
Alexey Mazur
The head of the analytical department of Taiga.info Alexei Mazur discusses the possibility that the next president of Russia will be a native of Siberia or the Far East. He believes that, surrounded by Putin, there are several heavyweights from these regions that are potentially capable of heading the state.
“Former son -in -law of the First President of Russia Boris Yeltsin Alexei Dyachenko believes that in the future a native of Siberia or the Far East can lead Russia in the future. He gives such a forecast in his book “From Yeltsin to Putin. And back,” writes Gazeta.ru. - Since most often brigades in Russia have an earth basis, it can be assumed that the new brigade will not come from Sverdlovsk and St. Petersburg, not from Ukraine and the Caucasus. Since the rulers have already been from these places over the past 100 years. Now, probably, the line of Siberia and the Far East. Or for the first time - Muscovite. "
Ugh, you say. This is not an inside, not even an analyst, this is some fortune-telling on the coffee grounds. And you will be completely wrong. Today it is almost the most accurate forecast that you can give.
For the first time, I read the discussions about the geography of the origin of the leaders of Russia (kings, Secretary Generals and presidents) in the late nineties. The text concerned the prospects of Yuri Luzhkov to lead Russia. At that time, he was the most powerful “heavyweight” of regional leaders, was considered a business executive (and Moscow, as always, flourished against the rest of Russia). The article ended in the fact that for three hundred years now, the Muscovite has never headed Russia, and now it would be time.
From an entertaining, seemingly fact, an unobvious conclusion was made. If he has not headed for three hundred years, then why will it now lead? As we know, Yuri Luzhkov did not become the president.
Of course, there is a stretch - from these three hundred years (since the time of Peter the Great) two hundred Muscovites did not head Russia because the capital was in St. Petersburg, and the heirs of the throne were Petersburgers (when they were not imported from the German principalities).
But why did this happen in the Soviet and post -Soviet time? Was this an accident?
I think not quite. Since Soviet times, we know that Moscow and the rest of Russia are not that different countries, but not exactly the same. The mentality of Russians of the middle lane, Siberia, the Far East, North and North-West differs less from each other than any of them-from the resident of the capital. Muscovites in the USSR did not like, on the one hand. And on the other, a person who grew up in the capital could not and did not want to understand what the provincials think and feel. And they (us) are the majority. And when it comes to politics, a person speaking the same language with the majority is much more likely to lead the country.
Of course, there was no reasoning like “from there, from here, from Siberia, it was not yet” - this is really a fortune -telling on the coffee grounds. But if we look back, we will see that it was often impossible to predict who would lead the country after the departure of the previous leader.
Who was the most powerful person after Lenin? Trotsky. And who led the country? Stalin. After Stalin, Beria was the coolest and terrible. But Khrushchev began to rule.
Therefore, fortune -telling on coffee grounds is far from the worst way of forecast. Unlike insidies and thoughtful reasoning, he at least does not claim to be seriousness.
We can only assume that the next president of Russia will be from the environment of Vladimir Putin (which can still seriously change in the next ten years). But there we see the Siberians - heavyweights. First of all, this is the Minister of Defense Sergey Shoigu, the head of the Moscow Region Andrei Vorobyov. Yes, and Moscow mayor Sergei Sobyanin is also Siberian (if you do not pay attention to the fact that the Tyumen region was cut to the Ural Federal District).
So the chances that the next president will be from Siberia are far from zero. And no one will give you a more accurate forecast.
Well, the notorious "Siberian character". Siberians are on average more honest, more reliable and more serious (neighborhood with harsh nature obliges). Not the worst qualities for the future president.