Johnson was compared with Mussolini

Brexit gradually turns from farce into a coup

The three -year story about the exit of Britain from the European Union is aggravated. The recently elected new prime minister Boris Johnson continues to radiate optimism and present political accounts to the Gloomy Little Fores. But his 100 days, which began the countdown in the quiet vacation of August, have already stumbled upon a bewildered and incomprehensible prospects of business, a continuous fall in the national currency, stubborn negotiators from the EU and dissatisfied voters - on August 1, conservatives lost to liberal democrats in Wales.

Having headed the government, Boris Johnson immediately began to execute the main part of his program - preparing the exit of Great Britain from the European Union, without being considered losses. The Johnson government threatens Brussels with a way out without an agreement, demanding the elimination of that part of the previously agreed plan, which is known as the Bestop.

In accordance with Bestop, Northern Ireland as part of the UK will remain in the Customs Union with the EU until London and Brussels find a better solution than the construction of a full -fledged border with border control between British Northern Ireland and Ireland, which is in the EU.

The absence of a border is an important part of the agreement of the 1998 passionate Friday, which put an end to three decades of bloodshed and terrorism in this part of the country.

Despite the fact that Brexit without an agreement threatens both parties with tangible economic losses, Johnson's pressure does not give results. According to Ai-Ti-Wi News, the European Union hopes that upon returning from the summer holidays, the British parliament, the full rebellious, will be able to block the non-contractual Brexit.

Meanwhile, events are developing.

Business is worried

A business that, it would seem, traditionally represents a conservative party, refuses to "enter into a position." The National Statistical Administration said that for the first time since 2012 in the second quarter of this year, the country's GDP decreased. Against the background of this news, the fall of the national currency continued-the pound of Sterling reached a 31-month minimum in relation to the dollar and a two-year minimum in relation to the euro. “The government does not comment on the changes in the exchange rate,” Boris Johnson answered the press nervously. By the way, the British currency reached the historical maximum in 2015, on the eve of the ill -fated referendum.

The Small Business Federation, calling for the adoption of the emergency budget, said that if the treasury postpone the adoption of measures before the end of October, its efforts will probably be “limited and belated”.

After the 2016 referendum, the investments of automakers and their suppliers in new projects were reduced by 80%, Ford and Honda announced the closure of British enterprises.

The news of the British business has long been full of similar messages, but now, on the finish line, each new one is important: the PSA group (uniting Peugeot and Sitroen) said that it would be forced to transfer its production from Liverpool to southern Europe if the government does not make a Brexit deal. The head of the BMW asked the prime minister “to listen to the opinion of the economy”, they also began to transfer part of the production of engines from the UK in preparation for the exit from the EU.

The National Union of Farmers warned that upcoming import checks can mean mass destruction of sheep. A survey of purchasing managers for the alleged production activities, compiled by the IHS Markit research group in July, reports Faynenshl Times, has shown the lowest level since February 2013.

The Bank of England reduced the forecasts of economic growth even in the case of Brexit with a deal.

According to the chairman of the bank, Mark Karni, in early 2020, the economy can be reduced with a probability of 1: 3. It predicts the lack of food, inflation and an increase in unemployment.

The worst scenario, calculated by the Bank of England in the absence of a transaction, indicates a fall in the pound sterling course by 25 percent of foreign currency. The pro-Daley Telegraph, the forecast of the country's chief bank extremely nervously commented on: “Mr. Carni should allow the government to rule the country, advise it alone, and publicly keep his mouth behind the teeth.”

In the press, the word "chaos" regularly flickers. Only 20 percent of citizens believe that the business is “for the most part is ready” to the non -contractual Brexit, and 60 percent believe that “for the most part is not ready”. Even wealthy layers do not feel protected. According to surveys, most rich British expect recessions, only every third is confident in their finances, and only every eighth believes in the country's economy.

The government allocated an additional £ 2.1 billion for preparations for the exit. They will go to combat bursts and bores at the crossing of La-Channel, with interruptions in the supply of vital goods, for example, drugs, from continental Europe, when customs control will appear on the border with the rest of Europe. By the fall, the number of civil servants, which are detached to prepare for Brexit, should reach 16 thousand.

Total preparation for the "divorce", together with the previous government spent on the same purposes, is already standing for taxpayers over four billion pounds.

The hard Brexit would not be so dramatic, do not undermine it a historical agreement of passionate Friday. The leader of the Nationalist Party of Ireland "Shin Fayne" Mary Lu McDonald is sure that this will be the end of a peace agreement. Some analysts and the press, in particular, have a respectable “economist”.

Votum of mistrust?

In such conditions, in the fall, the question of distrust of the government will probably be raised. The press estimates the number of rebellious Tori from 25 to 40 people. The Labor (except, perhaps 10) and the deputies of the four small opposition parties oppose the non -contractual Brexit, and many of them are for the second referendum. In total, there is a serious advantage (presumably more than 50 votes) of those who are going to stop Johnson.

After the expression of a vote of distrust of the government, the parliament can form a government of national unity for 14 days, the negotiations about which are coming. It could again ask the EU to postpone the deadline for the release of Britain ( *now it is October 31.- *Ed. ) And go to resolving the issue in a new way. The problem, however, is that, as the magazine "Spector" indicates, many conservatives categorically disagree to accept the leader of the Labor, Marxist Jeremy Corbin even as a temporary prime minister. In turn, the shadow chancellor of the Labor, John McDonnell, recently stated that the Labor Party was not ready for other options.

Meanwhile, Johnson’s most radical supporters have already stated that he was not going to leave in any case, and the elections would be appointed after Brexit, when it would be too late for any new government to change anything.

The constitutional crisis is brewing

Constitutional experts believe that a strict reading of the law allows this. But this would cause a gigantic political scandal, similar to which the UK did not see the century, potentially drawing the queen into the constitutional crisis, which, according to Ai-Ti-Vi NEW, will almost certainly reach the Supreme Court. And the Buckingham Palace is already negotiating with Dauning Street on how to protect the queen from the impending crisis because of Brexit, the Telegraph reports.

And now, it seems, for the first time

The British press sounded the words “dictator” and “right -wing coup.” The magazine "London Book Review" drew attention to the similarity of the coming to power Mussolini and Johnson.

He “came to power in a strictly constitutional way”, but “the approach of Johnson and his commander Dominic Cummings, based on the principle of“ do or die ”, causes real concern.” Developing this thought, the “Hardian” came out with the headline: “Brexit was like a farce. Now he is turning into a coup. "

During the election campaign, when Johnson proved that in the event of leaving the EU without a contract, Britain was awaiting a full -scale economic crisis, he answered: “Why is such pessimism, amazing?” In traditional speech, before the first visit to Dauning Street in a new quality, he thoroughly “rode” along “Littlenesses, Gloomy and gloomy”, which “is not able to fulfill the democratic mandate.”

However, the point is not in the confrontation of the idea of ​​trust or optimism, but, as the press writes, in "myopia and a strange desire to go aground, overcoming obstacles by any means."