Power of oil

Bankers predict the fall of the economy. What will happen to the homeland and with them?

In my school years, a funny mystery was circulating (the word “joke” was not used then). They asked some little boy: "Guess what will happen to the goat after six years?" He was lost in conjecture: “Well, they will shake it, probably ...” - “A fool! - instructively instructed him. - After six years, a goat will go! ”

Now the fate of that goat is not interested in any goat. Now the question is relevant: "What will happen to Russia after the 36th year?" Try, guess. You answer: “The 37th year will come”-you will hit the sky with your finger. After all, the 37th year can come at any time, and even now you can decorate the Christmas tree and prepare for his meeting.

And the 36th has for some time interested in citizens and organizations due to the fact that

By that time, apparently, the term of powers of our president will expire. What will happen to the country is incomprehensible, and look so far ahead - only spoil vision.

But in the still stable 35th, perhaps, you can briefly look. And the other day, Herman Gref dared to do it. Well, you know Herman Oscarovich. In the bank he headed, your labor savings are dried and ventilated. More precisely, they are not ventilated, but are eliminated if you compare accrued interest with inflation.

So, speaking at the Eastern Economic Forum, the head of Sberbank suggested that by 2035, due to the transition of hydrocarbon consumers to renewable energy sources, Russians revenues can fall by 14%. What kind of Russians are so significantly impoverished? Nefted-priests oligarchs? Bankers? Or ordinary citizens who seem to have nowhere to get poor? Gref did not specify this. He only noted that the regions with a high share of energy mining will suffer more than others: Khanty-Mansi and Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrugs, Kemerovo Region and Tatarstan.

In Tatarstan, the banker understood differently.

“Gref meant Tatarstan, but the Shaimiev brothers,” one of the readers of the local business magazine remarks at the forum with relief. - Tatars no longer belongs. For utilities, you do not know where to pay ... "

The second looks at the future more pessimistic: "Profit from the sale of hydrocarbons - in the pockets of the oligarchs, losses from a decrease in the volume of hydrocarbons - on the shoulders of the people."

“2035 ...” the third speaks out of distrust. “There will either speak a donkey, or he will die.”

No, give Allah the health of the Padishah and reason Ishak, so as not to talk too much. No need to scare people with distant poverty, let's look somewhere closer. Suddenly they promise us something good?

But what is it? The Central Bank admits the global crisis in 2023, the drop in the stock market and a decrease in oil cost to $ 40 per barrel. And if events develop in this direction, bankers believe, then the Russian economy in 2023 will pass by 1.4–2.4%.

Whose income will be reduced? No need to explain. This is the goat is understandable. Regardless of whether she was already six years old.