
Alexandra Arkhipov , anthropologist
The fears of Putin (through the eyes of the Martian anthropologist). I propose to look at Putin’s little speech today with an unusual perspective. Everyone usually looks at her as a political science forecast of the future, which is understandable. And I suggest looking at it as a list of fears that are present in the head of the president.
Fear No. 1. His main fear is before the future: “The battlefield, to which fate and history called us, is the battlefield for our people ... for future generations.”
Fear No. 2. We are going to enslave us through monstrous experiments: “We must protect them from enslavement, from monstrous experiments that are aimed at riding their consciousness and soul.” [They conduct] "Experiments on living people in Ukraine."
Fear No. 3. Gender self -determination is unacceptable and generally unacceptable to social experiments, which, in his opinion, are conducted in the West: “Do we want us here, in our country, instead of mom and dad, parent number 1, number 2, number 3? Have you completely crazy already? Do we want children from primary schools in our schools to impose perversions that lead to degradation and extinction? So that they were harassed that in addition to women and men, there are supposedly still certain genders, and offered to undergo a sex change operation? ”
Fear No. 4. Fear of omnipotent drug power, with the help of which you can control the peoples. "The fact that they [Anglo -Saxons] did was planting entire nations on drugs."
Fear No. 5. Anglo -Saxons are insidious enemies who harmed both now: “Anglo -Saxons are already few sanctions. They moved to sabotage by organizing explosions on the international highways of the Northern Streams. "
Look at these fears by the eyes of the Martian anthropologist. The Martian Anthropologist will write in his report that these fears from the president’s speech, in fact, do not differ from the fears of Maria Petrovna, 74 years old, the higher education, from the fourth entrance of the village of Gadyukino. Of course, I will exaggerate a little, but look at yourself: 1) in the future everything will be bad; 2) children will be corrupted there; 3) enslave with the help of experiments; 4) control using drugs; 5) West and Anglo -Saxons are agents of this terrible future.
And the Martian anthropologist will note in his report that this picture of the world is practically no different from the picture of the apocalypse described (possibly) about 1900 years ago by a certain John the Theologian; Only “Western Agents” should be replaced by “Antichrist servants”. And the Martian anthropologist sadly notes that such a conspiracyology creates a collective identity and Marya Ivanovna feels on the same wave with Vladimir Vladimirovich.
Abbas Gallamov , political scientist
Putin’s such frank transition to classical anti -colonial discourse puts Russia in the position of third world countries. This rhetoric is not our invention. Literally everything that the Russian President is saying now, politicians from Uganda, Ghana, Libya, Iraq and other advanced states of the planet spoke for decades. The future that Putin is preparing Russia.
Alexander Baunov , editor -in -chief Carnegie.ru
In addition to the rather tedious listing of legends and myths of the ancient and imaginary West, three things were remembered from practical.
1. Gas pipelines "North Stream" blew up the United States, because it is clear to whom it is beneficial. A practical consequence means that we can do something in response, there are few gas pipelines in Europe. And now there are no questions to Russia why it does not supply. And Gazprom may now not pay a penalty.
2. An appeal to Ukraine immediately stop hostilities, withdraw troops and sit down at the negotiating table. Since all four subjects are accepted in an underestimated (unhappy) form, this is an announcement of the continuation of the conventional war, if not followed by an ultimatum. Exactly the same ultimatum was in the circulation on February 23, after which Was began.
3. The United States without military necessity dropped an atomic bomb on Hiroshima and Nagasaki - "created a precedent, by the way." Guess who the precedent is for. Here Russia and military need to have or may arise. Almost the announcement.
Julia Galyamina , politician
You know, listening to Putin is rather boring. Bu-boo-boo-neocolonialism, bu-bo-boo-the so-called West, Bu-Bo-Bu-Anglo-Saxons. Not a word about what worries every person in our country, freezing in fear when calling the doorbell. Not a word about why they send hundreds of thousands of sons, husbands, fathers to death, why they destroy families, why they force millions to live in anticipation of a nuclear blow. Bu-boo. And the sleepy faces of people in which there are no people left, except for animal fear.
Elena Lukyanova , professor of free university:
Hmm! The performance, however ... and Germany and Japan were specifically. But faces! I have not seen their dense cluster for a long time. With such persons, the country will definitely, steadily and inevitably come to the famous address.
