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The policy of Alexei Navalny was sentenced by the court, and now he will serve a real term of two years and eight months. Once, in my speech, after a new one, 2021, I said that Navalny would not be allowed to Russia. This was understandable. It was not necessary to have a brilliant mind to understand this. Probably, Alexei Navalny himself understood this moment, and, as I suggested later, Navalny was simply expelled from Germany, since the General Prosecutor's Office of the Russian Federation would still send the German side to issue a citizen of Navalny, who was wanted.
The German side, in order to avoid a double situation when it is impossible to give out and cannot be given out, simply got rid of the “oppositionist”. Of course, Navalny created the Kremlin tops and it was Navalny that kept part of the protest electorate within the framework of the Kremlin. Yes, the Russian policy is arranged so that the Kremlin itself forms opposition leaders who take control of the protest electorate.
“Shout on the streets and meetings how much you will fit, scold the authorities, but do not go to a hard protest against the Kremlin, do not arrange revolutions,” the Kremlin and such a scheme for the opposition were arranged in the Kremlin. But for the time being, until the economic crisis and the crisis in the administration took global proportions, threatening to drown together with the regime of heads of state corporations and leaders of law enforcement agencies.
Navalny is used by those who created it and endowed it all this time with information. Think, because the video from the parties of large officials and their children, as well as reports on the richest objects belonging to the first persons of the state, someone had to supply Navalny's team. Only special services are capable of this.
But this is not the point, but the fact is that Navalny is now, no matter how we wish or want it, an integral part of the power that is trying to break the regime. It is now beneficial for any opposition, and now the left is talking about how they can adopt the protest from Navalny, creating the left march from its protest electorate. And this is possible.
First, Ukraine, now in Belarus, and already in Russia is brewing what can be called the collapse of the post -Soviet system created from the old wreckage of the Soviet Union. Yes, all these states or under general state were created from everything that was. “What happened, I fell in love,” - so you can say. The old fragments of the USSR, erected in new designs, no longer withstand the tests of time. Naturally, they collapse, and do not help them resist any songs about love for the homeland, as well as films about the war. The new generation requires new development prospects for the new country.
Are these schoolchildren? Students?
Yes, both schoolchildren and students take part in rallies, but to be more accurate, the rallies have the age of 18 to 35 years. This generation did not see the USSR, it does not know in realities the 90s of the XX century, and this generation wants to live in a developed, rich country in which there is no corruption and lawlessness. The rallies of the beginning of the 21st year are a call of young people to the struggle for a prosperous, honest Russia without thieves, and Navalny is so far a banner of such a struggle. While it is, but the crisis is growing, and the same crisis will force to raise to the rallies of those who suffer the banners of both left and right forces. There is clearly no place for liberals in this protest. The liberal movement has exhausted itself, and everyone was already tired of it, not seeing any logic in it.
Yes. Nobody needs Navalny abroad. And he does not have freedom of choice - I want to go to Russia or I do not want to, I want to take part in the protest or I do not want to. In Navalny, the regime or one of the Kremlin’s towers was invested so much that the money needs to be worked out.
What did you think differently?
Sites, political teams, trips in the regions, shooting video executions and professionals who prepared these performances, as well as offices and activists - all this is money, and do not tell me about all sorts of funds.
Funds?
Funds are replenished only when someone is very interested in filling it with money - ordinary people do not give money for politicians. Only those who, with the help of a particular policy, want to solve their problems are given to politicians. But for money, it will always have to answer politics, since the politician does not take his money under his organization, but for himself personally and under his personal signatures. This is a kind of loan as in the bank. Thus, deputies of all levels who took money to their election campaigns are packed, these are non -playing political figures and other characters. Nothing in this world is in vain.
