Translated material
The cost of war in Ukraine. Online November 23
The Bell continues to conduct online, dedicated to the economic consequences of the war in Ukraine, which began on February 24.
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21:43 Negotiations between the EU countries on the price ceiling for Russian oil have reached an impasse, writes Bloomberg. The specific meaning should have been named today. Some countries - Poland and the three Baltic countries - felt that $65 per barrel was too generous for Moscow, and oil carriers, including Greece and Malta, did not want to fall below $70. Negotiations will continue at night and on Thursday.
19:17 Inflation in Russia in the week by November 21 accelerated to 0.11% from 0.06% on the previous one, but annual inflation still continued to slow down (12.3%). The main contribution to the rise in prices continues to be made by fruits and vegetables - cucumbers have risen in price by 11% over the week, tomatoes by 4%.
18:00 was again stopped Pumping along the southern branch of the Druzhba oil pipeline in Ukraine, which supplies Hungary, . Last week, the stop was associated with a voltage drop in the power grids.
16:33 The State Duma adopted a bill on a complete ban on LGBT propaganda in a key second reading.
- The text retained a clause on blocking prohibited sites, as well as a ban on the sale of goods (including foreign ones) containing prohibited information that caused complaints from online retailers.
- A complete ban on access to LGBT information for citizens under the age of 18 has been established. “On paid audiovisual services, access to such information can only be obtained using a special code that confirms the age of the user. Where it is technically impossible, the dissemination of such information will be completely prohibited, ”the State Duma writes.
- Advertisements must not contain information that demonstrates non-traditional sexual relationships or preferences. Films that promote such relationships will not receive a distribution certificate.
- Amendment to ban LGBT propaganda and violence in video games rejected.
16:15 According to Ukrainian media and officials, after the Russian missile strike on November 23, a blackout in most of Kiev also stopped water supply. The situation is similar in Kharkiv and Lvov. Emergency shutdowns occurred in other major cities of Ukraine and in a large part of the regions, including Odessa, Nikolaev and Lvov, as well as in Transnistria and parts of Moldova. Due to the disconnection of third-party power supply, all three power units of the South Ukrainian NPP in the Nikolaev region were emergency shut down.
The pro-war channel Colonelcassad sees this as the cumulative result of previous attacks on Ukraine's power grid, with reduced power reserves and loss of connectivity. This means that further strikes, even relatively weak ones, will lead to the shutdown of the entire Ukraine.
16:02 Brent oil quotes on Wednesday, November 23 fell within 3%, below $86, after Bloomberg named the expected price ceiling for Russian oil - from $65 to $70. This is close to the current Urals oil prices, taking into account the discount. So far, market experts suggest that the ceiling is too high (if its goal is to punish Moscow for invading Ukraine), but much will depend on the details of its mechanism. Officially, the value of the ceiling should be called today.
15:23 The first data is coming in about objects in Ukraine hit by a missile attack on November 23. Among them are infrastructure facilities in Kiev (strike and interruptions in electricity and water were confirmed by the mayor of the city Vitaliy Klitschko), Lviv and Vinnitsa region.
Today, Deputy Chairman of the Security Council Dmitry Medvedev visited the Region enterprise, which assembles high-precision weapons (mostly adjustable bombs in the video). “The enemies continue to carefully “calculate” our launches and our supplies. In vain they hope for the exhaustion of our possibilities. To be continued. Enough for everyone!” Medvedev wrote.
14:20 The European Parliament by an absolute majority (494 out of 596 voters) approved a resolution recognizing Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism.
- The resolution (the text can be viewed here ) states, among other things, that “the Russian Armed Forces and their henchmen committed numerous executions, kidnappings, sexual violence, torture and other atrocities in the occupied territories of Ukraine, including massacres of the civilian population in Bucha, Irpen, Izyum and Liman” .
- According to the authors, the number of documented war crimes is approaching 40,000, Russia has launched more than 4,000 missiles in Ukraine and destroyed more than 60,000 civilian infrastructure facilities, as well as 40% of the country's energy infrastructure.
- The resolution of the European Parliament has a great symbolic meaning, but does not entail direct legal consequences (although it contains a call to develop a mechanism for "anti-terrorist" sanctions applied at the state level). Now there is no legal basis for this: EU law allows only certain individuals and organizations to be included in the list of terrorists - for example, Hamas and the Kurdistan Workers' Party, and the consent of all 27 countries of the union is required for inclusion in it. Therefore, the authors of the document propose to include the Wagner PMC and the 141st Special Motorized Regiment (“Kadyrovtsev”) in the list.
