
The last week was marked by a hasty dismantling of quarantine measures throughout the country. In Moscow, Mayor Sergei Sobyanin considered it appropriate to congratulate the townspeople on the “next victory” (after reminding that the epidemic was ongoing). In St. Petersburg with its “ more even , educated and qualified composition of the population”, you can visit temples, cemeteries, and from today - hairdressers and baths, but not yet large shopping centers, as in the capital. Residents of the Sverdlovsk region under 65 are now allowed to walk, and in Tatarstan - to do this without masks and gloves. In the Saratov region there is no longer a ban on walking along the embankments, but not in parks and squares, but in Rostov - you can also in parks, many of which, however, are still closed.
At the Government “Stopkoronavirus.rf”, by the end of the week, a map of exit from self -isolation appeared, which shows: in the vast majority, regions meet the criteria for willingness to remove restrictions. At the same time, all these recommendations are a derivative of statistics, the questions to which, as the week showed, persistently continue to sound.
According to official figures , the country demonstrates a stable plateau, although with a large number of new cases - about 9 thousand per day. The hypothesis of the inactivation of the virus in the conditions of summer heat is not confirmed, the Minister of Health Mikhail Murashko admitted the week (in March the official spoke the exact opposite). On Saturday, Rosstat unveiled the April statistics of the number of deaths from coronavirus, which turned out to be 1.4 higher than that of the operational headquarters - even though residents of a number of regions, as explained in the Startyeism, "did not fully register the facts of birth and death in the USR registry office." Inconsistency is also present in the data that sounded on Saturday from Tatyana Golikova (1660 versus 1145 provided by the opera staff). But even if we take into account the reservation of the Deputy Prime Minister about different calculation methods, the mortality rate of 1.6% -2.6% continues to plunge foreign experts into bewilderment.
In Russia, 13 people die for every thousand infected . While in Australia - 14, Israel - 16, Chili - 19, South Africa - 22, Turkey - 27, India - 29, Germany - 47, Japan - 53, USA - 55, China - 56, Greece - 59, Switzerland - 62, Canadia - 82, UK - 142, Italy - 163, France - 187. On average, on the middle The world is 55 deaths per 1000 infected .
At the same time, Russia's indicators are closer to the statistics of the post -Soviet countries, which was mentioned by the TV presenter and the head of the information information center for the monitoring of the situation with coronavirus Vladimir Myasnikov in confirmation of the thesis about the underestimated heritage of the USSR medicine:
In Uzbekistan - 4, Kazakhstan - 5, Belarus - 6, Tajikistan - 10, Azerbaijan - 12, Kyrgyzstan - 12, Armenia - 16, Georgia - 16, Latvia - 26, Ukraine - 29, Estonia - 35, Moldova - 35, Lithuania - 42 (according to Turkmenistan, the word "coronavirus" is there under the strict prohibition, there is under the strict prohibition , there And the authorities suppress any distribution of information on this topic). On average, 13 former republics of the USSR (excluding the Russian Federation and Turkmenistan) - 19 deaths per 1000 infected .
It is clear that some countries, as, in particular, Belgium, includes in covid statistics even cases where there was simply suspicion of coronavirus infection. In the Russian Federation, it is likely that the patient will die from any other disease even with a positive test and thereby will not be taken into account: in April, 1660 officially died from coronavirus accounted for 1052 infected people who died for other reasons.
It is also difficult to deny that serious errors are inevitable in the statistics of mortality. Experts talk about the “gray zone” when establishing the causes of death: the connection between infection and death is not always obvious, which leads to distortions of statistics in different countries - when conscious and when not. In the UK, for example, independent press calculations regularly draw a more depressing picture than reports of the Ministry of Health. But taking into account all the above, the success of the Russian Federation in the fight against Covid-19 is not easy to explain.
In recent weeks, the Russian authorities fought violently with international media, which suggested a significant understatement of data. But this week, the director of the WHO program for emergency situations in the field of healthcare Michael Ryan unexpectedly joined the skeptics. At a briefing in Geneva, he admitted that he does not understand the “unusual” Russian statistics-the ratio of the number of cases ( 520 thousand, the third place in the world, according to the University of Jones Hopkins ) and a disproportionate number of deaths ( 6,948, 13th place in the world ).
“Of course, it is unusual that the number of deaths in relation to the confirmed patients is so low. <...> It will be important that Russia evaluates how the certification for death from the Covid-19 is carried out to be sure that this is done carefully and properly "
A transparent hint of possible fraud hastened to present an official representative of WHO in Russia Melita Vuinovich - a citizen of friendly Serbia more sophisticated in the affairs of the post -Soviet space (by the way, asking for Russian assistance in the midst of the epidemic and, of course, received it ).
The official representative of WHO in Russia Melita Vuinovich / Coronavirus-monitoring.ru
But there was no doubt about this. When international organizations, foreign governments and the press are suspected of lies for many years, the effect of decisive denial is inevitably dull. And we are not talking about a crisis of trust in the country. Recall that some half a year ago the former head of the Russian government Dmitry Medvedev defiantly baked regional leaders for large-scale falsification in medicine-most likely not suspecting what sharpness this problem would soon acquire.
“About mortality figures. We understand what happened - they simply hid the numbers. The governors talked about this, the indicators in this case changed only because other causes of mortality indicated - voluntarily in the literal sense of the word. They adjusted the normative acts that acted so that it would not fly on the head. <...> this should not be, the lies must be stopped. If in the future someone will be caught on statistics manipulations, the consequences will be very, very unpleasant "
Therefore, when, for example, to the question of the journalist of CNN, the press secretary of the president Dmitry Peskov answers the question-"Have you ever thought that the healthcare system in Russia was just more effective?" - You do not experience anything but confusion and awkwardness.
The 103rd place by the “Health” criterion of the Russian Federation took in the World Rating of the British Legatum British Foundation over the past year.
97th place in Russian healthcare in last year's rating of global competitiveness of the World Economic Forum.
The 95th place of the Russian Federation received in last year's global public health rating compiled by Bloomberg based on WHO data.
And here is a little more data. By the level of health care expenses (in % of GDP), the Russian Federation is not included even in the first hundred states of the world. WHO compared the rate of increase in such costs with an increase in the per capita GDP of forty -two developing countries for the period of 2000–2017: the first indicator confidently exceeds the second in the main mass of the list, but not in Russia. In the week, the head of the Accounts Chamber, Alexei Kudrin, announcing the release of the report confirming the plight of national medicine, said with confidence: “Medicine is significantly underfunded even according to applicable standards, it also requires serious restructuring.” But if, nevertheless, she so successfully copes with the epidemic, before which the West grazes, is it necessary to spend money on it at all? After all, there are projects and more important. In fresh chronicles of hospitalism :
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