions of the presidential administration.
In short, in an authoritarian country, even those divisions that seem to be fought on the side of the people in reality protect power. As for real opposition, this is an army without commanders. At one, perhaps, exception - but he, Alexei Navalny, who was serving the next administrative period yesterday, rather split the army than unites. It is characteristic, by the way, that almost none of them, the leaders of our leaders who quarreled with each other, did not appear at rallies at rallies. So the bad, with the nailed Internet, the picture in direct broadcasts captured amazing plots. For the rights of tomorrow's pensioners, small detachments fought, consisting mainly of non -partisan schoolchildren, students and people a little older. They fought with them, gaining devastating victories, the fighting robots of the Russian Guard, sometimes not devoid of some human qualities. For example, a tendency to sadism.
But still, we will not say that in this, figuratively speaking, the battle of the authorities with taxpayers, the people are always doomed to defeat. It seems that people have already begun to vaguely guessing where they were leading, corrupting on the way, their beloved leader and commander in chief of the federal troops. However, it is still invincible, so the collective mind of the crushed electorate is inclined to passive resistance. The collective mind chooses the strategy of deaf watering and a sudden rebellion in sociological surveys. The collective mind prefers to silent in the squares, but does not quite approve of what is happening. The collective mind is engaged in an unusual business - it is immersed in thought and it is not known what it will think of when the bill on raising the retirement age will be accepted in the second reading and in the third.