How much we lose at the prodmbargo, problems with alcohol, recalculation of the poor and new friends in adulthood

The product embargo is five years. Russians continue to pay for him from their wallets

Food counter -sanctions cost Russians almost 500 billion rubles a year, and successful import substitution took place only on poultry meat, pork and tomatoes. This is the conclusion of the effects of a five -year grocery embargo conducted by economists of the RANEPA and CEFIR, writes Kommersant.

Details

• Counter -sanctions cost Russian consumers 530 billion rubles a year in 2013 prices, and they benefit from import substitution of poultry, pork and tomatoes - but only 75 billion rubles. per year.
• The pure losses of Russians, therefore, amount to 445 billion rubles a year - this is 3,000 rubles per person, or almost 5% of the minimum consumer basket.
• These losses by 84% are redistributed in favor of Russian manufacturers and 3% in favor of importers who offered a more expensive alternative to the European “sanctions”. Pure economy losses account for 13% of the amount.
• Import substitution on fruits, fish, cheese, meat processing products (sausages, sausages, etc.) and condensed milk failed at all: these products have risen in price, and their consumption fell. So, only in cheese, the consumption of which over the years of sanctions decreased by 3%, the Russians lost 72 billion rubles a year.
• Due to consumers, an import substitution of butter, milk and dairy products occurred: prices rose, consumption remained the same. As a result, Russians lose 62 billion rubles every year, 60 billion rubles in butter.
• One of the causes of the losses of Russians is to replace cheaper products from the EU by relatively expensive products from other countries (Serbian apples, Chilean salmon). Belarus, who received 78% of the sanctions “export” increase, won from this.

How much does it cost

The results of the new study agree with the KPMG influence of the influence of counter -sanctions on Russian agriculture. Its basic conclusion: the food embargo almost did not increase the growth rate of agricultural industry compared to the forecast of natural development, and the prices of products rose with a decrease in quality.

According to Akra, without the embargo, the growth of the Russian economy in 2014-2018 (3%) would be 0.2 percentage points. higher.

The authorities consider the results of five -year counter -sanctions positive, but success cost expensive - the account goes to trillion rubles. To establish import substitution (not only in agriculture), in 2018 the state spent 600 billion rubles, President Putin said last year. He set the task to double the export of agrarian products, bringing it to $ 45 billion in 2024, and this will cost another 400 billion rubles in 6 years. The annual support of the agricultural sector since 2019 will thus exceed 300 billion rubles.

What am I to me?

The study extremely specifically shows that the large political decisions of the Russian authorities have a long -term price in the “living” money of Russians. Putin’s sanctions response to Western sanctions for Crimea and Donbass for five years, but consumers are still paying for him from their own pockets. The idea of ​​supporting domestic manufacturers, which was justified by the prodmbargo, also did not justify itself as a whole.

MONEY

Retail began to refuse alcohol

The grocery retail has a new trouble: poorly thought -out amendments to the law on state regulation of alcohol turnover threaten her with loss of 15% of the revenue, Kommersant found out . The fact is that the basis for the suspension of the alcohol license of the store is now an unpaid penalty for violation, and it takes six months to restore the license. The largest retailers who receive 15 licenses in the month in Moscow and the region are seriously concerned about this. In the worst version, they are facing losses of 195 billion rubles. The Ministry of Industry and Trade recognizes the need for a “urgent solution” ... and prepares a corrective bill.

Gazprom rested on Naftogaz

Gas consultations of Russia and Ukraine with a new transit agreement with the intermediary of the EU were stalled, and the reason is more likely in the position of the Russian side, Kommersant writes . Russia again raises the question of resolving Gazprom's judicial disputes with Naftogaz, implying Ukraine’s winning refusal $ 2.6 billion in Stockholm arbitration. This is absurd and politically unacceptable, but the probable reason is that Gazprom no longer hopes to challenge the court decision, the publication notes. Meanwhile, the planning agreement looks good for Gazprom: the volume of transit through Ukraine will be limited, a round of gas remains by the bypass “Northern Stream”. At the same time, experts do not exclude the fall of gas prices in Europe by half .

Rosstat will count the poor

On the income of Russians, the change in the methodology of their counting influenced the most positive way - now, it seems, the queue for numbers about the poverty level that caused bewilderment in the Kremlin. The Ministry of Economy invited Rosstat to verify its numbers about the poverty level of the tax and pension fund, RBC found out . In Rosstat they assured that verification would not affect the final assessment. Economists admit that the use of tax data will increase measurement accuracy. The poverty level in Russia fell until 2012, and from 2014 he began to grow. Now it is 19.8%.

PRACTICE

How to make friends by dog ​​method

Over the years, making friends becomes more difficult. One of the main reasons is to embarrass and the desire to seem better than you really are, Quartz believes . To rectify the situation, the publication advises to resort to an unobvious method - to use the "Golden Retriever technique." One of the most friendly breeds among dogs is absolutely not shy about his feelings: if the animal likes a person, it begins to wag its tail with might and main and involve him in joint classes - for example, a game of the ball. The same model of behavior can copy a person. If you want to make friends with someone, do not be the first to approach a potential friend, make a compliment and even exchange contacts or initiate a new meeting to find out the interlocutor better. The main thing is to be yourself, reminds Quartz, it always captivates.

Responsible consumption will be launched from above

Despite the fact that representatives of the largest clothes for the sale of clothing like CEO H&M Karl Yohan Perssson believe that the “Prostration of Consumers” campaign will have “terrible social consequences”, the responsible consumption movement is gaining momentum. Now it was part of the billionth fashion-imperia, Veronika Chow, the daughter of the Chinese billionaire and ex-owner of Tommy Hilfiger Silasa Chow, writes Techcrunch. After the birth of her daughter, the girl realized what harm to family companies cause the environment, and decided to launch the environment of clothing under the EVERYBODY & EVERYONE brand. Before the start of the project, ChOU began to invest in a third -party eco -company - for example, the manufacturer of the eco -leather Modern MEADOW and the developer of stable household chemicals DIRTY LABS. Now she assures that even labels and socks in her stores will be made of recycled materials.