Türkiye received Russian S-400s. What does this mean for her?

The first components of the Russian S-400 anti-aircraft missile systems have arrived in Turkey, said the Turkish Defense Ministry today and confirmed the Federal Service for Military-Technical Cooperation (FSVTS). The S-400 launchers were delivered by An-124 aircraft to the Myurted air base near Ankara, deliveries will continue in the coming days.

S-400 vs F-35

The delivery of Russian complexes means that the United States will withdraw Turkey from the program of military-technical cooperation on the fifth-generation stealth fighter F-35. Both the US and NATO allies have repeatedly said that Turkey must choose between the F-35 and S-400.

• One of the reasons is purely military: Russia could get data on the real stealth of the F-35 for S-400 radars, and if the complex is included in the NATO air defense system, about this system as well.
• Turkey co-financed the development of the F-35 and ordered 100 aircraft for almost $10 billion, Turkish companies make hundreds of components for the fighter. according to Turkish Ahval. Turkey's refusal to participate in the program will cost the US about $200 million,
• Four Turkish F-35s have already been paid for, but remain on US soil. The Pentagon is thinking of buying them out, but no decision has been made yet.
• Deliveries to Turkey of equipment and spare parts for the F-35 have already been stopped, and the pilot training program has also been stopped.

S-400 vs. Patriot

The American Patriot air defense systems have long been in service with Turkey's regional rival, Saudi Arabia. Turkey, which sees itself as a regional leader, wants to produce the entire line of air defense systems itself, including the most powerful ones.

• Russia and Turkey agreed to supply $2.5 billion worth of S-400s at the end of 2017. Since then, Washington has urged Turkish authorities to back out of the deal.
• At the end of last year, the Pentagon offered Turkey to buy a Patriot comparable in performance to the S-400 for $3.5 billion, but Turkey refused.
• The main reason was the refusal of the Americans to transfer technology. Russia will transfer technology, but partially .

Read also The United States banned doing business with "Putin's chef" and punished China for buying Su-35 and S-400

S-400 against the Turkish economy

The deal brings Turkey under the sanctions of the CAATSA package, which prohibits the purchase of Russian weapons by countries that are US military partners. Whether to apply these sanctions will be decided by US President Donald Trump.

• On news of the start of deliveries of the S-400, the lira fell another 0.8% against the dollar, writes Bloomberg.
• Sanctions, if any, will deal a heavy blow to the Turkish economy. Recently, there has been only bad news about her: the lira has fallen by 30% per year, inflation is 18%, the main rate is 24%, and a large dollar public debt. Last week, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan fired the chairman of the Central Bank, and then said that the Central Bank is obliged to maintain a low rate.
• China has already fallen under US sanctions for the purchase of S-400s, but not yet India, which bought these systems for $5 billion.

Trump recently expressed moderate support for Turkey's decision to buy the S-400, albeit blaming the Obama administration for failing to sell the Patriot to the country in time. After the G20 summit, Erdogan said he did not believe in US sanctions against Turkey.

Quote. “Erdogan believes he can talk Trump out of anything. The rest of the national security apparatus will seek tough sanctions,” Foreign Policy quoted a US administration official as saying.