Why is Elon Musk spoke about the "Ukrainian-Russian world"

The American billionaire Ilon Musk told on Twitter what the Ukrainian-Russian world imagines. According to his plan, the Crimea must formally join Russia, and the inhabitants of the occupied territories should vote under the supervision of the UN for which country they want to live. After tweet and so falling shares of Tesla, owned by the businessman, accelerated their collapse. We figure out why Musk decided to express his opinion (and where, according to Ukrainian politicians, he can put him), and tell how the world reacted to his words.

On the evening of October 3, Elon Musk went to Twitter and described how the “Ukrainian-Russian world” looks like in his view. So, these are the conditions for the world in the opinion of the richest person in the world:

• “Make repeated elections in annexed regions under the supervision of the UN. Russia leaves, if this is the will of the people.

• Crimea is formally part of Russia, as it was from 1783 (to the mistakes of Khrushchev).

• The water supply of Crimea is guaranteed.

• Ukraine remains neutral. "

He explained that "the probability of such an outcome is very high - the only question is how many people will die before." In his opinion , “the attempt to return the Crimea will lead to mass death of people, will probably fail and is fraught with a nuclear war. It would be terrible for Ukraine and the Earth. ”

“It is also worth noting that a nuclear war is possible, albeit unlikely, the outcome of this conflict,” Musk wrote .

When the head of Tesla was asked why, in this case, he handed over to the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Starlink satellites, he replied that then “Russia has invaded areas that would definitely choose to be part of Ukraine”, but now “the will of the people should decide whether it is part of Russia or Ukraine.”

Ilon Musk also attached a survey to Twita, in which people could choose whether they agree with the proposed scenario. At 12:40 on October 4, 2,627,530 people voted in it, 40.5% chose the “yes” option, 59.5% - “no”. The billionaire said that because of this, Twita was faced with the largest attack of bots in his life.

After a wave of criticism fell on the mask, he published a new survey. “Let's try this: people living in the Donbass and Crimea should decide whether they will be part of Russia or Ukraine,” he wrote. Now 2,230,075 people took part in the survey, 58.7% chose “yes”, 41.3% - “no”.

The mask was also indicated that "polls and tweets about bots' attacks do not help and angry many Ukrainians."

“You believe that I want to be popular. I don't care, ”he said in response.

According to the mask, he is worried that "millions of people can die in vain for the sake of, in fact, the same result."

“Russia carries partial mobilization. They will proceed to complete military mobilization if Crimea is at risk. Death on both sides will be destructive. The population of Russia is three times higher than the population of Ukraine, so the victory of Ukraine in the total war is unlikely. If you care about the people of Ukraine, look for peace, ”Musk says.

“Tesla, of course, is a good car. But today I prefer Himars "

The tweet of Ilona Mask, to put it mildly, did not go unnoticed. Representatives of the authorities of Ukraine and Russia, as well as politicians from other countries, reacted to them.

The first to the post of billionaire answered the adviser to the head of the office of the President of Ukraine Mikhail Podolyak.

“Are you trying to legalize pseudo -referendums that were carried out under the muzzles of machine guns in the conditions of persecution, mass executions and torture? A bad way, ”said Podolyak.

“No, I propose to vote under the supervision of the UN (or choose the most reliable organization or country). Perhaps a similar approach to Kosovo, ”Musk answered.

Podolyak also proposed his vision of the end of the war.

• “Ukraine liberates its territory. Including annexed Crimea.

• Russia is subjected to demilitarization and compulsory denuclearization in order not to threaten others anymore.

• War criminals go through the International Tribunal.

Let's vote? "

“Will one hundred thousand dead in Mariupol will vote? Or those who went through concentration camps? You create missiles and dream of the colonization of Mars. Russia creates mobile crematoriums and dreams of the disappearance of Ukrainians as a nation. This is not a question of “voting”, ”Podolyak said .

He also wrote that Tesla is a good car, but today he prefers Himars.

Following the statements of the mask, the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky reacted . He created a survey "What Ilon Musk do you like more?" With the options for the answers “The one that supports Ukraine” and “The one that supports Russia”.

Also, the adviser to the office of the President of Ukraine, Alexei Anthilovich, did not stand aside.

“Mask is more sympathetic to the Republicans, and they have enough people who have strange thoughts of this kind. And secondly, in the West there is an intellectual trend <...> against violence and non-objection. <...> It must be understood that the higher the people, the more among them "the fuck-Tiba-Dokhov": Astrologers, all sorts of guru and the like. People like a mask tend to get sick, ” said Armovich.

The former ambassador of Ukraine to Germany Andrei Melnik believes that the only thing that Musk has achieved with his tweets is “Now no Ukrainian will buy your fucking Tesla-Deremom.”

In Russia, the tweet of the mask also noticed. The deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council Dmitry Medvedev said that Elon Musk is well -widespread and worthy of the appropriation of an extraordinary officer rank.

“True, Eustas was deciphered early. The next post will give out something like the UKRaine is an artificial state (“Ukraine is an artificial state”-translation by ed.), ”Medvedev wrote .

