
Evgeny Prigozhin and Andrey Kurbsky. Photo: Artem Krasnov / Kommersant, illustration from open sources / Wikimedia
Unlike a Muscovite who paid for love for Prigozhin, he himself avoids meetings with investigators, preferring to them friendly journalists. Prigozhin, although not noticed in the jurisdiction of social networks, became the most famous blogger in Russia (federal channels carefully bypass it). Having mastered the revealing tone, a man with a sledgehammer almost took the place of Navalny in citation and intensity of presence in the public, and recently even praised him for holding back the withdrawal of money from the country. However, the difference, however, instead of hopes for the “beautiful Russia of the future”, this blogger promises the country something like an oprichnina in which martial law is introduced, new waves of mobilization are going on, the economy goes to military rails, the borders are closed, the construction of roads and infrastructure facilities is canceled, and the country lives “in the image of North Korea” (this is a list of the last interview with Konstantin Dolgov. Which, according to him, for this interview was fired).
For all the loyalty, the Federal Center (“I love Russia, I obey Putin”) Prigozhin more than once or twice, I leaned out the stick, which caused even public criticism from the cautious courtier Kadyrov. And if, before the capture of Bakhmut, his immunity was explained by the presence of Wagner on a dangerous section of the contact line and the witty idea to replace with prisoners of regular parts, now, from his own words, both the prison project of the PMC and the presence of Wagner in Ukraine are completed. Prigogine promises to withdraw the personnel by June 1.
Where is next - to Africa or in politics? Prigozhin’s press service publishes collages a la pre-election posters, he himself gives software interviews. But the sincerity of all this cannot be believed. He is a pragmatist and businessman. In Russia, only an idealist can seriously declare presidential ambitions.
Yes, and such a project is too expensive: according to a recent survey of sociologists from Russian Field about possible presidential candidates, Prigozhin is gaining only 2%, although it leaves far behind Shoigu, Medvedev and hypothetical Stalin.
Prigogine rationalist and master of hoaxes. He can monetize the grown recognition. And the accumulation of the dissatisfied to write down in a plus: everything is under control, everything is systematic.
The first major performance of such a non -public Prigogine was an interview with the military commander Semen Pygov at the end of April. In it, he complained about the lack of ammunition and that the Ministry of Defense did not hear him. He also called for "stopping to lie and reduce propaganda."
The performance was spectacular, despite the obvious professional pallor of the interviewer. However, Prigozhin is not needed by Prigozhin: he says exactly what he wants. However, the choice of Pegov, who in the frame looks at Prigozhin with undisguised adoration, is not accidental: the gentleman of the Order of Courage, the man and Gabrelevanov, and Prilepin at once, the favorite of conservative media. PEGOV is a blogger and a “truth -to -date” from the “patriotic” circles. Those who go in opposition to power, because it is not bloodthirsty enough, is the target audience.

This marginalized layer, consisting of extreme nationalists and newly -minted monarchists, turned into the league of sofa patriots. While they live in Telegram, but you can get them from the sofa. In the trenches, they put it, they are in no hurry, but in the capital they will be able, if necessary, they be blooming better than dusty nodists. And to create a background noise, a polyphony of “folk love” is easily and even almost free.
For liberal opposition, Prigozhin is unharmed. In the loyalist circles, he is crowded, he is there alien, with his prison experience, adventurism and anti -glamorous image. The calculation of the right opposition is accurate. You cannot be embarrassed by a sledgehammer.
The next noticeable performance is May 5, with the threat to withdraw Wagner from Bakhmut on the 10th. Complaints of shell hunger, the numbers of needs and the fact that the Ministry of Defense supposedly allocates. It is impossible to check them. Reproduce - an article about "fakes" is guaranteed. The Kremlin reacts to the ultimatum is cold: “Of course, we saw in the media. But I can’t comment on it, because it concerns the course of a special military operation, ”says Dmitry Peskov.
And Kadyrov immediately offers to replace Wagner with Akhmat positions. And he adds after him that, they say, “Akhmat” solved its problems itself, without videouting.
On May 7, Prigozhin says that PMCs promised as many weapons as required. May 9 in the morning appears again in the video. First, he talks about a difficult situation with ammunition, after that he claims that supposedly Putin personally ordered “to fully ensure the whole need”. And accuses of unprofessional actions and cowardice one of the Ministry of Defense brigades.
A little later, the addressed famous phrase about “grandfather-mudak” is published a little later, then emotional messages begin to go out several a day.
On the restrained Prigogen of the period “before Svo” it does not seem at all. He, the previous one, answered the chosen requests publicly, did not shy away rudeness, but reacted more by statements to the court.
This new one, who recognized PMC as his company, writes out audio messages, matters the General Staff, is mockingly calling Shoigu in Bakhmut - forms the image of a simple Russian man from a trench who is ready to speak the truth of the kings without fear. Some believe.
At the same time, Prigozhin's revelations, I repeat, are not yet punishable. Electoral liberalism of Russian law enforcement is also explained by the constantly declared fidelity of the former restaurateur to the first person. Putin is invariably present in his speeches - as a moral authority, the supreme commander, whose orders are not discussed. But what is true in these monologues, and what is not, only their author knows.
He still remained in Bakhmut. Personally - and, of course, in the video - reported on the capture of the city. I waited for congratulations from the Kremlin. And only after them he repeated: he takes the fighters. Bakhmut raised the cost of his detachments both in the domestic market and on the external. The Heroes of Artemovsk will be valued higher than the retreating would be appreciated. Considering that Prigozhin himself has repeatedly said that not taking the city represented an end in itself, but the maximum “grinding” of the enemy units, the meaning of this victory could lie somewhere outside the borders of his own.
Interview Dolgov was published in late May. In it, Prigozhin calmly and reasonably expresses a real seditious: Shoigu is not suitable for ministers, relatives are compromising him, it’s a shame to threaten with a nuclear bomb, the children of officials should go into battle ... The bahmut is finished, and this is not waving his fists after a fight. This is a completely new game, with a much higher bet. And it resembles the story of another public politician who was ahead of Prigozhin for almost five centuries.

