
On November 19, The New York Times, with reference to its own sources, said : US intelligence warned European allies that “there was only a small window left” to prevent Russia from starting military operations in Ukraine.
The interlocutors of the publication clarified that, according to their information, Russia has not yet decided what would do with the troops that was drawn to the border of Ukraine - perhaps Moscow intends to provide a corridor between unrecognized republics of Donbass and Crimea. In the US intelligence, they are serious about the threat of invasion and do not consider what is happening “bluff”.
In this regard, the United States is pushing European countries to develop a joint package of economic and military measures to deter Russia. The Democrat Senator Bob Menendes has already proposed to provide for “sanctions bombing”, including sectoral restrictions and sanctions associated with the Northern Stream 2 gas pipeline.
On November 20, CBS reported this. According to its sources, representatives of American intelligence warn European allies about the potential military invasion of Russia to Ukraine, the probability of which "increases as the cooling is growing." The military operation allegedly can begin for several weeks if the West does not interfere with this.
The head of the Main Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine Kirill Budanov said in an interview with Military Times that Russia concentrated more than 92 thousand military people and was preparing to attack in late January or early February 2022.
US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken said that there is no clarity regarding the intentions of Russia: “We are worried that Russia can make a serious mistake, trying to repeat what it had done back in 2014.” According to CBS, Washington does not exclude that possible aggression from Russia may somehow be associated with the migration crisis on the border of Belarus and the European Union.
The first media reports that Russia was building up military forces on the border with Ukraine appeared at the end of October. President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky also reported that Western partners informed about this.
The Russian authorities, in turn, rejected all reports of a possible invasion of Ukraine, adding that the movement of troops throughout Russia is “exclusively our business”. The press secretary of the President of the Russian Federation Dmitry Peskov also recalled the unplanned teachings of the United States and allies in the Black Sea, and therefore Russia, according to him, should be “overlooking”.
Vladimir Putin said that Ukraine violated the Minsk agreements by applying Bayraktar combat drone in the Donbass. “It seems that we are simply not allowed to relax. Well, let them know that we do not relax, ”he said. At the same time, Putin called the media publications about the possible invasion "Alarmist."
Update. Dmitry Peskov said in the program “Moscow. Kremlin. Putin ”on the Russia 1 television channel, which in the Kremlin does not exclude provocations from Ukraine in connection with the publications about the impending invasion:“ This hysteria is excessed artificially. Those who drove their armed forces from behind the ocean are accused of some unusual military activity on our territory. That is, the United States of America. " Peskov added that, according to his assessment, Ukraine is most likely "seeking another attempt to begin the forceful solution of its own problem." “Create another misfortune for themselves and for everyone in Europe. This is what Ukraine is achieving, ”the press secretary summed up.
Pavel Merzlikin