The press secretary of the Russian President Dmitry Peskov also said that the Kremlin noticed that “this initiative of the mask did not let many in Europe, Ukraine, Poland, and in the Baltic states. First of all, she did not let the boots sleep, who actively took part in the vote. ”

“There, many ideas deserve attention. As for the holding of referenda, of course, residents have already expressed their opinion. There can be nothing else here, ”Peskov said .

Representatives of countries that were not directly involved in the war also shared their opinion. So, for example, Lithuania President Gitanas Nauceda wrote that “when someone is trying to steal the wheel of your Tesla, this does not make him the legal owner of either a car or wheels. Even if they claim that both of them voted for it. ”

"Obviously, we are for Ukraine"

After the start of the full -scale invasion of Russia to Ukraine, the SpaceX company belonging to the mask began to provide Ukraine with access and equipment for connecting to the satellite Internet Starlink.

Zelensky personally called up with a mask and thanked him for his support. He also invited the billionaire to come to Ukraine after the end of the war.

After the SpaceX owner began to be accused of “pro -Russian views” on Twitter, he again stated that he supported the Ukrainian side. “SpaceX costs on the inclusion and support of Starlink in Ukraine amounted to ~ $ 80m. Our support for Russia is $ 0. Obviously, we are for Ukraine, ”the businessman said.

Market reaction

After the publication of the opinion of the Mask about the “Ukrainian-Russian world”, the shares of Tesla's company belonging to him fell by 9%-up to $ 242.4 apiece. But it is unlikely that the main reason for the collapse was a businessman's tweet.

On October 2, the company's quarterly report was published. In the third quarter of 2022, Tesla increased the supply of supplies to 343,830 cars, but this result did not live up to the expectation of analysts. The company expected about 15 thousand more than the staged electric cars. “Tesla was faced with the problems of growth at her new factories in Germany and Texas, a fluid of personnel and a sharp increase in raw materials in the third quarter of 2022,” writes CNBC.

In addition to the problems of Tesla, Musk is probably concerned about the impending trial with Twitter. The hearings will begin on October 17, but this week the businessman will testify to lawyers by the prosecution.

In April, Musk promised to buy a social network before the end of the year. This deal in $ 44 billion could become one of the largest in the IT industry, but suddenly the billionaire changed his mind . He stated that Twitter “significantly violated the numerous provisions of the merger agreement,” and he “has reason to believe that the real number of fake accounts on Twitter is much higher than the“ less than five percent ”indicated by the social network. The company called these accusations a lie, but Twitter shares still fell by 6%, and Tesla shares rose by 4%.

Now Twitter requires Musk to complete the deal and buy a social network at a price of $ 54.2 per share.

"Why is he doing this?"

In general, everyone has long been accustomed to the fact that Elon Musk loves to express his opinion on Twitter. But until yesterday evening, he wrote posts only in support of the Ukrainian people and did not try to advise how to solve political problems or end the war. Why and why Musk decided to do so now, different political scientists and political technologists tried to understand.

“His attempt to fuck is a little connected with another. Tesla from Friday, after the unsuccessful presentation of Teslabot (prototype of the human -like robot Optimus - approx.) And supercomputer, began to sag a little in promotions. The negative amount of information on Tesla and the mask, he began to grow rapidly, the shares collapsed. He very competently went into the high -hand world in terms of switching attention. <...> He switched attention, ” said Mikhail Podolyak, adviser to the head of the Office of the President of Ukraine.

The same opinion is held by the Ukrainian investment banker and publicist Sergei Fursa.

According to him, Musk does not want people to talk about the reason for the fall of Tesla shares.

“Mask wants to talk about something else. And he makes tweets about the Crimea and the compromise with Putin. Knowing what reaction this will cause the press <...> Why did Musk choose this topic? Maybe because he is a trumpist. And combines pleasant with useful, ” says Fursa.

The favorite of the Russian propaganda channels, the-American political scientist Dmitry Drobnitsky told the Moscow Komsomol member that "the businessman’s statements were not displayed by the real essence of the conflict and only help him distant from the liberal establishment." Allegedly, with its tweets, Musk only "demonstrates the presence of the American counter -elite and such a position too."

“Why is he doing this? Two non -mutually exclusive explanations are possible here. The first - well, yes, the dominant trend in the West continues to persist, but at the same time other approaches exist and gradually intensify - in particular, more cautious, less confrontational and aggressive. The second explanation - in fact, his statement is not related to politics, but is related to his commercial interests. Do not forget that he is a very large entrepreneur and his statements affect the course of shares, ” said Alexei Zudin, deputy director of the Center for the Political Conjuncture of Russia.

Well, the former head of Roscosmos Dmitry Rogozin did not stand aside from the analytics.

“Musk made these statements on the eve of the flight of his Crewdragon ship to the ISS, in which the cosmonaut of Roscosmos Anna Kikina flies in the crew. This is what the Russian woman did with the American, ”he wrote.