If the military leader goes into the category of bloggers, then the deeds are not God the news is how good. And if the omnipotent favorite is accepted to expose the king - they are very bad. Now we are exclusively about medieval history: 1560, the midst of the Livonian campaign. The campaign does not go at all as expected: a series of defeats.
The situation is so complicated that they expect from the king that he himself will lead the offensive, but it will be knocked down, and the king is in no hurry to the front. Instead, at the head of the army at a critical moment, he puts a man who, contrary to the most noble position (albeit princely family, but out of the disgraced), enjoys the full trust of the sovereign Ivan, - Prince Kurbsky.
The conversation about the appointment is carried out in complete secrecy, in the tsar’s bedroom, the king persuades the favorite “with words, mercy dissolved and fucked by love and to the promise of many:“ Behaded, the speech, from those who resorted to my governor, an iso hetti himself, the support of my beloved, the love of my love, will be guarded by the Paki military I will help God; For this sake and serve Mi Verena. ”
The prince agrees and won a number of victories. The appointment is associated with the excellent personal courage of Andrei. He already participated in Kazan campaigns, defeated the Tatars near Tula, suppressed the rebellion of Cheremis in the annexed Kazan Khanate, was injured, but also returned with them. But an even more important factor was the ability of Kurbsky to demonstrate dog fidelity. During the illness of Ivan the Terrible, he agreed at his request to swear to the young prince, and did this contrary to the position of his “party” - immigrants from the “chosen Rada” of the priest Sylvester and Alexei Adashev, who voted for the cousin of the king, Prince Vladimir Staritsky.
He traveled with the king and to the most important praying person - to the "Kirillovsky Hood". John, who combined the source religiosity with outrun cruelty, went to the holy places with Queen Anastasia and the newborn prince Dimitri in the spring of 1553. The king is young and not yet bloody. On the way, Kurbsky gives him the prophecy of Maxim Greek that he needs to return, otherwise the prince will die. The king does not obey and goes to the Yakhrom monastery to Vassian Toporkov. On the way, Demetrius is drowning in Shaksna. Toporkov, on the other hand, gives John the Council, abruptly unfolding the Russian domestic policy: "Do not hold the advice of an adviser to a single wise of yourself."

The story is to some extent apocryphal: the trip to Toporkov and the denial of what was said by Greek symbolizes the choice of the Tsar of the Josephlas and the abandonment of the philosophy of non -possessors. The choice, which determined the development path of the Russian Church, and the state for many centuries. The non -possessors called for austerity and forgiveness. The Josephlans were rich and harsh for the church, approved the death penalty of heretics. The Josephles eventually won: the non -possessors were convicted at the church cathedral in 1531, and many of their supporters were executed or sent to exile. Like the author of the bad prophecy, Maxim Greek, whom academician Likhachev will call "the first intellectual in Rus'." The Russian Church began to grow with wealth and grow more closely with the state.
The disagreements were, by the way, not only ideological, but also stylistic: the non -possessors wrote simply and democratically, the Josephlans were magnificent and flowed. Such a syllable liked the king. Kurbsky, with all the humility of the Lord, preferred a simple syllable. But in those years he still does not write. He conquers Europe with fire and sword.
The Livonian war began in January 1558. A reason is the refusal of German knights to pay tribute to the Moscow kingdom. The reason is the king’s desire to go to the Baltic. In fact, the fighting strategy is robbery and looting. The Russian army, leaving Pskov, receives an order to “fight the earth”, that is, burn and devastate the posadas.
A month later, they return with prey. The Livonian Order offers negotiations, the king refuses. The war continues. Muscovites take 20 cities of the Baltic, including Derpt (Tartu). By 1560, the Russian army was exhausted and losing part of the conquered. The king is anger. Then he assigns command on a person whose fidelity is sure - Prince Kurbsky, and he immediately won a number of victories. The army at his disposal, both regular - Streletskoye and local - knocked out of the mobilized, which were equipped at their own expense - all the suitors of estates and estates were all suitable for the service with their horses, supplies, weapons and warriors.
Kurbsky is at war boldly, organizes night landing, risky crossings in swamps, hand -to -hand sorties, burns the Vitebsk Posad ... He is in Favor. To a major defeat.
In the summer of 1562, he fails under Nevel, having 15 thousand troops against 4 thousand Livonians. The king sends him to an honorary resignation - a governor to the occupied tartu.
Kurbsky falls into disgrace, meanwhile, in Moscow, persecution of the tsar’s past liberal friends begin. The country, stuck in the war, compensates for defeats on external fronts by strengthening internal repression. Before the start of the oprichnina, three years.
The prince understands that they will come for him and seeks the spare tracks, entering into correspondence with the Polish king Sigismund. He promises shelter and reward. In the spring of 1564, the prince decided: having thrown a pregnant wife (she will be arrested, further fate is unknown), accompanied by twelve servants, grabbing several carts of good, flees to Volmar. Following him, the squad runs. Commanding it, soon he will cause a number of crushing defeats to the Russian army.
And he will begin correspondence with the former master.
Carbian correspondence with Grozny is the first example of blogging in Rus'. The former ally and the surest of the faithful, not embarrassed, accuses the king of repressions that led to military defeats. The prince protests against the executions of state and military figures, explaining their defeats and his departure to Sigismund. And all this is clearly not so much for the addressee as for the general public.

