Why France, one of the world "leaders" in the spread of coronavirus, leaves the safe quarantine regime

Since May 11, France is carefully, they are raised by the handle from the couch and brought to the light. This will be a difficult task for everyone: from the president actively moving around the empty country to some remoter like me. The country has long and firmly at the top of the world list according to the number of sick people. On April 28, Prime Minister Eduard Philip presented a plan of quarantine removal, but even after that, the deputy head of the Ministry of Health Jerome Salomon reports every evening: over the past day, Koronavirus took three hundred and sixty seven people (April 28), four hundred and twenty-seven people (April 29), three hundred ninety-nine (April 30), two hundred and eighteen (May 1) ... but to those who are to those who are on Alive, have to go out.

The authorities say: the disadvantages from quarantine began to outweigh the pluses.

The pluses are, of course, saved lives. The prime minister reported: one and a half months of quarantine allowed "to avoid 62 thousand deaths."

And still, the numbers are terrible: already almost 25 thousand victims.

Those who get into intensive care also began to promise much less than before. Specialists of the European Research Network in the field of artificial ventilation (Reva) found that the mortality rate from coronavirus in the French REA ( *resuscitation. - *ed. ), Which were never overloaded, like Italian, accounted for 30 to 40%, not 10%, as the Ministry of Health said.

But now, thanks to the quarantine, resuscitation unloaded - so you, so far so far healthy fellow citizens, it's time to slowly leave their native casemates. “We can hope that the incredible efforts of researchers around the world will allow the vaccine from 12 to 24 months,” said Prime Minister Philip, presenting the plan approved by the macron. But while "all the French must keep simple words in my head: we will have to live with this virus."

The Minister of Economics Le mayor rushes: "It is necessary that as many Frenchmen can return to work."

The country is already following the results of the first quarter in a deep recession. They have not seen such a deep one since 1949. But only half of March did not work.

The number of “temporarily unemployed”, whose good salary is now almost completely covered by the state, exceeded 11 million - this is almost half the working population.

But the bench will have to slowly turn off, the Minister of Labor Muriel Peniko stressed tactfully.

And if civil servants return to their former places and to the previous salaries, then there will be many gloomy stories in the private sector. In the end of March, unemployment grew record, despite the state support, "the most generous in Europe." At the end of April, the Ministry of Economy opened the telephone service for psychological assistance for the heads of enterprises. The call is free.

Society requires consumption

But, in addition to free calls, businessmen will clearly need liquid funds. That is why citizens, after leaving the insulation regime, will be allowed to walk around the shops without masks.

There are few masks, and other goods are heated, and it was time to start the horde of consumers into benches, fitting rooms, salons, and market collapse.

The authorities know that there will be much more infected than in the last days of quarantine, but they hope that the virus will be able to keep in a “reasonable framework”.

The Scientific Council (by coronavirus), created under the president, plans that “infection” (P0 - how many times on average one patient transmits the virus) will not rise above 1.5. For comparison: on the quarantine it was 0.5, before quarantine - 3.3.

We leave calmly

The Council emphasized: quarantine is needed not only for healing the economy, but also so that citizens do not fly off the coils. The Council report indicates "the growth of mental disorders, sleep disturbances, various forms of violence, the consumption of drugs and alcohol."

“Never before, the French have never had to“ observe the isolation ”for so long -“ even during the occupation, ”the prime minister noted. And President Macron praised the French for unprecedented discipline.

But for a month and a half, the quarantine was still written out for someone about a million times. Of course, respectable citizens also help:

In many regions, more than half of the calls to the police are now “coronavirus” denunciations.

In the city of Tarn, a grandmother was handed over, who handed over a note to her narrowed grandfather through the window of the nursing home. Grandmother was “attracted” by 135 euros, but after the “public protests” the fine was canceled.

The police are not so rare at all.