Anna Mongite , host of the Rain TV channel
Putin's rhetorical feint when he transfers his guilt to the opponent. Ukraine started the war in 2014, it is to blame for everything. Of course, we are ready for negotiations, but we will protect our land. We will rebuild the territories that ourselves destroyed, in fact, equal to the ground. Bombed, deprived of people at home. Now we will rebuild it, there will be a blooming garden city. Is it still who is still taking this seriously? <...> Who planted entire nations on drugs? I really do not have time for his course of thought ... These statements became somehow more likely than before. <...> And I correctly realized that he said that the United States will be occupied as before Germany, Japan and Korea? <...> Honestly, of course, it becomes clear that Putin had to be listened to with a psychiatrist.
Konstantin Sonin , Professor of Chicago University
Intermediate result of September 30
1. Nothing is changing against Ukraine. Nobody recognizes and is not going to recognize the statements and decrees of Putin regarding the accession of Zaporozhye, Kherson, Donetsk, Lugansk. The Ukrainian army will continue to liberate the territory of its country.
2. The idea that US support will once cease, exactly from the same series as “Kyiv in three days” and “Ukrainians will meet Putin with flowers”. It is no accident that the same idiots prepare this “analytics” to the president and dungeons for TV presenters. It is ensured politically, economically for decades ahead, regardless of which party is in power. If Trump wins in 2024, then perhaps support will only become more. The same thing about the UK. The entire European Union is less confident, but decades support is guaranteed from the eastern/northern countries of NATO - Poland, Sweden, Finland, the Baltic countries, and this is important. In short, it is more likely to enter the NATO into the war on the side of Ukraine, for example, the declaration of a baseless zone or even striking on Russian troops (for example, in response to a tactical nuclear blow to Ukraine) than the cessation of large -scale support.
3. Any respite, “freezing”, etc. is beneficial to Ukraine, not Russia. Ukraine has the opportunity to strengthen and increase its army, integrate new weapons systems, etc. Much faster than Russia will intensify. Every day the advantage of the Ukrainian army will increase.
4. Russia does not have the opportunity to somehow seriously restore and support newly-cooped territories in the conditions of an increasing economic crisis. The occupied territories of the Donetsk and Luhansk region were not restored and integrated in eight years in good conditions, so that the newly -cooped territories have no chance. The little money allocated on them will be stolen-there is nothing more profitable than building something in the territory of future battles.
5. Putin has some kind of support in Russia so far, but, obviously, and not close to the majority. The flight of hundreds of thousands of Russians is not at all “creative” and not “ITishnikov” in the September stream - only one obvious sign. In the elite, the desire to get rid of him very strongly, but since the selection in the current elite was carried out on the principle of “either a coward or a fool”, there is no direct threat to the Khrushchev scenario yet. But taking into account the habit of arranging a “Khodynka with Tsushima in one bottle” - as today, when during Putin the thousands of Russian soldiers died in the estuary - maybe its end will come before many are waiting.
6. The economic situation of Russia will steadily deteriorate - now the crisis is only beginning. The fact that growth and development is possible (or at least restoration to the level of 2021) without international trade is fairy tales for defective kids. There are no such examples in world history ... it was not and cannot be. The fact that all competent economists have expelled from the country allows you to create the illusion that it can be different-but no, cannot.
7. In Russia, in addition to the crisis, all the foundations for the war are all freed from punishment and thousands of criminals are exempted, weapons (and unrealizable promises in the heads) have been received by hundreds of thousands of people, the system of management of law enforcement agencies has been destroyed - now there are different quasi -free structures that obey the federal level (Vagner, Kadyrovtsy), and local) (actually militia).
Total: in how the Russian-Ukrainian war, begun by Putin, would not be in doubt, as there was no doubt. Of course, the newlyoculed areas will be returned to Ukraine. Back in March, I thought that, perhaps, Russia would be able to preserve part of Donetsk-Lugansk and Crimea, but all this has already passed, it would not be possible. The main question is how many more lives, both innocent and guilty, will take Putin with him to the grave.
Maria Pevchikh , Head of the FBK Investigations Department
Well, it was obviously an anniversary poker concert “Putin-70”. The best numbers: transgender, fascists, satanism, hegemony, parent number one. 22 years in 20 minutes. A nostalgic attempt to return what was before. New thoughts zero.