The Livonian war will last another 20 years and lead to the full fiasco king, he will lose everything conquered in the early years, will not go to the Baltic, and the kingdom will plunge into a deep economic crisis. The country is ruined, the frontline areas are deserted. The defeat on external fronts will lead to an increase in internal repressions. Oprichnina is introduced, people with fucked heads are executed without trial, Kasimovsky Khan Simeon Bekbulatovich, the king dies at 53 years old, the Troubles begins to the kingdom.
Kurbsky, having received a considerable reward for the transition to the side of Sigismund, married, beat his wife, divorced, married again, retained an adventurous disposition, raided the estate neighbors ... He died a year earlier than the king at the age of 55. After his death, the granted estates were selected from the heirs.
And now a direct speech. We will give here the statements of both accusers. And let the reader himself determine what from what has belongs to Andrei Kurbsky, and what is Evgeny Prigozhin.
“The fierce of your power has destroyed many governor and commanders, from young nails sophisticated in military affairs and in the leadership of the troops - everything that is the best and reliable to win enemies, you destroyed, listening to only one side - listening to the flatterers, destroyers of the Fatherland.”
“[The army] was put at the forefront of official reading and lyzobate. And in fact, all those who somehow had their own opinion were removed from the clearing ... There is simply a position that you are scum: there are gods-and there are scum. ”
“But if in exorbitant pride and arrogance you think about yourself that you can teach the whole universe, then they laugh at it here.”
“Oh the greatest! Oh the great creator! Yes, you, bitch, nobody, you have already shown everything! "
“Those who not only constitute impossible laws or charters must die, but also devastate the land and destroy subjects, but should have shed their blood in the fight against enemies for their subjects.”
“If Artemovsk is given to the enemy, if at least one square meter is given, I think that we are in ties, in jackets with bloodied sleeves we will have to come and ask: what are you doing at all? It is impossible to just throw people into a meat grinder and sit on. There is a cream-SUP, there, I don’t know, from S interests, from chestnuts. ”
“Or do you imagine that it is immortal, and fell into heresy, as if you did not have to appear before Jesus, who will come to perform the trial of the universe and will recover for everything? This is He, my Christ, is a judge between you and me. ”
“When the Russian soldier, innocent in all ***, will figure out who substitute him, will tear the ass guilty in the offices of red wood.”
“You passed the city with the Church and with the soldiers and with the whole people, and you had produced the city before, because then you did not finally destroy and dispersed everyone. Now, along with the whole army, you are hiding in the forests like a lone fugitive, although no one is pursuing you, only your conscience. ”
“They walked in a hamian boots throughout the territory. We approached Kyiv, then I call the Russian language - [changed their minds] and moved away. Then to Kherson - [changed their minds] and moved away. After that, or before that, raisins, Red Liman. And somehow everything does not work out with us. Joseph Vissarionovich would have made conclusions - a person was shot by 200 ... But we have no conclusions yet. ”

However, the fate of Prigozhin can develop differently. The plan he had set out: the return of the elite to the country, the closure of borders, the introduction of the death penalty, the submission of the economy to the interests of the army, the North Korean path - corresponds to the outlines of the military junta. Or, if you stay in the terms of the Middle Ages, are oprichnins. Чтобы возглавить ее, занимать трон вовсе не обязательно, можно сыграть роль вполне преданного царю Григория Бельского (широко известного как Малюта Скуратов). Кстати, возьми тогда Курбский Невель — мог бы и он занять это место.