There were several dozen mini-“uprisings” in tightly populated Parisian suburbs. The media quoted the internal instructions of the Police Prefecture: “Do not enter into confrontation” with rebellious if their actions “do not pose a direct danger”.

Masks are reset

The authorities are trying to avoid the explosion. Still, many are excited, let's say. Passes show: more than 70% of France residents “experience fear” in front of coronavirus.

I saw how the pharmacist in the bourgeois area of ​​Paris harshly reassured the flushing lady, whom the “premiere promised a mask a week ago”, but they were not there. "Madame, we are all on the platoon, save the health of others."

The pharmacies finally allowed the masks to sell - and this event. Yes, while they are almost nowhere to be found, but the main thing is that the process has gone, which means that millions of citizens have a real hope of equipping according to the last scream of coronavirus fashion.

But "Antibacterial funds of profit !!!" - Home -made posters shout at a tall, to the ceiling, plexiglass "antiviral" fence separating pharmacists from customers.

In French, it sounds: L Es Solutions Hydro-Alcooliques Sont arrivées !!!

I remembered that when the “Bozole” season comes, they write in stores and bars (with one exclamation): le beaujolais nouveau est arriv é !

But now, even now - at least pour, despite the fact that they began to drink more, but a bottle of a good disinfecting gel could recently be given for a birthday. (Like a pack of flour, by the way, but this is a lyrical digression. Moreover, it is outdated, because already flour Arriv é !)

So now we are waiting for masks. Someone was already lucky. My friend, Maria L., from the Parisian suburbs with proudly sent a photo: received a “personally” mask from the mayor of the city in the mailbox. One thing. I offered to wash this business. The mayor first introduced fines for the exit without masks, then canceled the fines, now he began to send masks. Soon will return fines.

In the meantime, not even all doctors have enough protection funds. And they scream about this openly: for example, dentists are photographed naked to show how "they are" defenseless in the face of the virus. "

They are not the first to complain: a couple of weeks ago doctors from the “coronavirus” departments beat the alarm (they said: we have a “imprisonment”). But there was no such deficit as in Russia in French hospitals. And, of course, the doctors were not fired from work and did not call the prosecutor’s office for tea - to discuss the disclosure of state secrets about the lack of shoe covers and gloves.

BY THE WAY

French medical workers have another problem, but it is not caused by power: many evidence has been published about how neighbors write to doctors and nurses notes with threats, demanding “leave the house” so as not to “infect other residents”. The Prime Minister talked about the problem.

"Your authorities do not have a sense of self -preservation at all?!" - Parisian Dr. Stefan, who is well aware of the political situation in Russia, is surprised. Adds: “And our government first said that only doctors need to wear masks, and for the rest it is“ counterproductive ”, and now the prime minister says: the masks will be required in transport. For violation - a fine. Yes?! What is it suddenly ... "

The prime minister was justified: the scientists have flooded - “some”, “sometimes the same people”, they said one thing yesterday, and today was another.

After all, they listened to what people! According to the newspaper Canard Encha î n é , the Minister of Health Olivier Veran announced a video meeting with his subordinates: “France is terrible to blaspheme - this is terrible! They focused on Germany (where mortality is much lower and with which France is compared all the time. - Ed .) , But (...) Greece is almost not affected (virus), although its healthcare system is not the best ... so comparing one country with the other does not make any sense from a scientific point of view. " The minister added: bad indicators “are not related to testing or the number of places in intensive care,” but to factors that can be associated with “genetic specificity”. That is, residents of certain nationalities are more prone to coronavirus, the newspaper concludes. And jokes: well, yes, Spanish flu, black plague.

Power must pass a complex test

Le Monde told in detail how slowly the French bureaucratic machine unfolds even during the “War with the Coronavirus”: they lost “several weeks” before establishing test supply.

On April 15, the organization of economic cooperation and development reported: in France they make 5.1 tests per 100 thousand people. This is three times less than the average in the OECR, half as much as in the USA, and 17 times less than in Germany.

