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Date
07/25/2022
Author
Alexander Goltz
Source
Republic (ex. Slon.ru)
Preserved copy
Internet Archive
Translated material

Ahead is a 70-year war? Can a military conflict in Ukraine go according to the Korean scenario?


American troops in Korea

Keystone Pictures Usa/Zumapress.com/Global Look Press

The retired American Admiral James Stavridis, who at one time occupied the post of Supreme Commander -in -Chief of NATO in Europe, and now one of the leading military experts of the United States, has recently made a very curious forecast. Analyzing the course of the military conflict in Ukraine, he predicted : “The situation is developing towards how the Korean war has ended. That is, the matter goes to a truce, a militarized zone between the two sides, continuing enmity, a kind of frozen conflict ... Expect that this will happen within four to six months. None of the parties can withstand this much longer. ”

How it was in Korea

The comparison to which the raised Stavridis makes it more carefully look at the first direct military clash between Moscow and Washington during the first Cold War. After the defeat of Japan in 1945, the Korean peninsula was divided between the occupation forces of the United States and the USSR according to the 38th parallel. As a result of the intensified contradictions between the Soviet Union and the United States in Korea, as in Germany, they failed to agree on the creation of a single state.

At the head of North Korea was Kim Il Saint, who had previously served in the Soviet Army, in the southern part of the country, the Americans appointed the chief chief of the fierce nationalist and anti -communist Lee the son of Man. Kim Il Sign immediately began to bombard his cartridges in Stalin and Mao Zedong with proposals for the capture of the south of military force. The “leader of all peoples” did not give his approval for a long time, not wanting to allow a direct military clash with the United States. According to some historians, Stalin agreed only when Pyongyang’s misinformation that a wide communist uprising would begin in South Korea, and the residents of the country would delight the “liberators” from the north. Soviet generals developed an invasion plan, the Korean People’s Army (KNA) received a significant number of military equipment. However, Stalin warned that Soviet troops would not be sent to Korea. The task of supporting the invasion by manpower was entrusted to China, where the civil war ended. Mao Zedong sent several units formed from ethnic Koreans to the North Korean army.

On June 25, 1950, North Korea attacked the South. The vicissitudes of the war, which lasted three years, surpass the fantasies of any author of thrillers (well, or the horror film). The situation on the fronts changed at a kaleidoscopic speed, each of the confrontant parties has repeatedly found itself on the verge of complete defeat. At first, luck was on the side of KNA. She captured Seoul, deciding to quickly move deep into South Korean territory. Soon, the troops of South Korea and the American units directed by him from Japan could control only the so -called “Pusan ​​perimeter”, the area around the large port located in the south of the country.

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