Abbas Gallamov: "The country once again became convinced that the authorities for the opinion of people do not care"

"Information was unnoticed that the sympathies of Russians to Lukashenko were decreasing. In September, when the Levada Center first interviewed them in connection with Belarusian protests, 43 percent of respondents spoke in support of the dictator. In October, their number dropped to 38. The approval of the actions of protesters from 18 to 21 percent increased," the political scientist writes the political scientist on Your Facebook page.

"It is interesting to compare this situation with Khabarovsk. There is a slightly different dynamics. At first, sympathy for protesting Khabarovsk residents among Russians also grew - in the first month from 45 to 47 percent - but then they went down. By October, 43 percent of the country's inhabitants sympathized. The number of those who relate to the protesters are negatively reduced - from 17 to 14. But it sharply revolted. indifferent - from 26 to 40 percent.

It seems that a significant number of people reacted to the performance of the Khabarovsk residents as a certain political representation. At first, it carried away the viewer and he sympathized with his participants, but over time the show was fed up and the level of sympathy decreased. The number of those who carefully monitor the presentation fell from 26 to 16 percent.

The funny thing is that the number of "first -hearing" about the Khabarovsk protests has increased by half in the country. In July, there were 16, in October 29. From the point of view of logic, this is absurd, but public opinion is far from always logical.

One of the possible explanations of the difference in the dynamics of the attitude to the protesters between the Khabarovsk and Belarus (in the first case, the sympathies fall to them, in the second - grow) are associated with the actions of the security forces. In Khabarovsk, repressions are inconspicuous and are point in nature, in Belarus - too large -scale and, obviously, forced to sympathize with the protesters.

Does all this mean that the Khabarovsk residents lost? From the point of view of achieving specific goals facing them - yes, probably, we can say that they lost. There will be no fair trial over the van; The normal governor in the region too. From the point of view of strategic, however, there is one result, which the protesters, of course, achieved. The country once again became convinced that the authorities do not care about the opinion of people. Actually, this was not a secret before, but such a perception is just from such events.

The regime tries to convince people of the opposite - creates public chambers, collects the ONF forums, draws straight lines and popular votes - however, then such Khabarovsk residents go to the street and all the Kremlin’s efforts fly under the tail - the wall of alienation between the voter and power becomes higher.

Someday, this circumstance will bury the Kremlin. He will not have supporters left, but it is impossible to rule endlessly, without a social base. The regime is crumbled as a Soviet Union - unleashed to anyone and all. PS I got to the website of the Levada Center, to see the data regarding the perception of the actions of the security forces against Muscovites who protested last summer, and came across the next quote by Denis Volkov:

“The rigid acceleration of the demonstrators by the police had, perhaps, even more impact on public opinion than the protests themselves; he made an oppressive impression even on power supporters. Several times in different cities, young participants in the focus groups recalled the case of Daria Sosnovskaya, who, when detaining, hit the stomach. The surveys show that many people who are far from politics and are not inclined to sympathize with the opposition, The measures taken by the police created that in the country “something is wrong”.

All this, of course, is extremely unpleasant for law enforcement officers. From the point of view of solving the problem of protest, strength tools, it is not such an effective tool. The more actively you use the force against one group of protesters, the more you produce new protests. "