"Naive people, they have to go back to school!" US national intelligence issued a report on the main world threats; Trump denies them

The US National Intelligence Community, which unites 17 different government institutions, has issued an annual report on global threats of world security. There are no special sensations in it, and yet he outraged Donald Trump, since experts, in fact, cast doubt on the main directions of his foreign policy. The American press writes that with his comments on Twitter, the US President once again showed a distrust of his special services. And, judging by the report, this is mutual.

Donald Trump and North Korean head Kim Jong -un during a meeting on June 12, 2018. SAUL LOEB / AFP / Scanpix / Leta

North Korea is not going to abandon nuclear weapons, and is also engaged in cyber attacks

The agreement with the DPRK Kim Jong -uni of the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula Trump refers to his main achievements. Immediately after meeting with Kim in Singapore, the US president wrote that North Korea no longer pose a threat. National intelligence admits that she has no information about North Korean nuclear tests or input of new weapons in more than a year. But it still insists that the authorities of this country are not going to abandon nuclear weapons as such, since they consider it as critical for the stability of their own regime.

In addition, according to intelligence, the DPRK is engaged in active cyber attacks, the main goal of which is financial institutions. Experts claim that the North Korean hackers last year tried to steal more than $ 1 billion. Having gained access to the account of the New York Federal Reserve Bank at the Bangladesh Central Bank, they stole about $ 81 million.

What Trump answered. “Relations with North Korea are better than the United States have ever been. No tests, the remains of [American soldiers who died during the Korean War] are given, hostages are returned. A good chance for denuclearization. Time will tell what will happen to North Korea, but at the end of the previous administration, the relationship was terrifying and very bad things could happen at any time. Now a completely different story. I hope to soon meet with Kim Jong -un. Reached progress - the difference is great! "

Time will tell what will happen to North Korea, but at the end of the previous administration, the relationship was terrifying and very bad things could happen at any time. Now a completely different story. I hope to soon meet with Kim Jong -un. Great progress has been achieved - a big difference!

Iran is not engaged in the production of nuclear weapons, but can resume it if the United States continues the current course

In 2018, the United States restored sanctions against Iran. For their cancellation under Barack Obama, the authorities of this country agreed to refuse to work nuclear weapons. National intelligence has no information that Iran resumed this activity, but its experts recalled that Iranian officials threatened to do this if they did not receive investments and contracts that could count on without sanctions.

Tehran continues negotiations with European countries, Russia and China on how to get around the restrictions imposed by the United States. But if attempts to fall asleep, Iran has missiles, the radius of which includes the entire Middle East. Already now, this country is developing a space program using similar technologies.

In addition, like the North Korean, Iranian hackers are preparing for large -scale attacks on government institutions of the United States and their allies. According to national intelligence, they can block their work for several days or even weeks. Right -out groups today pose the greatest threat to the American military in Iraq.

What Trump answered. “Intelligence workers seem unusually passive and naive when it comes to the Iranian threat. They are wrong! When I was elected president, Iran created problems throughout the Middle East and beyond. After the end of the terrible Iranian nuclear transaction, they changed a lot, but they are a source of potential threat and conflict. They experienced rockets (last week) and even worse, they walk around the edge. Their economy collapses, and this is the only thing that restrains them. Fear Iran. Perhaps it is time for scouts back to school! "

Intelligence workers seem unusually passive and naive when it comes to the Iranian threat. They are wrong! When I was elected president, Iran created problems throughout the Middle East and beyond. After the end of the terrible Iranian nuclear transaction, they changed a lot, but ...

... a source of potential threat and conflict. They experienced rockets (last week) and even worse, they walk around the edge. Their economy collapses, and this is the only thing that restrains them. Fear Iran. Perhaps it is time for scouts back to school!

The Islamic State is still strong, it will continue its attacks, including in the United States

At the end of last year, Donald Trump announced that he was withdrawing American troops from Syria, since the Islamic State was defeated. The decision caused a great resonance that James Mattis, Minister of Defense of the US defense, disagree with this , resigned . National intelligence insists that thousands of militants in Iraq and Syria are still fighting on the side of the IG, that eight branches are actively acting in its composition, which support thousands of conspicuous supporters around the world. Experts predict that the group uses any weakening of pressure on it to resume its activity. “With a high probability,” they write, IS will continue attacks on US allies and America itself. Separately, national intelligence distinguishes Libya, which, according to its forecasts, can become a new point of collecting militants, as well as Nigeria.

What Trump answered.

When I became the president, ISIS got out of control in Syria and became uncontrollable. From that time on, incredible progress will be achieved, especially in the last five weeks. Caliphate will be destroyed, which was impossible to imagine two years ago.

There will be nothing good in Afghanistan

Trump's fresh foreign policy initiative is to agree with the Taliban movement about the world in Afghanistan. This can lead to the end of the war, which the United States has been fought for eighteen years. However, national intelligence is also skeptical here. It follows from the report that if nothing changes, then neither the legal government nor militants will be able to get a decisive advantage this year. But if, on the contrary, the international coalition will refuse to help the official Kabul, then the Taliban supported by Pakistan will have a powerful additional resource.

What Trump answered. “ After 18 years of fighting, very successful negotiations are finally underway. The battles continue, but the people of Afghanistan want peace in this incessant war. Soon we will see if the negotiations will be successful? "

... The battles continue, but the people of Afghanistan want peace in this incessant war. Soon we will see whether the negotiations will be successful?

Russia and China are more close than ever (Trump did not answer this)

National intelligence believes that the main threat to the United States is the rapprochement of China and Russia, which reached the level of the mid-1950s, when the USSR and the Communist PRC were the closest allies. According to experts, these two countries will provoke regional conflicts and global destabilization, while traditional US allies are looking for their own ways to respond to threats, as they are deprived of Washington's support.

National intelligence predicts a further armament race. She also believes that China, which has become the second UN sponsor after the United States, will do everything to use the mandate of this organization to promote its own vision of such problems as protecting human rights or solving the Taiwanese issue. According to experts, in the near future China will promote authoritarian capitalism as an alternative to liberal democracy - and Russia will surely support it.

Dmitry Kartsev