
In the Bunin & Co telegram channel, Alexander Ivakhnik writes about a difficult election struggle in Turkey:
“For the first time in 20 years, the reign of Recep Erdogan has been under a real threat.
The drawing of the election campaign, during which the president of the Autocrat and the Unified Candidate from the opposition <...> Kemal Kylychdaroglu collided, practically does not change. It is difficult to find two more strikingly different rivals.
69-year-old Erdogan is an incendiary speaker, a great master of public campaigns. Its explosive rhetoric is based on the contrast of its course <...> the positions of opponents torn from the national soil, which are destructive for the country. Erdogan focuses on the protection of Islamic identity, family values and accuses his opponents of conspiracy with Kurdish terrorists, the imperialist West, muddy international financiers and undermining the moral foundations of LGBT organization. All this is accompanied by demonstrative repressive actions.
74-year-old Kylychdaroglu, financier by education and a former official, member of the parliament since 2002 and the leader of the RNP since 2010, has been unpretentious and restrained. <...> In politics, Kylychdaroglu has a reputation as a patient, reconciled, prone to search for compromises and achieve consent. Largely, thanks to these qualities of the leader of the RNP, six main and very different parties in the opposition <...> were able to unite in the national alliance and perform in the elections with a single force. Kylychdaroglu also managed to enlist the support of the Prokurdsk DPN.
In its campaign, the combined opposition emphasizes the need to dismantle the "regime of one person." She offers <...> to return to parliamentary democracy with its separation of powers, rights and freedoms, ensure the independence of the judicial system and free numerous political prisoners. And personally, Kylychdaroglu emphasizes that he goes only for one presidential term <...>.
Of course, for most Turkish voters in the foreground <...> a sharp increase in the cost of life. Although inflation has decreased somewhat in recent months, in April, in annual calculus, it amounted to 44%. The cost of medical care increased by 67%, the cost of food - by 54%. But the opposition seeks to connect in the minds of people these problems with Erdogan omnipotence, whose voluntarist financial policy led to great inflation and lyre's impairment.
Erdogan opponents hoped that his sudden illness <...> would undermine his image of an unbending politician. However, Erdogan quickly recovered and after three days resumed public performances.
<...> The stable support for the support of the Populist Erdogan is quite wide, especially in deep Turkey. The averaged survey data suggests that now the Kylychdaroglu rating is 47%, and Erdogan is 46%.
So the second round is most likely to be avoided. ”