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Date
03/25/2019
Author
Петр Мироненко
Source
The Bell
Preserved copy
Internet Archive
Translated material

Müller's report: Trump is justified, Russia is not, signs of a recession in the United States and a business author of a post on Putin

Special prosecutor Müller did not find evidence of the conspiracy of Trump with Russia. From the sanctions for interfering in the elections, this will not save us

Special prosecutor Robert Müller did not find evidence of the conspiracy of Trump or his employees with Russia during the 2016 presidential election, his final report said. Trump celebrates victory, but there is no particular news for Russia - the accusations of interfering in the elections that will become the main basis for new sanctions are confirmed, and no one is going to cancel them.

  • The final report on the investigation that lasted almost two years, Müller passed on Friday the US prosecutor general William Barra. On Sunday evening, Barr sent a letter to Congress, where he briefly retold Müller's main conclusions. The full text of Barra's letter is here .
  • The main result: evidence of Trump’s guilt or related people in conspiracy with Russia during the 2016 presidential election was not found.
  • This does not mean that Russia is justified: on the contrary, Müller’s report says with confidence about the two proven episodes of Russia's intervention in the elections - with the help of the “troll factory”, Evgeny Prigozhin and hackers who hacking the servers of the Democratic Party and published through Wikileaks the emails of the electoral headquarters Hillary Clannon. But in both cases of evidence that these actions were coordinated with Trump's headquarters.
  • On the second charge of Trump - in an attempt to prevent justice during the investigation - Müller demonstratively refrained from the conclusions, only listing the facts that could testify to him. The conclusions were to be drawn by the Prosecutor General William Barr appointed by Trump - and he said in his conclusion that there was no reason for the official charge against Trump. This deprives Trump's opponents of an important formal basis for impeachment.
  • Trump himself, who was silent on Twitter two days after the news about the completion of the investigation, was happy : “There was no conspiracy, there was no obstruction of justice, a complete and absolute excuse!”

What next?

The democrats in the congress understand that they were defeated, but are not ready to fully come to terms with him.

  • Trump’s impeachment demand will have to be forgotten so far, the New York Times recognizes - the leaders of the democrats in Congress made it clear that they would not start this process without undeniable evidence of the president’s guilt and without the support of the Republicans.
  • The Committee on Justice of the House of Representatives (controlled by the Democrats) will continue the investigation against Trump, said its chairman Jerrold Dowel.
  • The main target of the Democrats in the near future will be the prosecutor general Barr with his conclusion that Trump did not violate the laws, and the main short -term goal to achieve the complete publication of Müller's report and materials for him.

What am I to me?

From the point of view of future sanctions against Russia, the situation has not changed much - accusations of interfering in the elections are confirmed and clarified, and the Republicans urge the democrats to "fight Russian aggression with Trump."

Bell Club

MONEY

Business author of the scandalous post about Putin

“He can instill in any enemy with one glance and praise an ally” - Crimean businessman Mikhail Demuria became a Runet star after an enthusiastic post of meeting with Vladimir Putin. The Bell found out everything about the business of the entrepreneur, whom the Rossiyskaya Gazeta calls the “Pope of the Crimean E-Mobile”. While he earns only 6 million rubles a year, but counts on a breakthrough due to state support and ban on the Crimean resorts of gasoline cars.

Whether a recession is coming soon

After the news about the justification of Trump, the American stock market will surely rise today, but it is unlikely for a long time - after Friday trading last week, the atmosphere was close to the panic. Due to a sharp change in forecasts and an unexpected refusal to further increase the Fed’s rate, investors rushed to buy protective assets-US government bonds. As a result, the 3-month-old and 10-year-old Ustreasuries curve for the first time since 2007 showed a picture that part of the American economists calls the most obvious sign of recession. This is a bad sign, but in order to confidently talk about future troubles, you need to wait for the most obvious feature-inverting of the curve of 2-year and 10-year state bonds, says economist Cyril Tremasov. In detail about how to predict a recession, he spoke in a special report for The Bell.

Write down 30 billion

Banks that issued the UTair Airlines 80 billion loans continue to attempt to solve a non -trivial problem to repay their money from the company that cannot serve debts, but its bankruptcy will bring a maximum of a few cents per ruble. One plan for restructuring the debt has already been rejected, and on March 21, UTair proposed a new one, found out Vedomosti. The plan is simple - banks are invited to write off 40% of the debt, or 30 billion rubles, otherwise the UTair will go bankrupt and no one will receive anything. Banks do not like him, and they anonymously say that they have formed UTeire loans reserves and are ready for bankruptcy, but with difficulty believed in it.

PRACTICE

$ 35 million for the prediction of dismissal

PEAKON startup assures that he can predict the dismissal of an employee 250 days before he writes a statement. He does this with his own program for a personnel survey. The survey is compiled in such a way as to check how much the employees are passionate about their work, to identify possible cases of professional crises and burnouts, as well as compare the state of the team with trends observed in the sector. Among his advantages, PEAKON calls a large frequency of mood measurements (polls are conducted weekly, and not monthly) and employee time saving at the expense of rather simple and standard issues. The market perceived the idea with enthusiasm - only recently a startup attracted $ 35 million and has already found customers in the person of BMW, Verizon, Harrods and others.

Assistant for Airbnb

Guesty is a business that is growing due to the popularity of short -term rental services like Airbnb. The idea of ​​the company, as often happens, appeared from personal experience, when the twin brothers and the founders of Amiad and Kobi rented an apartment and realized how much time they spent on its preparation for the entry of residents. Now the Israeli startup offers a number of tools to manage such real estate - for example, services for communicating with a tenant in 24/7 mode or tracking legislative changes that may affect the apartment. After the number of apartments managed through the Guesty apartments, by exceeding 100 thousand, managed to raise investments by $ 35 million in the article, in the article TechCrunch (in English).