- Much more serious is the status of a state sponsor of terrorism in the United States. There, it would mean expanded secondary sanctions on the basis of one sign of cooperation with Russia, and most importantly, the possibility of filing lawsuits by victims of Russia's actions in Ukraine (and their relatives) in US courts.
- A bill recognizing Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism was submitted to the US Senate (the Blumenthal-Graham bill), but was not adopted. Now there are four countries on the American list - Syria, Iran, Cuba and North Korea. Moscow threatened to sever diplomatic relations with Washington in response.
13:17 Recession in the eurozone will be shallow - this is indicated by the latest measurements of S&P Global business activity. Europe's largest economies, France and Germany, are doing slightly worse and slightly better than expected, respectively, but the eurozone's composite purchasing managers' index rose to 47.8 in November from 47.3 in October. This corresponds to a quarterly decline in GDP of only 0.2% and sends another signal to the ECB that it has room for maneuver and can not raise rates so sharply in the fight against inflation.
12:05 The government has updated the rules for marking foreign agents. The changes will come into effect on December 1.
Marking, as before, should be placed at the beginning of each material under the heading, and in case of its absence, at the beginning of the text. The font size should be twice the font size of the material itself. Now not only the companies-foreign agents, but also their employees will have to put a label.
The wording has also changed. From December 1, foreign agents will have to write:
“THIS MATERIAL (INFORMATION) (PRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED AND (OR) SENT) BY A FOREIGN AGENT (NAME OR FULL NAME) OR RELATED TO THE ACTIVITIES OF THE FOREIGN AGENT (NAME OR FULL NAME)”.
In the video, the label about the foreign agency must be shown for at least 15 seconds at the beginning, while the inscription must occupy at least 20% of the screen. In audio formats, play at the beginning and every time the broadcast resumes (most likely an ad break).
The main thing for the night and morning:
- The state wants to regulate the video game market more strictly. In particular, they may be subject to the requirements of the Yarovaya package, that is, they may be required to store information about user messages and provide access to them to investigating authorities, learned Kommersant . Market participants fear that meeting these requirements will require new investment and pose risks for game publishers.
- The ceiling of oil prices, the parameters of which can be announced today, continues to acquire new details. First, Bloomberg writes that the EU has proposed a 45-day transition period before the introduction of the oil ceiling, as well as softening the requirements for maritime transport associated with Russian oil. Secondly, the US Treasury has published a guide to implementing the oil price cap policy. It provides relief for Bulgaria, Croatia and a number of EU landlocked countries, as well as for Japan (all transactions related to the Sakhalin-2 project are allowed). In addition, unloading of ships carrying Russian oil will be allowed in case of emergency. Thirdly, the representative of the US Treasury said that the marginal price for Russian oil will be adjusted "every quarter or even once every six months, and not once a month."
- Chernogolovka and Farmalakt Group of Companies, already operating in this segment, as well as AFK Sistema, claim the Russian business of Kraft Heinz for the production of baby food, Kommersant found . out The latter also claimed the Russian assets of IKEA , Melon Fashion Group (deal agreements reached ), Uniper , Fortum . The intention of Kraft Heinz to sell the baby food business in Russia became known in the summer. The Heinz-Georgievsk enterprises in the Stavropol Territory and the Ivanovo baby food plant are put up for sale, which are estimated at 2.5-3 billion rubles. Kraft Heinz will keep the other part of the business - the factory for the production of ketchup and canned food.
- SPB Exchange, Russia's largest organizer of trading in foreign securities, got rid of the last major sanctioned shareholder. Sovcombank, which fell under tough Western sanctions in February, withdrew from the capital of the St. Petersburg Exchange, writes RBC. Who acted as the buyer of the package, the sources of the publication do not disclose. As of mid-February, Sovcombank had an 8.6% stake in the stock exchange. its stake Earlier, VTB Bank also sold .
- The Russian airline Azimut this year for the first time in the history of Russian aviation will receive an SSJ aircraft with old engines, learned Kommersant . The units were taken from the so-called replacement pool: a reserve for all Superjet operators. The plaque on the engines is small, and their installation will only affect the terms of service and general use.