Photo: Alexander Avilov / Agency "Moscow"

The former executive director of the now liquidated “open Russia” Andrei Pivovarov and the ex-deputy of the State Duma Dmitry Gudkov were cut out of the election race: the first did not have time to leave the country and now under investigation in the pre-trial detention center, the second country left-under the threat of criminal prosecution. Looking back at the traditions of Russian elections, experts have already expressed doubt that bright opposition politicians would be allowed before the campaign. The environment of both politicians claims that they were negotiating about nomination with Yabloko, but they did not receive a definite answer-supposedly due to the fact that the founder of the party Grigory Yavlinsky was given a stop list in the Kremlin. In Yabloko, this is categorically denied: the congress, which means there was no nomination yet, but the party does not refuse Gudkov and Pivovarov. The correspondence conflict between the opposition for Russian politics is a traditional phenomenon. In the dry residue, a protested voter risks getting a ballot in which there will be no liberals, and the Yabloko party will lose the support of other democrats.

Andrey Pivovarov

Andrei Pivovarov was removed from the plane of St. Petersburg-Warsaw at the Pulkovo Airport, he was going to rest. The fact that he was not going to leave the country, but really flew on vacation, vtimes Three people confirmed from the environment of the politician - in Europe he had to only have a transplant to Georgia (Poland was closed to Russian tourists).

An official claim to Pivovarov is participation in the activities of a foreign non -governmental organization recognized as undesirable in Russia (Article 284.1 of the Criminal Code). The case was opened in Krasnodar - two days after the official liquidation of Open Russia. The reason was the post on Facebook. At the trial, the politician said that the real reason for his persecution was participation in the Duma elections.

Before the arrest of the brewers, he did not declare his screening, but on June 9, supporters of the politician published a ready -made pre -election video , which was obviously shot before he was arrested. The associate of Pivovarov and the former spokesman of the Postcrackers Igor Steppko told Vtimes that the video was shot on May 19, but he was not published, waiting for the end of negotiations on the nomination of Pivovarov from the Yabloko party.

“Andrei can advance from Yabloko and from the pre -trial detention center. On July 3 and 4, a party congress will be held in Moscow, where they will determine candidates in single -mandate districts. Since the beginning of the year, Andrei had quite positive negotiations with the party, which I am ready to continue on his behalf. Obviously, the navigation by the signatures will not allow Andrei to be in the ballot, since from the experience of elections to the Moscow City Duma, the signatures will be invalidated. Now Yabloko has a good chance to prove that their statements about the support of political prisoners are not empty words, ”Vtimes said Ex-coordinator of "Postcards" Tatyana Usmanova.

The press secretary of Yabloko Igor Yakovlev explained to Vtimes that the party did not refuse the application of Pivovarov. “The application is considered by the regional council of the Moscow branch - since he is going to go in Moscow. And the final decision will be made by the congress, ”said Yakovlev.

The law really allows a run to a person who is under investigation, but is not convicted. However, de facto is difficult: registration documents in the election room must be submitted personally or if there is a power of attorney from the notary, and the latter may easily not allow the investigative insulator.

Dmitry Gudkov

The searches of Dmitry Gudkov and his families took place the day after the detention of Pivovarov and, according to the official version, are in no way connected with the latter. The ex-deputy of the State Duma of the VI convocation from “Fair Russia” became a suspect in the case of damage by deceiving or abuse of trust (paragraph “B” of part 2 of article 165 of the Criminal Code). In the case, his aunt Irina Ermilova also takes place. We are talking about non -payment of debt under a lease of non -residential premises in 2015-2017. The victim is the Department of Urban Property, which is the owner of the premises. Politics was detained for 48 hours, the court did not elect a preventive measure, and it was released.

On June 6, the politician left the country to Kyiv. According to Gudkov, back in early spring, he planned to run for the State Duma. “I was frankly warned that if I did not abandon the idea of becoming a State Duma deputy, my question“ Comrade Major will solve. ” The criminal case, 13 searches involving more than 170 security officials, two days on Petrovka and taking the relatives hostage convinced me that this was not a bluff. After the insulator on Petrovka (Moscow Central Internal Affairs Directorate) they clearly told me: either leave, or the question of your non -participation in the elections will be resolved in any way, ”he wrote on his Facebook page. He specified that the attempt and imprisonment of Alexei Navalny, the defeat of his headquarters, “open Russia” and the arrest of Andrei Pivovarov pushed him to the idea of “the need to temporarily leave Russia”.

