Shatdown already cost the US economy more than the wall on the border with Mexico, because of which it began. And this is not the end

In an uncompromising confrontation with the speaker of the House of Congress of Congress Nancy Peloshi, the president unexpectedly - both for supporters and for opponents - retreated. The bill on budget financing of the government signed by Trump on the evening of January 25, there is not a word about $ 5.7 billion that the president requires the construction of the wall on the border with Mexico. The refusal of Congress to finance the construction of the wall was the main reason for the Shatdown, which affected over 800 thousand federal employees and, according to the most preliminary estimates, damage to the American economy of $ 6 billion.

On the one hand, the Demill celebrates the victory, because the unyielding position of the leaders of this party in Congress forced the president to retreat. On the other hand, the most conservative Republicans were divided in evaluating Trump's actions.

Typically, the publication of Getaway Pundit published a characteristic headline: “Trump collapsed ( Trump Caves - A.P. ): The end of Shatdown is a big victory of Nancy Pelosi”. “In the end, the White House yielded to the requirements of the Democrats,” states the article of another conservative publication Breitbart, “despite Trump's repeated statements that he will not do this.” Anne Coulter is a popular journalist who demanded from Trump not to retreat in front of the Democrats, with sarcasm comments on the end of the “Shatdown”:

“Good news for George Bush Jr. From today, he is no longer the largest weakness who served as the President of the United States. ”

On the contrary, a popular radio host Bill Mitchell, a popular among the trampists, claims: the deal was “brilliant”. “Imagine such a scenario: Trump agrees to reopen the government for three weeks, and then during the president’s annual appeal to the nation about the situation in the country (speaking to both chambers of Congress), setting out this question in detail when the speaker Pelosi sits behind him, he announces the regime of the emergency with the aim of financing the wall and explains where the funds are specifically entered. Great! ” - a ready plan for the president. “The Democrats have three weeks to prove whether they will keep their word on the security of the borders,” the former assistant in the White House Sebastian Gorka wrote on Twitter.

“Donald Trump can devote his appeal to the nation to the wall. Brilliant! "

“We must support the president,” wrote the right activist Charlie Kirk. The host of Fox News, beloved by the president of the NEWS television channel, said: "Trump lost the battle, so he must win the war." His colleague Sean Hanniti (also from Fox) noted: “Those who think that Trump lost, I will say that you do not know him as I know. He holds all the cards in his hands, and he will achieve the security of the border in one way or another. ” Henniti called the culprits of the crisis of the Democrats and Republicans "with weak knees" in Congress. The White House administration and the Republican of Congress, who are faithful to the President, such as the leader of the minority in the House of Representatives of Kevin McCarthy, represent the cessation of Shatdown as follows: Trump put the interests of Americans above political interests. According to McCarthy, who participated in the negotiations on the search for a compromise, the president proposed four different planes, but the democrats rejected everything.

When asked who is to blame for Shatdown, ordinary Americans answered. As usual, through the figures of public opinion polls. According to the new NBC/Wall Street Journal, 63 percent of the Americans believe that the country is in the wrong direction, only 28 percent think the opposite (last month the gap was less: 56 versus 33). 50 percent blame Trump and 37 - democrats.

Most do not approve of the president’s position on immigration and believe that future immigrants will be more likely to strengthen than weaken America.

52% of the majority oppose the construction of the wall along the border between the United States and Mexico, and 45% support the wall.

According to the ABC News/Washington Post survey, 53% call Trump and Republicans the culprits of the record of the duration of the government, 34 - blame Nancy Pelosi and Democrats. Only 37% support the president’s policy, and 58 are disappointed. Thus, Trump has a negative rating “minus 21 point”. During Shatdown, the rating decreased by 6 percentage points.

What to do?

According to various estimates, now inside the country there are from 9 to 13 million illegal migrants. Trump claims that illegal immigrants are damaged by the economy of 200-250 billion dollars annually (he even called the figure $ 275 billion). Neither the White House nor the president reported where these data were taken from. They are more than twice the closest published grades that were made by the Federation for American immigration reform, a conservative research organization that advocates reducing immigration, both legal and illegal. The group’s report, published in 2017, estimated the damage to illegal $ 135 billion a year. And the study of the conservative Washington Heritage Foundation (The Heritage Foundation) 5 years ago, when there were more illegal immigrants than now, revealed 3.7 million immigrant families without correct documents and estimated the damage of 54.5 billion - 5 times less than Trump speaks.

