Revenues of Russians against Putin's rating, the Ministry of Finance against wagons and "jambs" and an interview with the former head of Morgan Stanley in Russia

Pension reform has already been forgotten, but the authorities of the authorities continue to fall - after the income of Russians

The real incomes of Russians will fall in 2019, and poverty will not decrease, according to the HSE and the RANEPA economists. In this, and not in pension reform - the reason that the ratings of the authorities and Vladimir Putin continue to fall, the head of the All -Russian Central Executive Committee recognized.

• The real disposable cash incomes of Russians will continue to fall in 2019, and the poverty and inflation will not be possible to reduce - the Economists of the Higher School of Economics and the RANEPA at the Economic Club called “On the Real income of Russians” came to this conclusion.
• Recently, the Accounts Chamber made the same forecast - in the first quarter the real disposable incomes, according to Rosstat, decreased by 2.3% a year by the year. This means that in 2019, even 0.1% of growth, you need an increase in real incomes at least 1% per quarter. Given the fact that during the year “significant monetary measures of social support of citizens” are not expected, there is a risk that 2019 will become the next year of income fall, according to the department of Alexei Kudrin.
• The incomes of the population fell for several years in a row-from 2014 to 2017, and in 2018-despite the pumping of the budget sector before the elections and after changing the Rosstat calculation methodology, they showed near-headed growth (0.1%).
• This is the main reason for the fall of the rating of power and Vladimir Putin, in an interview with “rain” the head of the VTsIOM VALIRY Fedorov recognized. In mid -May, the president’s rating fell to a minimum in 13 years. Now Vladimir Putin is trusted by 31.7% of Russians, follows from the VTsIOM data on May 19. “We called this the“ effect of black glasses ”, which our compatriots put on then [when approving pension reform] and have not been removed since then,” Fyodorov explained.
• The shock fall of the electoral rating occurred immediately after the reform, but the continuation of the fall is due to the fact that the population no longer believes that "life will be better tomorrow than today." “This is very annoying people, and even, I would say, in a sense, it surprises,” says the head of the VTsIA.
• Fedorov’s words are confirmed by other surveys of sociologists - the percentage of those who have already felt a crisis on themselves and believes that this for a long time continues to grow. This year, according to the study of GFK, there were more than 53% against 44% in 2017 and 29% in 2015. Rosstat fixes all the same trends - almost half of Russian families, from his last report, by the end of last year, could afford to buy only food and clothes, money for long -term goods - was not enough. As a result, in the same fourth quarter, the share of borrowed funds in citizens increased from 7.8% to 11% for the year.

What am I to me?

“If the economy has not grown, and it has not grown for many years, then we will not have any reason to expect that real incomes will not grow, of course,” said Vladimir Gimpelson, director of the Center for Labor Studies, Vladimir Gimpelson, during the same discussion. Judging by the surveys and statistics, these threads have to correlate with themselves more and more Russians.

INTERVIEW

Former head of Morgan Stanley in Russia Ryr Simonyan

In early May, it became known that the American Investbank Morgan Stanley, which did not turn his Russian office even in the crisis of 1998, will leave Russia in early 2020. The Bell talked with Ryer Simonyan, one of the most respected and famous financiers, who in the mid-1990s was the first Russian to head the Morgan Stanley foreign division, and worked in this position for 14 years, then managed the UBS business in Russia and even tried to build a bank for the oil empire Igor Sechin. The Morgan Stanley account has the largest transactions for the Russian economy, including the LUKOIL and Rosneft IPO, consultations of the Russian government and unconditional leadership, accompanied by M&A transactions, so the banking can be called landmark. Simonyan well understands why Morgan Stanley has made such a decision now, explains the psychology of Western investors and gives a forecast for their return.

On June 28, Cyrus Simonyan will become a guest of Bellclub .

MONEY

Dividends did not pass wagons

The offer of Russian Railways to pay dividends for 2018 in kind, namely, wagons, which the state can then put in the Crimea, assets in Sochi and a number of objects used by the prosecutor's office and the police - did not find understanding in the Ministry of Finance, Kommersant writes . The Budget Code does not allow the consignment payments as budget revenues, the department recalled. As a result, the government could not on time to agree on the directive to representatives of the state in the Council of Directors of the Russian Railways, which was supposed to decide on dividends on Monday.

Also, the department of Anton Siluanov is not going to pay “for jambs” of “Transneft” - this refers to a scandal with polluted oil on the Druzhba oil pipeline. Previously, the Vice-Prime Minister Dmitry Kozak, the TEC, said that Transneft compensates for the actual losses from the accident to all companies that have suffered damage, but the expenses for this will be taken into account when calculating the dividends of the monopoly.

PRACTICE

It's time or still wait

It is difficult to find work, but parting with it is even more difficult. Quartz tells how to understand that time has really come. First of all, they advise you to pay attention to the company in which you work - suddenly things are very bad there, and then dismissal will become a real salvation. If you suspected something wrong, pay attention to whether the number of unscheduled meetings has grown, whether unexpected business trips of top managers have become more frequent. In other cases, experts advise listening to themselves. If you feel that you have stopped developing in your position or even know more than your boss, while you started problems with your personal life and health, this is a clear sign - it's time to move on.

Friedman's son about Friedman

It is generally accepted that the children of wealthy parents, by definition, live in luxury and easily achieve success. Forbes talked with the only son of the founder of Alfa-Group Mikhail Friedman-18-year-old Alexander, who talks about early growing up, the first attempts to make business and instilling a “feeling of hunger” from childhood. He calls relationships with his parents more than partnerships-at the age of 13 he already lived separately in the London boarding school, and five years later he made the first business to deliver steam cocktails to restaurants.

Fun

AliExpress to help

The entrepreneurial rapper Timati was once again convicted of things from AliExpress under the guise of his own brand - this time for the Ministry of Defense, says TJournal. Only a few days after the presentation of the joint collection of Classnaya Star clothing from the National Center for Defense of the Russian Federation “Army of Russia” and the Timati Black Star team, one of the Internet users found that shorts shown at the event are actually sold at the Chinese trading platform and cost only 780 rubles. Timati at the show said that Black Star prepared the collection for more than six months, putting in it the values ​​common with the “army of Russia” - “convinced leadership, patriotism, attention to details and complete confidence in every next step.” In a similar scandal, Timati was seen only a few months ago, when in March, social networks found wireless headphones from Black Star for 7 thousand rubles for AliExpress three times cheaper - for 1.5 thousand rubles, but without a logo.