Gudkov claims that recently he “had no illusions” and only postponed a statement that he could not participate in the elections. “To be honest, I knew that the only party from which I could be elected, not subjected to a humiliating and meaningless procedure for“ collecting signatures ”, turned out to be the strongest pressure from,” Gudkov wrote. - In May, one of the party leaders honestly informed me that “the question of your nomination is very difficult, because the party already has its own candidate for your district.” It was politely told that the issue of “the possibility of my nomination will be resolved only by the congress at the end of June”, but “we cannot give any guarantees,” as well as to make public political statements on this score. I think that my departure from the Russian Federation takes off a large headache from Yabloko, and I wish that democratic candidates who, probably, will be put forward from Yabloko, victories in the elections. ”

On June 1, while searches were at the Gudkovs and his teams, the “Apple” expressed support for politicians. Igor Yakovlev then emphasized that consultations on the issue of Gudkov’s nomination as a candidate for the post of State Duma deputy from Yabloko are ongoing. According to him, preliminary agreements were reached on this issue.

In 2016, the politician was also nominated in the State Duma from Yabloko in Tushino single -mandate district. He gained 20.4% of the vote and lost to the chief sanitary doctor of Russia Gennady Onishchenko , who scored 26.04%. Gudkov was also part of the federal ten Yabloko, but the party did not overcome the five percent barrier.

"Apple"

Today, the “Yabloko” will be the only democratic party in the ballot in September. The party’s image cannot but affect the dialogue with the opposition that the party will not nominate. The interlocutor, surrounded by Gudkov, told Vtimes that the policy was allegedly announced a stop list from a number of surnames, which was allegedly issued to the Presidential Administration as a condition for participation in the elections of the whole party.

The leader of Yabloko Nikolay Rybakov categorically denies this. “I do not want to comment on rumors about who goes where and what he gets - to spread them simply unworthy. “Apple” is not used to pressure and pressure. Our candidates were killed - Shchokochikhin, Yudin, others. Yes, now the pressure has become massive. If one of those who saw the pressure on us only now is a question for them, ”said the VTIMES politician. - You need to understand that no candidate has any promise to be put forward. No one in Yabloko can promise this. Only the congress puts forward. Even someone supports the candidates offered by the Federal Political Committee, someone supports. Nobody gives us such guarantees. Negotiations with Gudkov and Pivovarov were really conducted. The last time there was a similar situation, but, despite the rumors, Dmitry Gudkov was not only in the district, but also in the federal ten. ”

Rybakov is afraid that now the election situation is not at all in favor of the Democrats. “The most dangerous thing can happen now is instead of supporting a party that has never changed its principles, a discussion will begin to walk or not go to the polls. This is the perfect picture for the Kremlin, ”Rybakov emphasized.

The first vice-president of the Center for Political Technology Alexei Makarkin agrees with the thesis of Rybakov. “The more conflicts the opposition has, the better for the Kremlin. There is such a psychological moment - disappointment in a closer ideologically more powerful and emotional than when it comes to a full -fledged enemy. "Apple" will not be easy. On the one hand, the democratic voter will have the idea that it would be nice to be in the Duma, still close programs will be announced, yes, with compromises, limiters, but still ideologically close power. There were no liberals in the Duma, with the exception of the individual Junior Gudkov, since 2003, - Makarkin argues. - On the other hand, there is a resentment. These are not only internal conflicts, but also an article by Yavlinsky, and the careful general positioning of the “apple”.

We are talking about an article by Grigory Yavlinsky about Alexei Navalny: Yavlinsky called his political strategy "dangerous and dead end." The indignation of society was not caused by the content, but the fact that it came out immediately after the court sent the opposition to the colony.

“You need to understand that there is a problem of mutual grievances, not only towards the“ apple, ”says Makarkin. - Gudkov has historically complex relationships with “Yabloko”. Either he was in the elections to the Duma with them, then he made his party with Sobchak (we are talking about the “Civil Initiative”), then they did not nominate it with Moscow mayors. As often happens in politics, there are no definitely right and guilty. ”

Political scientist Abbas Galyamov notes that an important factor in the election is for whom Alexei Navalny will call for vote from prison before the elections. “The Party“ Yabloko ”in itself has been inconsistent for a long time. Yavlinsky’s letter thoroughly undermined the electoral prospects of the party, and the “Yabloko” really does not try to fix them. They have separate strong candidates, the same Boris Vishnevsky and Leo Schlosberg, but now they need to try hard. Therefore, the Communists can again receive a protest increase, as it happened before - the Democrats remember that Navalny did not consider the problem to vote for the Communist Party. And recently, they behaved in the Duma protest, for example, against the law on the ban on the prohibition to participate in the elections to all involved in extremist organizations, ”Gallyamov said. The “new people” also have a certain chance to collect protest potential, however, according to the expert, while the party simply does not lead a bright campaign.

The Kremlin “tried to drive a wedge between opposition parties with all its might,” summarizes the political scientist. “There is no doubt that people of Gudkov would have won any united Russia in any city in the country, they will conduct a worthy campaign,” Gallyamov emphasized. - The party of the authorities of the anti -rating exceeds the rating. Therefore, now not only potential candidates are hastily eliminated, but also potential centers of discontent. ”

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