Bayden returned. The former vice-president of the United States defeated the primaries in the Supernotor-Trump should be most pleased with Trump

The “supercurrent” was held in the United States, during which about a third of the voters of the Democratic Party voted for a candidate whose nomination against Donald Trump would would like to elections in the US president in November 2020. The winner of this day was the former Vice President Joe Biden, who, after failures in the first preliminary elections, was almost debited. Bernie Sanders was able to win the former favorite of the race in only four of the 14 states and is already inferior to Biden. But now everything is coming to the fact that the Democrats will not be able to nominate presidential candidate following the results of the primaries. In this case, the decision will be made based on the results of the backstage agreements at the congress in July 2020. This will sharply increase Donald Trump for re -election.

Biden won in most states thanks to the exit from the race of other moderate candidates. California remained behind Sanders, Bloomberg failed everywhere

The current Supernotor was attended by 14 states at once, including California with the largest number of democrats, one territory- the American Samoa , and Democrats Abroad-a public organization that unites members of the Democratic Party temporarily or permanently residing outside the country (it also puts forward delegates).

Based on the results of the vote, Vice President of the United States at Barack Obama Joe Biden burst forward. He was ahead of the “democratic socialist” and the senator from Vermont Bernie Sanders, who, after the first primaries, became the favorite of the race. Biden defeated nine of the states out of fourteen, gathering, first of all, the votes of older people, the inhabitants of the urban outskirts and African Americans. At the same time, in California, where the counting traditionally goes long, Sanders, apparently, will receive more votes.

At the time of the publication of this text, Biden had 453 votes of the delegates of the Convention of the Democratic Party against 382 by Sanders. To nominate the applicant, you need to dial 1991 (out of 3979) of the votes of the conventional delegates, which will be held in mid -July.

Obviously, Biden managed to turn the situation thanks to a deafening victory in South Carolin on February 29 - noted, among other things, a record high at the nomine of Barack Obama in 2007. Nevertheless, the achievements of Sanders at that time looked more impressive : he took New Hampshire and Nevada, and also masterfully ( according to viewers) fought off the attacks of colleagues in the party during the debate.

However, after South Carolina, Pit Buttijich and Amy Klobuchar stated the way out of the race - and they supported the like -minded wing of the Biden Democratic Party, which seriously increased his chances. Moreover, Klobuchar is now called a possible candidate for vice presidents in the event of Biden. It is assumed that in the case of Biden’s victory, the administration will also receive 38-year-old Buttijich, who, thus, will be able to increase its fame for future presidential campaigns.

Another moderate candidate, Mike Bloomberg, who spent about half a billion dollars on an advertising campaign, could not even become even the third anywhere. Obviously, the failure on his first debate became decisive. He has already announced the way out of the race and Biden's support.

There is a probability of a script in which neither Biden nor Sanders will be put forward following the results of the primaries. Then backstat negotiations will begin

Despite the latest successes of Biden, it cannot be said that the fate of the democratic nomination has been a foregone conclusion. There remains the likelihood of a competitive convention on which a single candidate will not be able to elect in the first round of elections at the July Congress of the party.

In a situation of a competitive convention in the second round, not only 3979 ordinary delegates from the States will be able to vote, 771 superdodegates will be added to them. Superflows can radically change the course of the race. This is an establishment of the Democratic Party-its highest managers, state governors, Congress members, former presidents and vice presidents of the United States. Many of them oppose the radicalism of Bernie Sanders.

In the event that the second round does not identify the winner, almost all electors are removed from the obligation to vote as voters in their states demanded - this opens the way to backstage negotiations. Moreover, they can end with both the victory of one of the competing candidates and the “dark horse” - a compromise for the struggling sides of the figure, which has not yet claimed victory. The process can take a lot of rounds: in 1924, for example, to nominate John Davis as a competitor, Republican Calvin Culid, the democrats needed more than 100 rounds.

According to statistics, this is the worst scenario, from the point of view of the leadership of the Democratic Party . The applicants who needed several rounds of voting at the Convention extremely rarely won the presidential election-obviously, due to the fact that loyalty to them inside the party itself is not very great. The democrats of the competitive convention have not happened since 1952.

But now, according to media reports , the Democratic Party Elite is ready to take the risk of a competitive convention - just to get Sanders from the race. The opinion of the most popular democrats will have an influence and the opinion of Barack Obama. Despite the November messages of the press about his intentions to withstand the nomination of the senator from Vermont, Obama is still silent. And Sanders himself expressed confidence that he would eventually support him.

The results of the Super Army may turn out to be key for voters in the States where preliminary voting is still planned. For the sake of this, the day with voting at once in many states was conceived .

The difference in the views between Biden and Sanders is not so great. But the former vice president opens against free health care and legalization of marijuana at the federal level

For many issues, the opinion of moderate Biden is similar to the position of Sanders, considered a radical. Both want to ban the death penalty and private prisons , increase the minimum salary at the federal level from $ 7.25 to $ 15 per hour and increase taxes for rich and corporations. However, due to additional tax revenues, Biden, unlike Sanders, wants to finance not the abolition of the current medical insurance system and the development of the "green" economy, but the infrastructure.

The former vice-president is an opponent of free health and education for everyone, although he recognizes problems in these sectors and offers solutions: expanding the action of “preferential” insurance introduced under Obama, strengthening the existing programs for refinancing training and reform debts, which will make the first two years of training at the college free.

Bayden against the national legalization of marijuana (he believes that the States must decide on this), but for the abolition of sentences related to its turnover.

Finally, unlike Sanders, he is for atomic energy (offers more to invest in new technologies associated with it) and preserving oil production (although he wants to impose it with additional taxes and completely ban the drilling on the shelf).

Trump accuses the Democrats of a conspiracy against Sanders. The left media agree with him

The current US President Republican Donald Trump is actively commenting on the primaries of democrats

“Pete Buttijich dropped out. All his voices in the Super Army will move to the sleeping Joe Biden. A perfectly selected moment. Here it is, the real beginning of Bernie's withdrawal from the game by democrats - again without a nomination! " - He wrote on the eve of the "Super Army". And after a few hours he added : “They are preparing a coup against Bernie!” With regard to Sanders, he even stopped using his favorite term “crazy”.

In addition, Trump attacks Elizabeth Warren, another candidate who is still in the race. Like Sanders, she claims to be the left electorate, and, according to Trump, "she has no chance of winning, but she greatly harms Bernie." “Here is such a wonderful liberal friendship,” the US president is ironic.

Trump's estimates are very similar to the alarming rhetoric of the left editions, claiming that the establishment of the Democratic Party will do everything to “steal” the nomination with Bernie Sanders.

In large states such as Washington and Michigan, preliminary voting will be held on March 10, in Illinois and Florida-March 17, in Pennsylvania and New York-April 28.

Nikolai Anishchenko