In the war, it is not the one who owns knowledge about the tactics of conducting hostilities, but the one who owns a strategic initiative. Navalny's tactics are understandable and indicated by its owners. Let Navalny work, because someone owes the "gates of the fortress to punch with a ram." But Navalny does not have a strategic initiative, since, “breaking through the gates of the fortress,” the need is already lost in Navalny. Further, it is no longer needed for the development of the situation.
If you ask me a question about whether I need Navalny (?), Then I will answer what else is needed, someone should be a log-taran. But ask yourself the question - what would Navalny do next, becoming the President of the Russian Federation?
The answer is simple-he would become the second Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin, his double, who would even calm the protest electorate for any funny term for some six months. He, Navalny, would have rushed to support those who have money to the same oligarchs. I would bring it closer to himself and would also create new oligarchs. He does not have an action plan, but in order to resolve issues with the economic crisis and a crisis in management, increasing his presidential rating, it is necessary to make a whole revolution.
And for the revolution we need the idea of development, which Navalny does not have, as there is no party that would begin to be justified terror against its enemies and enemies of the new economic policy. And how much would he last as president? A little. And it is possible that he will become “Kerensky”. However, as Kerensky finished, we know. By the way, the Soviet government, even after the escape of Kerensky abroad, did not hunt for him, since no one needed him. The shadow of the revolution, its chips, which did not fall under the revolutionary press - this is what Kerensky, who has ended his life in the United States. However, the same Kerensky was once needed in the revolutionary processes of the beginning of the 20th century, being an integral part of the destruction of the old foundations.
By the way, you don’t know how to give advertising for two months at an unauthorized rally in Moscow or in St. Petersburg, and then collect the masses in the place designated in advertising? But Navalny knows, because he knows that if the tops allowed an “unauthorized” rally, then it will be possible to gather. True, they always arrested Navalny’s rallies. And where did they arrest? And right at the entrance of his house, where he calmly spent the night before any rally. It is clear that Navalny’s arrest caused emotions among the youth, making a sort of sufferer from him for the people, and the mass, waiting in the squares of Navalny, without receiving a leader, was absorbed. So the protest merged, and the Navalny rating grew. Many times it was.
But in any case, Navalny is beneficial - a ram is always needed and everyone is interested in it: left -wing forces and right movement. And we should no longer interest us today who he works for and who created it. The protests began in Khabarovsk, they were continued by Navalny, and then the whole of Russia will flare up with protests. Everything goes to this. The process is non -state. Ahead of the protests and a tough struggle of ideas, which will result from the Internet and party and party.
It is interesting to recall the moment that the supreme power in the country seems to have been somewhat surprised and confused that Alexei Navalny “returned”, which accelerated mass performances. It is dangerous to keep Navalny in the dungeons, as this will follow the sanctions from abroad in relation to Russia, as well as protest moods will grow not only among Navalny fans, but also among other political movements that will try to use masses for their own purposes.
It would be more profitable for the Kremlin to send Navalny back abroad, declaring it by person non grata, but they were sent abroad only in the USSR, and now Russian legislation does not provide for such an opportunity. Then the Kremlin will have to think about it - or to put him for a term of years 10 that he just sits in the camp even without hope for liberation, or to create a situation when he is sent abroad. Here in Russia for the Kremlin, Navalny is simply harmful, unbearable. The regime in the path situation is not in his favor, leading to shahas and to Mata. By the way, the more Navalny sits in dungeons, the greater his rating in the eyes of the people is growing. But if you send it abroad, then it will most likely turn into “New Khodorkovsky” and will quickly forget about him.
No, Navalny is now simply necessary here, even in places of imprisonment. He is like a fan, air conditioning, or as a fan that inflates popular anger pouring into the streets of cities. And I'm already reading commentators who say:
“ We are not for protests not for Navalny, but against corruption and the lawlessness that overwhelmed Russia ...”
Television is silent, stubbornly silent about protests in our cities, and in the meantime, the protest is only growing. Moscow and St. Petersburg? And what is happening in Kazan? In other cities? OMON does not rest. And even a little Yoshkar-Ola, in which all life is measured, goes to protest. The authorities understand that a little more, and all of Russia will turn into Khabarovsk, and then even law enforcement officers in the regions will take neutrality.
