US President - Gay?

How democrats understand Trump and choose a duelist

In America, you will not get bored. Especially in the year of the election. Especially with Trump. Especially at the time of impeachment. In the political system of American democracy, this is the highest action in which the US president is accused of “serious crimes and misconduct”. In the real circumstances of 2020, this is a demonstration process in which one part of the Congress - the House of Representatives - and one party - the Democrats - are trying to renounce Donald Trump from power. And the other chamber - the Senate - and the other party - the Republicans - do everything to justify it.

Who will help impeachment?

The structure of impeachment, as you know, is such that the accusation, investigation and the adoption of the Verdict “impeachment” is the prerogative of the House of Representatives.

The final sentence: to abdicate the president from power or reject this decision - the prerogative of the Senate.

Democrats have already achieved their representatives in the House of Representatives, where they have the majority. They made impeachment to President Trump. Now the turn is for the Senate, where the most Republicans are. There are not the slightest chance that they will vote against their party interests, so that the Revenge of the Republicans, who will call Trump with his complete and absolute excuse, is inevitable. And what - a draw, zilch? In fact, it can be more than zilch. Or less. It depends on who.

The leaders of the Democrats are able to count up to fifty. They were well aware that 53: 47 - an account of the Republicans and Democrats in the Senate, obviously not in their favor. Moreover, when voting on impeachment, it is not even simple, but a qualified majority of two -thirds of the senators. But the very thing about impeachment is a grandiose, incomparable to expose Trump in real/worst (select the word to taste) light

At the most important and final court, which are the presidential election.

This is the strategic rate of democrats.

As the previous experience showed - the impeachment of Clinton is a dangerous game. Then the picture looked exactly the same - in a mirror reflection. The Republic of Representatives voted for the impeachment of the President-Democrat. The number did not pass in the Senate. The most interesting, however, what happened next. In their indictment, the Republicans were so obviously addicted-the connection with Monica Levinski is still difficult to give out for a state crime-and are so rude and cynical that public opinion was recoiled from them. Clinton did not have to re -elect, it was his second term, but he completed the presidential career at the peak of popularity.

One way or another, the role -playing drawing of the upcoming campaign is obvious.

Democrats will prove to the public with reference to the abyss of facts and evidence that were publicized during the impeachment that Trump is a worthless figure in the White House. That he used the levers of state power for the sake of personal political self -interest (pressed Ukraine, detaining 391 million dollars of military assistance allocated by Congress until it provides a compromising evidence for Bayden). What to leave him for a second term will be a disaster for the country.

Trump will go to Gogol - to impersonate the winner and at the same time the victim of vile intrigues, which did not see the world equal.

He will try to turn his own impeachment into advertising. He is an unsurpassed master in this matter.

Which party will be more successful? We will learn this - on the first Tuesday after the first Monday of November.

Primaries and coks

The struggle will be uncompromising and in many ways unpredictable. The election campaign, however, has its own laws and milestones. We just approached one of them. On February 3, Kokus will take place in Aiova. What kind of beast is this or maybe a tree? Neither one nor the other. This is the ritual of American electoral democracy along with the "primaries".

In the decisive equation - who will converge in a duel for the White House, for today one figure is known - the current president Donald Trump. And who will throw him a glove?

The history of 2020 started with full -time debates in the summer and autumn of 2019, which were more than 20 applicants - democrats. People looked, showed themselves. Halfs fell one way or another. But the remaining ten is ten times more than necessary. Ahead of the selection process.

The name of the presidential candidate will be named at the Congress of Democrats, which will open to Miluoi, Wisconsin, July 13. And the decisive factor will become with what number of votes the applicants will come to him. Which, in turn, will be determined in the course of “primaries” and “coks” throughout the country.

In most states, the “primaries” will be held - primary, that is, internal party elections. They take part in them, as a rule, single -partyists - now we are talking about democrats. They will come to polling stations, send voting ballots by mail or vote in a remotely different way.

And in several states, “coks” are held - many hours of meetings with votes in several rounds with the release of the losers. They vote with their feet-in every new round the audience passes to the side of their favorite, until there is a single candidate-the winner.

The first two trials-“Kokus” in Aiova and “Primerimerus” in New Hampshire-are appointed respectively for February 3 and 11.

And on March 3, a Super Arough Super Bowl will take place on March 3.

The “primaries” will then take place immediately in one and a half dozen states, including giants in California and Texas, which have the largest number of votes. On this day, the future winner of the democratic race will be determined with a high degree of probability.

In the meantime, we have only ratings at our disposal. Recently, Bernie Sanders has advanced the first position. In the top five of the favorites Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Pete Butigich, Michael Bloomberg. The name Amy Klobaher is also in hearing.

