Will the armed conflict in the Donbass will defrost?

It was unlikely that it was impromptu against the backdrop of the frequent shelling. I mean the trip of the commander in chief of contact in the Donbass. The date coincided with the sixth anniversary of the signing of the so -called second Minsk agreement, designed to return the world to Ukraine with international efforts.

Last Thursday, February 11, Vladimir Zelensky spent near Avdeevka, on the famous “Promka” (as in the military language they refer to the industrial zone of the city returned to the Ukrainian side, which still remains one of the hottest points), in the fortified area near the village of noise, the suburbs of the occupied Gorlovka, and on the operations unnamed by the leadership of the United Forces (OOOS), which is only in the only point in 80 meters from enemy positions.

The ceasefire is increasingly violated

You can relate to Zelensky as you like, which voters demonstrate. But the working visit to the helmet and light body armor, as can be seen in the pictures, on the path in the middle of the bush, and not just at the headquarters or on the parade ground, speaks of character. And about what the employees of the state preservation department should feel ... a decrease in the rating of the president, the fan of the truce - sociologists record such a trend - a thing unpleasant for any politician. But the risk instantly parted with life here, on the "front line", looks like a reality, and not the idea of ​​political strategists.

I repeat: the fact that visiting the “zero” by the President of Ukraine was not spontaneous, but in advance, confirmed the presence of a large diplomatic escort, if it was allowed to name Etienne de Ponsin, the ambassador of France, and Anku Feldguzen, the ambassador of Germany in the context.

The governments of their countries, participants in the Norman format of negotiations, I think, gained impressions of what is happening in the Donbass, in real time. This could not but affect the nature of the reports of the rest of the trip: the ambassador of Great Britain Melinda Simmons, the temporary attorney in the affairs of the United States Christina Quin, the ambassador of Canada Larisa Galadza and the ambassador of Sweden Tobias Tiber.

Previously, the country's Western partners did not commit such collective warriors to the war, disguised as a thin world. & &

Since the beginning of the year, the unstable termination of shelling has been replaced by regular fire groups, professionals working on the “one” side on business trips. General Ruslan Khomchak, the Commander -in -Chief of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces, more than once said about the Russian mercenaries who often. Leonid Kravchuk, the head of the Ukrainian delegation in the tripartite contact group, repeated from November 2020: the exacerbation has been growing.

At first, the puppet regimes of the “republics” received the order to simply freeze the exchange of prisoners - until Kyiv goes to political concessions. The largest requirements: to amend the Constitution in order to consolidate special self -government in certain areas of the Donetsk and Lugansk regions until 2050. Following, to enhance the effect, almost before the eyes of the OSCE monitoring mission, mortars and grenade launchers earned again ...

Here is a black chronicle of recent months. On January 21, the Ukrainian Marine died from a sniper bullet. January 29: Two seriously wounded. On January 30, after a wound, a military man died by a sniper. On February 2, the next “two hundredth” for the same reason. On February 6, two “two hundredths”, one “three hundred”, were blown up by a mine. The president sent General Khomchak to the Donbass - to check the readiness of the Armed Forces in case of large -scale aggression. Each new combat loss, and in Ukraine such information is not a secret, is perceived by society as an unwillingness or fear of the authorities to see reality and react adequately.

And if Andrei Ermak, the head of the office (evil languages ​​endow it with the status of the actual vice president), continued to insist that during the current visit, the head of state “sought to personally convey to the military the importance of the ceasefire and their role in his ( the regime of the remark of fire.-O. M. ), despite the provocations of the enemy”, then Leonid Kravchuk proposed not to be blessed. A truce in the Donbass is not respected; Russian commanders and mercenaries with weapons continue to be in the occupied territories.

I quote Kravchuk’s commentary online publication Gordon: “... Russians begin to act boldly, openly, not hiding their intentions. Therefore, we must be prepared for any unpredictable actions from the aggressor. ”

Do separatists unite?

In parallel with the resumption of shelling, he was heated by another frozen topic. In Donetsk, a certain patriotic forum “Russian Donbass” was held with the participation of RT head Margarita Simonyan with the company. The forum reminded of spiritual and economic proximity with the Russian Federation, which will only get stronger when it breaks through the hour and the “republics” will occupy the entire square of the Donetsk and Lugansk regions, and not just certain areas ... the reincarnation of the scandalous idea of ​​“Novorossia”, even though the Russian authorities hastened to name the sorties of state television channels of “personal initiative”, is equal to recognition The rest of the Norman format participants: “We are there! So what will you do? "

According to the eastern human rights group, the State Duma deputy Andrei Kozenko, the project manager of the Russian -Donbass Reintegration Committee for the Presidential Administration for the processes of the integration of the Republics with the Russian Federation, deputy of the Duma Kazbek Taisaev (he is called a curator of the non -governmental part, were also seconded to the forum. Donbass from the Communist Party) and representatives of the FSB.

But, as it turned out, in the Donetsk and Lugansk “Political Elites”, not everyone dreams of the merger and liquidation of the border between not quite friendly “republics”. The war brought the local feudal lords an increase in the specific gravity of various kinds, which the unification can harm: after all, who will break to the top of the neoplasm, is unknown in advance. Nevertheless, the sources of the Eastern Human Rights Group report that the separatists plan novels under the slogan of "the unity of the Donbass to win in the war with Ukrainian fascism."

Immediately after the visit of Zelensky to the demarcation line, the head of the office Andrei Ermak, on the night television of the national channel “Ukraine” set forth - without reference to the president! - Updated approaches to a painful topic. Firstly, the issue of ways to resolve the armed conflict in the Donbass to the All-Ukrainian referendum is premature. (Let me remind you that the first president of the country and the head of the Ukrainian delegation in TKG Leonid Kravchuk considers otherwise.) Secondly, the implementation of the Minsk agreements in the existing edition is unrealistic. “Sometimes it seems to me that they signed up with the aim and understanding that it is impossible to fulfill them ... In the process of coordinating a new road map, a new plan that should be based on the principles of the Minsk agreements, it is necessary to make adjustments,” Yermak turned out to Vitievo.

The conclusions made on a trip to the line of demarcation of the Western ambassadors accredited in Ukraine publicly presented only the States.

According to Deuteche Vella, at the video conferences of the UN Security Council, the American diplomat Rodney Hunter called on Moscow to “withdraw troops from Ukrainian territory, stop the support of its puppets and other armed groups, as well as realize the obligations adopted under the Minsk agreements.” European countries, the UN Security Council, adopted the next joint declaration with condemnation of the ongoing instability in the Donbass. And the constant representative of Russia at the UN Vasily Nebenzya, as usual, rejected reproaches and accused Ukraine of non -fulfilling the Minsk agreements.