The head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs in the regions does not need a headache, especially since the same generals will have to serve the new government. So steadily the regime loses its teeth, because a year ago it was impossible to even think that soon it would be so. And in the air, the smell of change is simply hovering, something new, for many, incomprehensible is torn out. It is a revolution, gentlemen, is knocking on us. Probably, people had the same sensations under the 17th year in Russia and before the capture of the Bastille in France, as well as before the fall of the Weimar Republic in Germany. Probably, no matter what time we are, we feel the same.
Yes. Yes, Navalny himself will not overthrow the regime. He was not given this, but with his arrival in Russia he hit the Kremlin so much that he echoed the impending revolution in dozens of regions of the country. Protests will be able to finish the rating of the Kremlin and V.V. Putin himself, who is already tired and does not even know how to react to mass performances, trying to ignore them and shut up in the media. The protests, of course, will not demolish the regime, but the fallen rating of the Kremlin will untie the hands of those who are ready to directly make a coup, which in the eyes of the people will already be a natural fact.
OMON on the streets, an attempt to shut up protest actions in state media - all this speaks of the weaknesses of power, but the masses do not like the weak rulers. They despise such rulers, and any force that overthrew the “king” will become legitimate in the eyes of the general public. The masses are too windy, they are like women - the masses have the ability to forget those whom they have recently idolized. The masses wish stability, and if they see weakness in the leader, the inability to suppress opponents, then even the most ardent admirers of the “king” will leave him at such a difficult hour.
Yes, I'm talking about the Putin electorate. I'm not talking about those who supported United Russia, since the supporters of the EP are a handful - I'm talking about the Putin electorate. The rapid drop in incomes of the population, an increase in unemployment, an increase in retirement age and, like the last drop in patience of people, the weakness and silence of Putin himself, all this leads to the fact that the last led by V.V. Putin will look for a new leader for themselves. So people are arranged, so the masses are arranged - this is how our human world is arranged.
But the global transformation threatens not only the supreme power, the opposition will also be transformed. I note that if Navalny suddenly receives at least some position in the stateist, then his electorate of fans who were ready to go out for him with riot police will simply hate Navalny himself, having immediately joined either the right or left forces. Also in the future, they will lose their weight in the protest movement and the groups of intellectuals, unable to understand the masses and give the masses according to their needs.
The opposition is transformed beyond recognition, - the leaders of the old “opposition” will be fed by Kremlin and will come to the fore of the most radical forces, which with rage and aggression will promote their views. Udaltsov, as well as other passionaries will take a place on the captain's bridge of the left movement. Those who crave revolutionary transformations will come out of the shadow, those who are ready to prove their right to power will come to the fore. The same will be in the right movement, and we will still see those new leaders from the right movement that the people will lead along. Yes, and the right ones will talk about the need to introduce social programs into life, since the request of society to restore the social state is huge, which means that part of the left -wing names are also used in their interests.
Left or right? Only those who carry a sound, effective and timely idea for the development of society will win in this battle. Only those who keep up with the times will win, discarding the archaisms of the past to the landfill of history. Only those who are ready to implement their programs and ideas will win, without afraid to start justified terror against their political opponents.
I see how the youth, which is now 18–35 years old, longs for changes, and she connects these changes with private property and with her participation in the activities of the state. We have grown good youth, and such young people in the future will not give our country either to China or the West, since these young people are ready to express their opinion, protect their interests and brutally fight the enemy armed to the teeth. They are different - they are tough, and they know what they want from life.
“Freedom, a nation and private initiative” - this is their slogan, if you shit briefly by the views of those who are going out in the square. Does he wish the Soviet past? No. They wish freedom and industrial capitalism and despise the rotten liberal system of management of the country.
Leo of the Tupznikov
