Lilia Shevtsova: "BLEF"

"Bleph has become the national industry of Russia. This is understandable: if there is no resources for fueling the sovereign in which we are used to living, we have to play poker. We pretend that we have a more powerful map in our hand than it really is," writes political scientist Lilia Shevtsova on his Facebook page.

"The government is bluff. The Minister of Economic Development Maxim Oreshkin convinces that in Russia there is a significant economic growth." It is not clear why we live worse. Sergey Lavrov repeats that there was a reduction in the influence of the "historical West" and Russian politics "sharing the majority of the states of the world." It is not clear why Russia writhes from Western sanctions, if the West does not affect?

Kremlin experts will bluff. “Liberal democracy will have to retreat. The process of decay and creation of the future world order will last several decades. Russia has good opportunities to actively influence its formation,” the oracles (S. Karaganov) promise. But how to influence, being in isolation and under sanctions?

Finally, the President himself gives the master class in the bluff: “We certainly ... overtook all our, so to speak, partners and competitors. No one has a high -precision hypersonic weapon so far ... And therefore, in this sense, we feel confident. "

True, obviously, realizing that the usual song may lose convincing, the president goes to blackmail bluff: "We are not afraid of anything. Not everywhere, not in all countries there is such a predisposition of citizens to give his life for the Fatherland, but we have." And, as if they were lowered from the chain, the horde of television experts wrapped: "War!"

In short, we convince the West that they are ready for blood if the West does not help the Kremlin save the face (including before their own people). Scare madness. However, the television, a spraying saliva, apparently speaks of a real disorder of the psyche.

But more recently, Bleph worked. Liberal democracies retreated before the Russian nourp. But, obviously, the bluff of the return and Blef brought the “return”. Flapped democracies increase muscles and snap. Instead of the usual "involvement" of Russia, the West surrounds Russia with a barrage moat, pushing us into a leprosorius. Instead of creating a non-west and become its leading force, Russia creates a new West, in which there is no place for Russia.

But what about meetings at the highest level - with Macron, Merkel and soon with Trump, not to mention a smaller bird? We will not deceive ourselves: this is a Western participation in our bluff. They are hopeless, says the Western elite. Therefore, why don't they play along and calm their aggressiveness! In fact, Western society is consolidated around the idea of ​​"Russia - enemy". There, their boys, building a career on Russophobia, enter the stage. That's just one of them - John Bolton, Trump's assistant in national security, explained to President Putin why America leaves the system of mutual nuclear deterrence.

Most humiliation for the Kremlin is that America is going to throw obligations into the landfill, which are a guarantee of our parity with America, and therefore the symbol of our power, not because the Americans suddenly concerned about our violations. America destroys bipolarity with Russia, for it needs freedom of hands to form another bipolarity - with China! In this tango, Russia is the third superfluous.

Of course, in order to return the attention of America, we can participate in the arms race. If we want to break your neck. To compete in a military race, having a military budget of $ 46 billion, with a country that spends $ 700 billion on military needs (we add the UK with its military budget of 60 billion and France with Germany, which have a military budget for $ 40 billion) - this is an example of state suicide. As proved by the USSR in 1991.

The process of reproduction of Russian bluff makes the question of the adequacy of those who made the bluff of our life way. To what extent do the bluffing understand what they are doing? Although no longer important. It doesn't matter at all.

It is important that the Kremlin blackmail means that this resource is drying. The authorities can no longer foresee the results of its poker. Moreover, the bluff, as we see, destroys the space of the existence of Russia, eliminating road signs for the safe trajectory of the state. The time of the "Russian roulette" comes.