And what is the cheese-brow about?

Doctrinal Republicans are conservatives. Their slogans: individualism, a free market, as few state intervention as possible (although Trump mixed many cards here) ... Democrats are liberals. They are more sensitive to issues of social, racial, gender and other inequality. Moreover, among the democrats their watershed. Progressers - Sanders and Warren - advocate more radical social reforms. And moderate - these include the other four mentioned.

The youngest and most unusual

I recently wrote about the strategic and ideological scenario in the democratic camp - in the publication there were portraits of Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren.

So I will add a portrait of Petejich .

If the ratings do not lie, just in Aiova he has very high chances. His name collects more money than the campaign of Vice President Biden. In many ways, he is a very unusual figure.

From the gray -haired seventies - the rest of the favorites - it is distinguished by almost indecent youth. He is 37 years old - just a boy.

If he wins, he will become the youngest president of the United States.

From Elizabeth Warren and Amy Klobacher differs in that he is a man. From Biden, Sanders and Bloomberg - that he is gay. So

If he wins, he will become the first US president - gay.

He does not hide his sexual orientation. Until the recent time, it would be a political death for any ambitious. But on June 26, 2015, the Supreme Court fully legalized unconventional love, deciding that the US Constitution guarantees the right of same -sex couples to marry. Pete Botijich took advantage of this right. He has a husband.

It is very likely that the customs of the countries are very softened. However, how it will affect his election campaign, it is too early to draw conclusions.

The mayor of the city of South Bend, Indiana since 2012 - so he already has the unspoken rank of the youngest mayor. Experts meticulously considered that it was the fourth largest city, 17th in the state of state. Not Jomolungma. That Pete has calmed down the Closerly: “I have more government experience than the president. I understand this is a low bar. (Arrow in Trump). But I also have more experience in the executive branch than the vice president. ” (Arrow in Pence, the former governor of his native state of Indiana).

An instant reaction, words fall directly on the target ... In an amazingly way, it combines different, seemingly difficult compatible features and properties.

The charm of the native of the hinterland. He is from the Middle West. Not some Washington insider. And at the same time, far from a provincial. Harvard is behind the shoulders - study and graduate school,

From the student time there was a connection with Mark Zuckerberg.

He speaks in Norwegian, French, Spanish, Italian, Maltese, Arabic and Dari. His mother is a linguist, this explains a lot, but not all. Interest in Dari and Arabic most likely arose in Afghanistan, where he

About a year he served as an intelligence officer.

The Americans, to put it mildly, are not too located to other people's cultures. During his election campaign, John Kerry hid the knowledge of French, so as not to consult an elimacy. Trump taught Jeba Bush, whose house and Spanish are also speaks-this is the native language of his wife: "In America, you need to speak English." But this phobia also does not stick to Petijich.

Naturally positioned as a representative of the new wave. However, most of all I like those who are older and much older. In their eyes, he personifies what youth should be. “Clever” ... “Patriot” (served in the army) ... “Frusted” (does not forget to refer to God in speeches) ... reasonable, serious, friendly ...

An attentive interlocutor, a good speaker ... In fact, this is a kind of talent, he is still called charisma. This is when the politician attracts his own person more than the program.

He, however, also thinks over the program and very carefully. Of course, he is for reforms - all democrats for reforms. He is for the reforms of bold than Biden's. But be careful than that of Bernie and Warren. For example, they offer public health care for everyone. And he is public health care for everyone who wishes him. Feel the difference. The main thing is not to scare anyone or push away inadvertently.

On this I will complete personal performances. With a pair of reservations.

Amy Klobaher is an interesting figure. The Senator from the state of Minnesota, she emphasizes that she knows how to win in a “rusty belt”. After the unexpected loss of Hillary Clinton in 2016, just in these states, this is a sore spot with the Democrats. But while it is noticeably lagging behind competitors. If she manages to advance in Aiov and New Hampshire, there will be an occasion to tell about her in more detail.

And of course, the intriguing figure of Michael Bloomberg, a strong person who “made himself” a billionaire, three times mayor of New York. However, he will not be in Aiov, as in New Jersey. Late announced his presidential ambitions. And now his bet is on a spectacular invasion of the race in the Super Assembly on March 3. In the meantime, not sparing any money, he prepares the ground for this.

Meanwhile, Trump's impeachment also influenced Kokus in Ayov in an unexpected way. Three of the leading Democrats Sanders, Warren and Klobacher are senators, all the last days all the last days in Washington and just when they need to be on the battlefield. Bayden is not constrained in his actions, but how presidential lawyers in the Senate publicly chop him in the tail and mane is unlikely to increase his chances. So Pete Butigich received an unexpected head start. Will these circumstances play some role? Very soon we will find out.