The Russian army fell into the boiler in the estuary. How many military people were surrounded?

What's happened

Ukrainian troops surrounded a large Russian group near Liman in the Donetsk region, the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reports with reference to the “famous Russian military correspondent”. According to ISW, Ukrainians broke through the Russian defense 10 kilometers north of the estuary, in the area of ​​the village of Stavka. They cut the road Torskoye - Drobyshevo, which was the latest opportunity for the Russian group for supply and departure.

ISW notes that Ukrainian troops attack the estuary from three sides and closed Russia to the road to Svatovo -Liman, which also was supplied with the supply of the Liman group. A map of the fighting under the Liman according to ISW can be viewed here .

On the morning of September 30, the pro-Russian telegram channel "Rybar" (about 900 thousand subscribers) wrote that the boiler around the estuary "almost completely closed." It is noted that the Russian troops left the villages of Yampol and Drobyshevo, located next to the estuary, and moved to the city.

Telegram channel Venoencor Kitten Z writes that in the estuary the Russian military hold a circular defense. “Military correspondent” Evgeny Poddubny confirms that the situation in the Liman direction is heavy for the Russian military. According to him, in the counterattack of the Ukrainian army, “about six thousand bayonets” are involved.

The head of the self -proclaimed DPR Denis Pushilin confirmed that the situation in the estuary was difficult, and the Russian troops were "in the half -ring."

On the afternoon of September 30, the representative of the eastern group of Ukrainian troops, Sergei Chervaty, said that the surroundings survived. “Under the fire control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in fact, all approaches, the logistics paths of the enemy, through which he delivered ammunition and manpower,” Chervaty noted. The Ukrainian publication “Ukraine Online” published personnel, which are allegedly shown by the Russian military retreating under the estuary.

Until 2016, the city of Liman was called Red Liman, in the Russian media, it is still sometimes called that.

How many military are surrounded

On September 30, the Ukrainian edition of the UA Insider wrote that about 5.5 thousand military Russian army, as well as from the self -proclaimed DPR and the LPR, were in the estimate estate.

It is difficult to say how many Russian troops are concentrated in the Liman area now, Ukrainian military expert Alexander Kovalenko told “important stories”. In his opinion, the main composition of the group under the estuary is representatives of illegal armed groups of the so-called LPR, in particular the 208th separate “Cossack” motorized rifle regiment, as well as the volunteer units of the BARS.

“Volunteers from Russia were the main mass of the Armed Forces of Ukraine there, for some reason they were sent there, although they are not as professional as representatives of the 20th combined arms army [it is also near estuary]. Now it can be observed that the fighting is mainly conducted by BARS representatives. Where to make the 20th combined arms army, because a few days ago they tried to throw the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces onto the scars-brick-Aleksandrovka-Yarovaya line in order to protect the estuary? It is also concentrated north-east and southwest of Svatovo and acts as a security buffer to slow down the advance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to Svatovo. Therefore, I do not exclude that those units [of the 20th Army] that were near the estuary could be bred even when the paths of retreat to Svatovo were still opened. Now even if these units remain there, they may not be in the significant amount that they were there until today. Therefore, the bulk is still the representatives of the BARS. But these are all Russian citizens, people who signed contact with the Russian army, therefore, regardless of whether they are representatives of volunteer units or the combined arms army, in any case, this is the “exchange fund” ( resources for subsequent exchange of prisoners - approx. Ed. ), ”Says the expert.

The pro-Russian telegram channel “Two Majors” confirms Kovalenko’s words that in the estuary the defense of the 20th Army is being held (if they were not taken out), the volunteer detachment of Bars and the national police of the self-proclaimed LPR. The Rybar channel notes that the 503rd guard regiment of the 19th motorized rifle division of the 58th Army was transferred to the Limansky site.

Why Liman is so important

Liman’s capture will give the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces to attack the city of Svatovo Lugansk region on several sides, Kirill Mikhailov, an analyst with the investigative project of Conflict Intelligence Team, told “important stories”. According to him, the Ukrainian army will be able to proceed to the liberation of that part of the Luhansk region, which was occupied after February 24.

Mikhailov added that the liberation of the Luhansk region also has a symbolic character: “Because this is the same Donbass, about the“ liberation ”of which Putin declared. This is the Lugansk region, which was completely occupied for a while. <...> If Ukrainians manage to begin the liberation of the Luhansk region in the coming days, this will be such a significant slap in the face and such a statement "we sneezed your referendums."

The Russian army captured Liman at the end of May during a spring offensive in the Donbass. The adviser to the Office of the President of Ukraine Alexei Antystovich then said : “How the Russian army [Liman] captured his [Liman] shows that there are very talented commanders, and this shows the increased level of operational management and skills of the Russian army.”