Then the French car earned. A week later, the deputy minister Salomon reported: we are 2 times behind Germany.

By the end of April, double the number of tests, the Minister Veran promised, and we will do 300 thousand a week.

Well, then the Prime Minister said: by May 11, by the day of leaving the isolation, we must increase the indicator to 700 thousand.

Otherwise, one cannot count on a successful way out, the head of the Scientific Council, Jean-France Delfrassy, ​​warned. The second prerequisite, he called the creation, following the example of South Korea, “mobile brigades”, which, after the patient’s detection, will restore the lists of all with whom he contacted.

And then make sure that everyone is tested, and the patients are isolated. Later, when it will finally be ready, they threaten to launch the Stopcovid mobile application to track patients.

The unfortunate patient will be given a choice (if hospitalization is not needed): to stay for 14 days at home, but then the whole family should be isolated, or go to a special hotel.

Measures will be taken under the law on extending the emergency regime. They will extend until the end of July.

The Scientific Council in its report just indicated: two months - the minimum term for the country's exit from quarantine, and "it is impossible to predict further." Quarantine measures will be reviewed and specified every three weeks. What the prime minister announced now will act from May 11 to June 2.

How to live in the "Red Zone"?

Since May 11, in or without a mask, all of us, almost seventy million inhabitants of France, will be able to show our nose to the street without filling out an acquittal. We can go out not for an hour a day, but at least for a day a day!

We can move not 1 kilometer from the house, but by 100!

But to go out for the 101st kilometer, so far they are allowed only for "emergency" workers and family reasons.

Almost all shops, libraries and “small museums” will open again. And let the restaurants and bars still remain under the castle, but it will already be possible to gather with companies up to 10 people.

And let the beaches are closed so far, but we will be allowed into parks.

“The cemeteries will be open to the public from May 11,” the prime minister said: but it is recommended that the mayors are recommended to “transfer the non -2 marriage ceremonies”.

But not everyone will immediately give a freemen.

“Living with the virus, take measures gradually, and adapt them to local conditions - these are the three principles of our national strategy,” the head of government said.

From April 30, every evening the deputy minister of health, J. Salomon, shows the country a map. On it, each of the hundreds of departments is painted either red (the situation is difficult), either yellow or green.

Acting map views will continue until May 7. By this day, “indicators will obscure clearly,” promised the prime minister.

And it will become clear who will be listed in the “red zone” - which means that you will have to live at least three more weeks more strict life, and whom - in green: it means they will be allowed to walk in parks in groups of up to 10 people.

Paris is still red by all criteria.

Here the city has just noted the quietest one in the post -war period of May Day.

There were no funny hundredth red-digit crowds on the streets, nor barbecue on the Bastille Square-from supporters of free Kurdistan-the creators of the Bolch é Vik newspaper, or even living Masons in the Pere-Lashez cemetery who recall the shot utilities.

“My dear fellow citizens, on May 1, 2020, it does not look like any other,” Macron said in a video call for the Day of Labor. He promised: "We will find them again, these happy days of May 1."

As if now he does not value his presidential happiness. After all, he himself said in the first lines of the appeal: “I want to remember today about trade unions that cannot hold their traditional marches.” To complete the picture, it was still necessary to cry that yellow vests were not yet visible on the street.

And in Toulouse there is a “flash mob”: after one citizen was taken to the station for several hours and presented an article on insulting a representative of the authorities, many began to hang out of the windows the same posters: “Macronovirus, when is the end?”.

What does the macron have to do with it?

And in general - the prime minister replied: at best, in a year.

PS

60% of the French surveyed do not believe that the government plan to exit the isolation will lead to “success”. “Sentless” is the “second wave” of the epidemic and, possibly, the “new quarantine”, warned the prime minister. And he emphasized just in case: much depends on your fellow citizens, “consciousness”.