Republicans and their supporters advocate tightening control over the border and expulsion of illegal immigrants and their children. (Judging by the publications of local publications,

Former citizens of the CIS countries are sharply against the new migrants, many of whom use social state assistance programs -

financial, housing, medical, food.) An amnesty for the so -called “dreamers” - children of illegal immigrants in the United States in childhood, was one of the options for a compromise with the democrats proposed by Trump in exchange for financing the wall or steel barrier on the border. His predecessor Barack Obama temporarily allowed hundreds of thousands of illegal children to stay in the country. The Democratic also extends consistently against the policy of separating the families of illegal immigrants. Democrats believe that "immigration is not just a problem that needs to be solved, this is a determining aspect of the American nature and general history of the country." So recorded in the party platform - the main document of the party. They do not consider the construction of the wall with Mexico at all as an option to solve this problem. At the same time, democrats in the Congress are ready to increase the funds for border protection.

“We are against the wall,” said Chuck Schumer, the leader of the democratic minority in the Senate last Friday, when he was asked about whether it is possible to reach a compromise with the president until February 15. "Didn't I already explain everything clearly?" - the speaker Nancy Pelosi answered the question with a question when she was asked about the financing of the wall.

Donald Trump, announcing the end of Shatdown in the Pink Garden of the White House, said that this step is by no means a concession: “We really have no other choice, except to build a powerful wall or steel barrier. If we do not achieve a fair transaction from Congress, the government will either close again on February 15, or I use the powers granted to me by the laws and the Constitution of the United States to solve this emergency. ”

We are talking about the introduction of a state of emergency, and then the president will take money for construction from the already approved budget.

The Democrats promised to immediately sue if Trump announced the "Extraordinary". In the past, the court has already blocked his decree, which prohibited representatives of Muslim countries from the Black List to the country. The case then came to the Supreme Court, who supported the legality of the decree, but how much time it took!

And now the money is allocated for only 21 days, and at the moment the prospect of remaining again without salaries for civil servants and contractors looks threatening. 800 thousand people for 35 days either went on vacation or worked without a salary. The world was bypassed by the footage of the video chronicle: that former President George Bush Ml. He treats the pizza of his guards from Sikret Service (the former presidents of life is laid by the State Guard), then Donald Trump buys burgers and pizza to meet with the student football team Clemson Tigers, because there were not enough cooks in the White House because of the Shatdown. By last Friday, the work of airports in the north and east of America was slow due to the mass departure of the air traffic controllers, the same thing happened with the tax service employees,

FBI Director Christopher Ray said he was “as angry as long ago” because agents are left without salary.

Now - about the salary of "their" civil servants. The New York Times gives numbers: for 35 days, the average securities and exchanges commission was not paid $ 12.543, $ 8.653 in the National Fund for Science, in the environment for environmental protection-$ 7.737, and in the agricultural department $ 4,446.

Trump promised to compensate the employees for the missed salaries "very quickly or as soon as possible." However, many federal contractors who worked at contracts may remain without complete or even partial compensation. According to Standard & Poor's agency, in 5 weeks of Shatdown, the American economy lost at least $ 6 billion - that is, more than Trump asked Congress to finance the construction of a wall with Mexico.

Due to Shatdown, the president’s appeal to the nation and both chambers of Congress was postponed. Initially was scheduled for Tuesday, January 29. But in the conditions of Shatdown, the speaker Nancy Peloshi refused to invite the president to the Capitol Hill. At first the White House was indignant. Sources in it reported that President Trump could find another place to contact a nation with an annual message. Then Trump said that he “respects the congress” very much and agrees that he was not in a speech, while the “Shatdown” continues in the country. Now the problem is temporarily removed. Peloshi announced that she was ready to negotiate with the administration on the new date of Trump's performance. As we recall, the most zealous supporters of the president invite him to declare a state of emergency on the border during the annual appeal to the country.

At this moment, the new “Shatdown” or “Extracure” - this is the dilemma that looms.