Alexey Melnikov: "Kremlin adventurer in Idlib"

"Turkey suffered the largest losses in Idlib from the day of its military operation in Idlib. And, it seems that this is a consequence of participation in the battles of Russian aviation, the Russian army. Does Erdogan have a chance to retreat? In any case, he has less opportunities for the maneuver. This means an increase in the probability of Turkey’s open clash with our army now. In addition, it is possible that Putin will send Putin to Putin in Idlib and quite serious military contingents, and the war will go to the new stage, ”writes the publicist in the Live Journal .

"Imagine that in some operation with the participation of the Russian army again-the first, second, third, the Russian military died. What mood will arise in Russia? They presented? Now you will be transferred to Turkey. Which, nevertheless, is fighting at its borders, having vital interests there.

The Kremlin adventurer does not intend to retreat. In any case, with regard to the demonstration of military power - he drove and drives frigates armed with cruise missiles to the shores of Syria. Yes, and negotiations with an authoritarian and inadequate leader, its guarantees, are of low value. He is ready to reckon only with force. It seems that the question is increasingly moving towards a purely military balance of power, politics farther back into the background. If this dangerous line continues, then for Russia it will at least mean a local war. With an unclear degree of intensity. And with incomprehensible regional and global consequences.

This will be a continuation of the unnecessary war into which Putin pulled our country - combat clashes away from the Russian borders that required large costs (see the calculations of the "apple") that led to the victims. The consequences of this adventure, against which the "Yabloko", a democratic opposition, civil society, would have consistently opposed, will come around our country for a long time.

At the same time, the big question is, does Putin himself want and his grouping of this war? Are they going to a clash with Erdogan consciously? Do they want to fight in order to light a military hysteria in Russia again? Hoping that it will be the same as it was after the capture of the Crimea, the war on the rear of Ukraine, the introduction of troops into Syria? Of course, in this case they want a "small victorious war."

Against the backdrop of social and political protests in Russia, growing disappointment with the authorities, as well as the experience of the past, such a scenario does not seem incredible to us. The distant and unnecessary Russia war in Syria may well turn into a serious domestic political problem in the country. "I left my mother, went to fight, so that Assad to give the land in Idlib."

The Kremlin adventurers, being far from the fighting, without risking their families, their children, put our country in the Idlib Hell. "